The Prediction Markets

NCAA Football: CFB Playoffs team to make Quarters

Closes
Jan 14, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$15K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Notre Dame 81.5%

Next is Georgia at 79.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Notre Dame
81.5%
Polymarket 81.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Polymarket
Contract
Notre Dame
Last price
81.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Georgia
79.5%
Polymarket 79.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
Contract
Georgia
Last price
79.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$618
Trade this on Polymarket
Miami (FL)
76%
Polymarket 76%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miami (FL)
Last price
76%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$718
Trade this on Polymarket
Ohio St.
64.5%
Polymarket 64.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 78¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ohio St.
Last price
64.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$848
Trade this on Polymarket
Indiana
64%
Polymarket 64%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Indiana
Last price
64%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$383
Trade this on Polymarket
Alabama
46.5%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alabama
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$711
Trade this on Polymarket
Houston
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
Contract
Houston
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Trade this on Polymarket
James Madison
45%
Polymarket 45%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 89.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
James Madison
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
BYU
36%
Polymarket 36%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
BYU
Last price
36%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$219
Trade this on Polymarket
Ole Miss
34.5%
Polymarket 34.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ole Miss
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$312
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 40 more outcomes
Tennessee
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tennessee
Last price
32.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Texas
32%
Polymarket 32%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
Texas
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$781
Trade this on Polymarket
Texas Tech
31.5%
Polymarket 31.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Texas Tech
Last price
31.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$175
Trade this on Polymarket
Utah
25.5%
Polymarket 25.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Utah
Last price
25.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$46
Trade this on Polymarket
LSU
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
LSU
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Iowa
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iowa
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kentucky
22.1%
Polymarket 22.1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kentucky
Last price
22.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Trade this on Polymarket
USC
19.5%
Polymarket 19.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
USC
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$155
Trade this on Polymarket
Baylor
19.1%
Polymarket 19.1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
Baylor
Last price
19.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Pittsburgh
19.1%
Polymarket 19.1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 37.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $265 (2.65x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pittsburgh
Last price
19.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37.7¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$265 (2.65x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Polymarket
Missouri
19%
Polymarket 19%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
Missouri
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Arizona
18.6%
Polymarket 18.6%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 36.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $275 (2.75x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arizona
Last price
18.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36.4¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$275 (2.75x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Virginia Tech
18.6%
Polymarket 18.6%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Virginia Tech
Last price
18.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Clemson
17.8%
Polymarket 17.8%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 35.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $283 (2.83x)
Polymarket
Contract
Clemson
Last price
17.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$283 (2.83x)
Volume
$114
Trade this on Polymarket
Florida St.
17.7%
Polymarket 17.7%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
Florida St.
Last price
17.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$212
Trade this on Polymarket
TCU
17.5%
Polymarket 17.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
TCU
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$150
Trade this on Polymarket
Georgia Tech
17.2%
Polymarket 17.2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 34.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $292 (2.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
Georgia Tech
Last price
17.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$292 (2.92x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Illinois
16.9%
Polymarket 16.9%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 33.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $299 (2.99x)
Polymarket
Contract
Illinois
Last price
16.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$299 (2.99x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Arizona St.
16.4%
Polymarket 16.4%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 32.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $308 (3.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arizona St.
Last price
16.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32.5¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$308 (3.08x)
Volume
$42
Trade this on Polymarket
Florida
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Florida
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kansas St.
13.6%
Polymarket 13.6%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 23.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $418 (4.18x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kansas St.
Last price
13.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23.9¢
Sell Yes
3.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$418 (4.18x)
Volume
$266
Trade this on Polymarket
Penn St.
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Penn St.
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Ohio St.
12.1%
Polymarket 12.1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 23.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $418 (4.18x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oklahoma St.
Last price
12.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$418 (4.18x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Michigan
12%
Polymarket 12%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michigan
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Washington
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 22.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $439 (4.39x)
Polymarket
Contract
Washington
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$439 (4.39x)
Volume
$165
Trade this on Polymarket
Texas A&M
11%
Polymarket 11%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Texas A&M
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$268
Trade this on Polymarket
Auburn
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Auburn
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$195
Trade this on Polymarket
North Texas
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
North Texas
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$130
Trade this on Polymarket
California
7.4%
Polymarket 7.4%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 14.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $690 (6.90x)
Polymarket
Contract
California
Last price
7.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$690 (6.90x)
Volume
$165
Trade this on Polymarket
Louisville
6.8%
Polymarket 6.8%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 13.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $746 (7.46x)
Polymarket
Contract
Louisville
Last price
6.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$746 (7.46x)
Volume
$326
Trade this on Polymarket
South Carolina
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
South Carolina
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$180
Trade this on Polymarket
Oklahoma
5.7%
Polymarket 5.7%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 11.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $901 (9.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oklahoma
Last price
5.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$901 (9.01x)
Volume
$94
Trade this on Polymarket
Virginia
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Virginia
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$160
Trade this on Polymarket
SMU
3.7%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
SMU
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.2¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,613 (16.1x)
Volume
$420
Trade this on Polymarket
Miami (OH)
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miami (OH)
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Volume
$93
Trade this on Polymarket
Oregon
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oregon
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Volume
$818
Trade this on Polymarket
Tulane
2.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tulane
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.9¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,564 (25.6x)
Volume
$258
Trade this on Polymarket
Vanderbilt
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Vanderbilt
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Volume
$106
Trade this on Polymarket
North Carolina St.
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
North Carolina St.
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.2¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,545 (45.5x)
Volume
$180
Trade this on Polymarket
Arkansas
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arkansas
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$155
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: collegefootballplayoff.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Notre Dame
  • Georgia
  • Miami (FL)

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NCAA Football: CFB Playoffs team to make Quarters". Notre Dame leads at 81.5%. Next is Georgia at 79.5%. $15K has traded across 50 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 14, 2027.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team reaches the quarterfinal round of the 2026 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "quarterfinal round" refers to the round of the 12-team College Football Playoff for the 2026 season in which eight teams remain (the four first-round winners plus the four teams seeded 1–4 that received first-round byes). A team counts as reaching the quarterfinals if it is scheduled to play in a quarterfinal game, whether by receiving a top-4 seed and a first-round bye or by winning its first-round game. If the College Football Playoff for the 2026 season is canceled or the quarterfinal round is not played by January 13, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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