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What the markets expect
Jeremiah Smith 36.1%
Next is Darian Mensah at 17.1%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Jeremiah Smith36.1%46.5%36.1% fair45¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 1 min ago48¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Jeremiah Smith36.1%Polymarket 46.5%(36.1% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Jeremiah Smith
36.1%
46.5%
36.1% fair
45¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
48¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Jeremiah Smith
36.1%
Polymarket 46.5%(36.1% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jeremiah Smith
- Last price
- 46.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 36.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 45¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
- Volume
- $227K
Darian Mensah17.1%22%17.1% fair21¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 1 min ago23¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Darian Mensah17.1%Polymarket 22%(17.1% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Darian Mensah
17.1%
22%
17.1% fair
21¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
23¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Darian Mensah
17.1%
Polymarket 22%(17.1% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Darian Mensah
- Last price
- 22%
- Fair, margin removed
- 17.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $17K
Trinidad Chambliss8.6%11.1%8.6% fair10.4¢ bid, 11.7¢ askpolled, 1 min ago11.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $855 (8.55x)Trinidad Chambliss8.6%Polymarket 11.1%(8.6% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $855 (8.55x)
Trinidad Chambliss
8.6%
11.1%
8.6% fair
10.4¢ bid, 11.7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
11.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $855 (8.55x)
Trinidad Chambliss
8.6%
Polymarket 11.1%(8.6% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $855 (8.55x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Trinidad Chambliss
- Last price
- 11.1%
- Fair, margin removed
- 8.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 10.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $855 (8.55x)
- Volume
- $5K
Jesse Legree4.4%5.6%4.3% fair1¢ bid, 10.2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago10.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $980 (9.80x)Jesse Legree4.4%Polymarket 5.6%(4.3% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $980 (9.80x)
Jesse Legree
4.4%
5.6%
4.3% fair
1¢ bid, 10.2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
10.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $980 (9.80x)
Jesse Legree
4.4%
Polymarket 5.6%(4.3% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $980 (9.80x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jesse Legree
- Last price
- 5.6%
- Fair, margin removed
- 4.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $980 (9.80x)
Malachi Toney3.9%5%3.9% fair1.2¢ bid, 8.8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago8.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,136 (11.4x)Malachi Toney3.9%Polymarket 5%(3.9% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,136 (11.4x)
Malachi Toney
3.9%
5%
3.9% fair
1.2¢ bid, 8.8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
8.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,136 (11.4x)
Malachi Toney
3.9%
Polymarket 5%(3.9% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,136 (11.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Malachi Toney
- Last price
- 5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.9%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,136 (11.4x)
- Volume
- $3K
Bo Jackson3.1%4%3.1% fair0.1¢ bid, 7.8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago7.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)Bo Jackson3.1%Polymarket 4%(3.1% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Bo Jackson
3.1%
4%
3.1% fair
0.1¢ bid, 7.8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
7.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Bo Jackson
3.1%
Polymarket 4%(3.1% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bo Jackson
- Last price
- 4%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,282 (12.8x)
- Volume
- $327
Arch Manning3%3.9%3% fair0.2¢ bid, 7.6¢ askpolled, 1 min ago7.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)Arch Manning3%Polymarket 3.9%(3% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)
Arch Manning
3%
3.9%
3% fair
0.2¢ bid, 7.6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
7.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)
Arch Manning
3%
Polymarket 3.9%(3% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Arch Manning
- Last price
- 3.9%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,316 (13.2x)
- Volume
- $2K
LaNorris Sellers3%3.9%3% fair0.2¢ bid, 7.6¢ askpolled, 1 min ago7.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)LaNorris Sellers3%Polymarket 3.9%(3% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)
LaNorris Sellers
3%
3.9%
3% fair
0.2¢ bid, 7.6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
7.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)
LaNorris Sellers
3%
Polymarket 3.9%(3% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- LaNorris Sellers
- Last price
- 3.9%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,316 (13.2x)
- Volume
- $363
Kewan Lacy2.7%3.5%2.7% fair0.1¢ bid, 6.9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)Kewan Lacy2.7%Polymarket 3.5%(2.7% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Kewan Lacy
2.7%
3.5%
2.7% fair
0.1¢ bid, 6.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Kewan Lacy
2.7%
Polymarket 3.5%(2.7% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kewan Lacy
- Last price
- 3.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.7%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,449 (14.5x)
- Volume
- $563
Ahmad Hardy2.6%3.4%2.6% fair0.1¢ bid, 6.7¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)Ahmad Hardy2.6%Polymarket 3.4%(2.6% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Ahmad Hardy
2.6%
3.4%
2.6% fair
0.1¢ bid, 6.7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Ahmad Hardy
2.6%
Polymarket 3.4%(2.6% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ahmad Hardy
- Last price
- 3.4%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,493 (14.9x)
- Volume
- $265
Show 22 more outcomesHide 22 outcomes
Rocco Becht2.6%3.4%2.6% fair0.3¢ bid, 6.4¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)Rocco Becht2.6%Polymarket 3.4%(2.6% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Rocco Becht
2.6%
3.4%
2.6% fair
0.3¢ bid, 6.4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Rocco Becht
2.6%
Polymarket 3.4%(2.6% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rocco Becht
- Last price
- 3.4%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,563 (15.6x)
- Volume
- $502
Sam Leavitt2%2.6%2% fair0.2¢ bid, 4.9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)Sam Leavitt2%Polymarket 2.6%(2% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Sam Leavitt
2%
2.6%
2% fair
0.2¢ bid, 4.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Sam Leavitt
2%
Polymarket 2.6%(2% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sam Leavitt
- Last price
- 2.6%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
- Volume
- $3K
Jadan Baugh1.7%2.2%0.1¢ bid, 4.3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)Jadan Baugh1.7%Polymarket 2.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Jadan Baugh
1.7%
2.2%
0.1¢ bid, 4.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Jadan Baugh
