The Prediction Markets

NCAA Football 2026 PAC-12 Conference: Winner

Closes
Dec 19, 2026, in 57 days
Traded
$5K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Boise State Broncos 50.4%

Next is Oregon State Beavers at 31.2%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Boise State Broncos 50.4%Oregon State Beavers 31.2%Texas State Bobcats 7.7%Fresno State Bulldogs 3.6%Utah State Aggies 2.7%3 others 4.4%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Boise State Broncos
50.4%
Polymarket 55.5%(50.4% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Polymarket
Contract
Boise State Broncos
Last price
55.5%
Fair, margin removed
50.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Volume
$955
Trade this on Polymarket
Oregon State Beavers
31.2%
Polymarket 34.4%(31.2% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 34.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $287 (2.87x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oregon State Beavers
Last price
34.4%
Fair, margin removed
31.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
34.9¢
Sell Yes
33.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$287 (2.87x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Texas State Bobcats
7.7%
Polymarket 8.5%(7.7% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Texas State Bobcats
Last price
8.5%
Fair, margin removed
7.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$652
Trade this on Polymarket
Fresno State Bulldogs
3.6%
Polymarket 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fresno State Bulldogs
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Volume
$222
Trade this on Polymarket
Utah State Aggies
2.7%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Utah State Aggies
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$140
Trade this on Polymarket
Washington State Cougars
1.9%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Washington State Cougars
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3.6¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,778 (27.8x)
Volume
$275
Trade this on Polymarket
Colorado State Rams
1.6%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Colorado State Rams
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Volume
$266
Trade this on Polymarket
San Diego State Aztecs
0.9%
Polymarket 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
San Diego State Aztecs
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: pac-12.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Boise State Broncos
  • Oregon State Beavers
  • Texas State Bobcats

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NCAA Football 2026 PAC-12 Conference: Winner". Boise State Broncos leads at 50.4%. Next is Oregon State Beavers at 31.2%. $5K has traded across 8 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pac-12 Football Championship Game, determining the champion of the Pac-12 Conference for the 2026 college football season, currently scheduled for December 4, 2026. If this championship is postponed after December 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared co-champions, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Pac-12 Conference (https://pac-12.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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