The Prediction Markets

NCAA Football 2026 Sun Belt Conference: Winner

Closes
Dec 19, 2026, in 56 days
Traded
$7K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

App State Mountaineers 43.5%

Next is James Madison Dukes at 43.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
App State Mountaineers
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 86.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Polymarket
Contract
App State Mountaineers
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
86.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Trade this on Polymarket
James Madison Dukes
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
Contract
James Madison Dukes
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$27
Trade this on Polymarket
Troy Trojans
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
Contract
Troy Trojans
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
34.1%
Polymarket 34.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
Contract
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
Last price
34.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Old Dominion Monarchs
32.8%
Polymarket 32.8%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 65¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Polymarket
Contract
Old Dominion Monarchs
Last price
32.8%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
31.7%
Polymarket 31.7%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Polymarket
Contract
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
Last price
31.7%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Georgia State Panthers
29%
Polymarket 29%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 57.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $173 (1.73x)
Polymarket
Contract
Georgia State Panthers
Last price
29%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
57.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$173 (1.73x)
Volume
$34
Trade this on Polymarket
UL Monroe Warhawks
28.7%
Polymarket 28.7%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 56.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $176 (1.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
UL Monroe Warhawks
Last price
28.7%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
56.9¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$176 (1.76x)
Volume
$47
Trade this on Polymarket
Arkansas State Red Wolves
28.5%
Polymarket 28.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arkansas State Red Wolves
Last price
28.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Trade this on Polymarket
South Alabama Jaguars
19.1%
Polymarket 19.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
South Alabama Jaguars
Last price
19.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 4 more outcomes
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
18%
Polymarket 18%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
12%
Polymarket 12%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Georgia Southern Eagles
7.6%
Polymarket 7.6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Georgia Southern Eagles
Last price
7.6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Marshall Thundering Herd
7.6%
Polymarket 7.6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 14.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $680 (6.80x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marshall Thundering Herd
Last price
7.6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
14.7¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$680 (6.80x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: sunbelt.org

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • App State Mountaineers
  • James Madison Dukes
  • Troy Trojans

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NCAA Football 2026 Sun Belt Conference: Winner". App State Mountaineers leads at 43.5%. Next is James Madison Dukes at 43.5%. $7K has traded across 14 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Sun Belt Football Championship Game, determining the champion of the Sun Belt Conference for the 2026 college football season, currently scheduled for December 4, 2026. If this championship is postponed after December 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared co-champions, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Sun Belt Conference (https://sunbelt.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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