1.7%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jadan Baugh
- Last price
- 2.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,326 (23.3x)
Keelon Russell1.6%2.1%0.3¢ bid, 3.9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago3.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)Keelon Russell1.6%Polymarket 2.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Keelon Russell
1.6%
2.1%
0.3¢ bid, 3.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
3.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Keelon Russell
1.6%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Keelon Russell
- Last price
- 2.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,564 (25.6x)
- Volume
- $7K
CJ Carr1.4%1.8%0.5¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)CJ Carr1.4%Polymarket 1.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
CJ Carr
1.4%
1.8%
0.5¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
CJ Carr
1.4%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- CJ Carr
- Last price
- 1.8%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $3K
Gunner Stockton1.2%1.5%0.3¢ bid, 2.7¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)Gunner Stockton1.2%Polymarket 1.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Gunner Stockton
1.2%
1.5%
0.3¢ bid, 2.7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Gunner Stockton
1.2%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gunner Stockton
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,704 (37.0x)
- Volume
- $711
Drew Mestemaker1%1.3%0.3¢ bid, 2.3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)Drew Mestemaker1%Polymarket 1.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Drew Mestemaker
1%
1.3%
0.3¢ bid, 2.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Drew Mestemaker
1%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Drew Mestemaker
- Last price
- 1.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,348 (43.5x)
- Volume
- $487
Josh Hoover1%1.3%0.2¢ bid, 2.3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)Josh Hoover1%Polymarket 1.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Josh Hoover
1%
1.3%
0.2¢ bid, 2.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Josh Hoover
1%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Josh Hoover
- Last price
- 1.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,348 (43.5x)
- Volume
- $727
Kevin Jennings1%1.3%0.1¢ bid, 2.4¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)Kevin Jennings1%Polymarket 1.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Kevin Jennings
1%
1.3%
0.1¢ bid, 2.4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Kevin Jennings
1%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kevin Jennings
- Last price
- 1.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,167 (41.7x)
- Volume
- $1K
Dante Moore0.7%1%0.6¢ bid, 1.3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)Dante Moore0.7%Polymarket 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Dante Moore
0.7%
1%
0.6¢ bid, 1.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Dante Moore
0.7%
Polymarket 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dante Moore
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $7,692 (76.9x)
- Volume
- $19K
Julian Sayin0.6%0.8%0.3¢ bid, 1.3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)Julian Sayin0.6%Polymarket 0.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Julian Sayin
0.6%
0.8%
0.3¢ bid, 1.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Julian Sayin
0.6%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Julian Sayin
- Last price
- 0.8%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $7,692 (76.9x)
- Volume
- $2K
Austin Mack0.1%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Austin Mack0.1%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Austin Mack
0.1%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Austin Mack
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Austin Mack
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $866
Brendan Sorsby0.1%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Brendan Sorsby0.1%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Brendan Sorsby
0.1%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Brendan Sorsby
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Brendan Sorsby
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $961
Bryce Underwood0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Bryce Underwood0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Bryce Underwood
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Bryce Underwood
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bryce Underwood
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $2K
Jayden Maiava0.1%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Jayden Maiava0.1%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Jayden Maiava
0.1%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Jayden Maiava
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jayden Maiava
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $886
John Mateer0.1%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)John Mateer0.1%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
John Mateer
0.1%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
John Mateer
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- John Mateer
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $861
Marcel Reed0.1%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Marcel Reed0.1%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Marcel Reed
0.1%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Marcel Reed
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Marcel Reed
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $818
Will Hammond0.1%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Will Hammond0.1%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Will Hammond
0.1%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Will Hammond
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Will Hammond
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $588
Byrum Brown0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Byrum Brown0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Byrum Brown
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Byrum Brown
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Byrum Brown
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $676
Demond Williams Jr.0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Demond Williams Jr.0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Demond Williams Jr.
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Demond Williams Jr.
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Demond Williams Jr.
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $395
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $847
Kamario Taylor0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Kamario Taylor0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kamario Taylor
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kamario Taylor
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kamario Taylor
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $50
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: heisman.com
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Jeremiah Smith
- Darian Mensah
- Trinidad Chambliss
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner". Jeremiah Smith leads at 36.1%. Next is Darian Mensah at 17.1%. $300K has traded across 32 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026. If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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