The Prediction Markets

NCAA Football: CFB Playoff Top 4 Seeds

Closes
Dec 21, 2026, in 58 days
Traded
$58K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Miami (FL) 68%

Next is Notre Dame at 63%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Miami (FL)
68%
Polymarket 68%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miami (FL)
Last price
68%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Notre Dame
63%
Polymarket 63%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Polymarket
Contract
Notre Dame
Last price
63%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Georgia
62%
Polymarket 62%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Georgia
Last price
62%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$987
Trade this on Polymarket
Indiana
41.5%
Polymarket 41.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Indiana
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ohio St.
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ohio St.
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ole Miss
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ole Miss
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$573
Trade this on Polymarket
Texas Tech
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
Texas Tech
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
BYU
29.5%
Polymarket 29.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
BYU
Last price
29.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$698
Trade this on Polymarket
Alabama
17%
Polymarket 17%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alabama
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$349
Trade this on Polymarket
Utah
13.9%
Polymarket 13.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Utah
Last price
13.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
11.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$554
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 40 more outcomes
Tennessee
13.5%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tennessee
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$331
Trade this on Polymarket
Texas
12%
Polymarket 12%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Texas
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kansas St.
11.3%
Polymarket 11.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $463 (4.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kansas St.
Last price
11.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
21.6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$463 (4.63x)
Volume
$800
Trade this on Polymarket
USC
10%
Polymarket 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
USC
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$592
Trade this on Polymarket
Oklahoma
9.2%
Polymarket 9.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oklahoma
Last price
9.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$357
Trade this on Polymarket
Penn St.
7.1%
Polymarket 7.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Penn St.
Last price
7.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$730
Trade this on Polymarket
LSU
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
LSU
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Houston
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Houston
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$240
Trade this on Polymarket
Oregon
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oregon
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.3¢
Sell Yes
5.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,587 (15.9x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kentucky
5.6%
Polymarket 5.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kentucky
Last price
5.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.2¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,613 (16.1x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
Virginia Tech
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Virginia Tech
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Volume
$90
Trade this on Polymarket
Virginia
4.7%
Polymarket 4.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Virginia
Last price
4.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
3.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$150
Trade this on Polymarket
Iowa
4.4%
Polymarket 4.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iowa
Last price
4.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
3.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$250
Trade this on Polymarket
Pittsburgh
4.4%
Polymarket 4.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pittsburgh
Last price
4.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.5¢
Sell Yes
3.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,818 (18.2x)
Volume
$920
Trade this on Polymarket
SMU
4.3%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
SMU
Last price
4.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.6¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,786 (17.9x)
Volume
$430
Trade this on Polymarket
Clemson
4.3%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Clemson
Last price
4.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.3¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,587 (15.9x)
Volume
$230
Trade this on Polymarket
Tulane
4.2%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tulane
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.4¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,563 (15.6x)
Volume
$540
Trade this on Polymarket
Arizona St.
4.2%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arizona St.
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$105
Trade this on Polymarket
Arizona
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arizona
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
California
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
California
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.7¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,493 (14.9x)
Volume
$400
Trade this on Polymarket
South Carolina
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
South Carolina
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.1¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,961 (19.6x)
Volume
$220
Trade this on Polymarket
James Madison
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
James Madison
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.2¢
Sell Yes
2.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,923 (19.2x)
Volume
$800
Trade this on Polymarket
Auburn
3.9%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Auburn
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$120
Trade this on Polymarket
Baylor
3.8%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Baylor
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.5¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,818 (18.2x)
Volume
$580
Trade this on Polymarket
Missouri
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Missouri
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$170
Trade this on Polymarket
TCU
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
TCU
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$182
Trade this on Polymarket
Louisville
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Louisville
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Michigan
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michigan
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3.2¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,125 (31.3x)
Volume
$407
Trade this on Polymarket
Arkansas
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arkansas
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Ohio St.
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oklahoma St.
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$751
Trade this on Polymarket
Florida St.
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Florida St.
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.2¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,923 (19.2x)
Volume
$420
Trade this on Polymarket
Miami (OH)
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miami (OH)
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.2¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,923 (19.2x)
Volume
$360
Trade this on Polymarket
North Carolina St.
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
North Carolina St.
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.2¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,923 (19.2x)
Volume
$800
Trade this on Polymarket
Georgia Tech
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Georgia Tech
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.2¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,923 (19.2x)
Volume
$420
Trade this on Polymarket
North Texas
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
North Texas
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Illinois
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Illinois
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.7¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,128 (21.3x)
Volume
$270
Trade this on Polymarket
Texas A&M
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Texas A&M
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3.2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,125 (31.3x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Vanderbilt
1.8%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Vanderbilt
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,846 (38.5x)
Volume
$594
Trade this on Polymarket
Washington
1.7%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Washington
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,167 (41.7x)
Volume
$700
Trade this on Polymarket
Florida
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Florida
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$410
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Miami (FL)
  • Notre Dame
  • Georgia

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NCAA Football: CFB Playoff Top 4 Seeds". Miami (FL) leads at 68%. Next is Notre Dame at 63%. $58K has traded across 50 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 21, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the above team is seeded No. 1, No. 2, No. 3, or No. 4 in the 2026-27 College Football Playoff bracket, and "No" otherwise. If the 2026-27 College Football Playoff is canceled, or an official bracket is not released by December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all outcomes in this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the College Football Playoff (collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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