The Prediction Markets

NCAA Football: CFB Playoffs team to make Semis

Closes
Jan 29, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$13K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Miami (FL) 63.5%

Next is Indiana at 53.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Miami (FL)
63.5%
Polymarket 63.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miami (FL)
Last price
63.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$972
Trade this on Polymarket
Indiana
53.5%
Polymarket 53.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Indiana
Last price
53.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$543
Trade this on Polymarket
BYU
51%
Polymarket 51%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 96.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
BYU
Last price
51%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96.9¢
Sell Yes
5.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
James Madison
50.2%
Polymarket 50.2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 99.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
James Madison
Last price
50.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.6¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Missouri
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 99.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Missouri
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iowa
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iowa
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Florida
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Florida
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$240
Trade this on Polymarket
Georgia Tech
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 96.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Georgia Tech
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Houston
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Houston
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Clemson
48.3%
Polymarket 48.3%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 95.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Clemson
Last price
48.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95.9¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 40 more outcomes
TCU
48.2%
Polymarket 48.2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 95.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
TCU
Last price
48.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95.6¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Arizona
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 94.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arizona
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Georgia
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Georgia
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$524
Trade this on Polymarket
Kansas St.
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 94.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kansas St.
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Baylor
47.1%
Polymarket 47.1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 93.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $107 (1.07x)
Polymarket
Contract
Baylor
Last price
47.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$107 (1.07x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
California
47%
Polymarket 47%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 93.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
California
Last price
47%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Auburn
46.9%
Polymarket 46.9%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Auburn
Last price
46.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Michigan
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michigan
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Washington
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 89.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Washington
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$41
Trade this on Polymarket
Pittsburgh
45.4%
Polymarket 45.4%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pittsburgh
Last price
45.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Florida St.
45.1%
Polymarket 45.1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Florida St.
Last price
45.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Louisville
45.1%
Polymarket 45.1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Louisville
Last price
45.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Virginia
45.1%
Polymarket 45.1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Virginia
Last price
45.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kentucky
44.7%
Polymarket 44.7%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kentucky
Last price
44.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$81
Trade this on Polymarket
Virginia Tech
44.6%
Polymarket 44.6%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
Contract
Virginia Tech
Last price
44.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Vanderbilt
44.3%
Polymarket 44.3%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Vanderbilt
Last price
44.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$89
Trade this on Polymarket
Texas A&M
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Polymarket
Contract
Texas A&M
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Polymarket
USC
42.5%
Polymarket 42.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 83.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Polymarket
Contract
USC
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83.9¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Texas Tech
42%
Polymarket 42%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 78¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Polymarket
Contract
Texas Tech
Last price
42%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$245
Trade this on Polymarket
Notre Dame
40%
Polymarket 40%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Notre Dame
Last price
40%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ohio St.
31.5%
Polymarket 31.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ohio St.
Last price
31.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$809
Trade this on Polymarket
Alabama
29%
Polymarket 29%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alabama
Last price
29%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$535
Trade this on Polymarket
South Carolina
29%
Polymarket 29%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Polymarket
Contract
South Carolina
Last price
29%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Illinois
26.4%
Polymarket 26.4%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
Illinois
Last price
26.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Texas
25.5%
Polymarket 25.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
Texas
Last price
25.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$700
Trade this on Polymarket
LSU
23%
Polymarket 23%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
LSU
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Utah
20.4%
Polymarket 20.4%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
Utah
Last price
20.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Tennessee
17.5%
Polymarket 17.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tennessee
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Tulane
17.1%
Polymarket 17.1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tulane
Last price
17.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Ole Miss
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ole Miss
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
Miami (OH)
14.7%
Polymarket 14.7%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miami (OH)
Last price
14.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$43
Trade this on Polymarket
Oklahoma
14.5%
Polymarket 14.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oklahoma
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Penn St.
14.5%
Polymarket 14.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Penn St.
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
SMU
14.5%
Polymarket 14.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
SMU
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Polymarket
North Carolina St.
13.9%
Polymarket 13.9%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
North Carolina St.
Last price
13.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Ohio St.
13.6%
Polymarket 13.6%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oklahoma St.
Last price
13.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Arizona St.
13.6%
Polymarket 13.6%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arizona St.
Last price
13.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Arkansas
8.9%
Polymarket 8.9%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 16.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $599 (5.99x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arkansas
Last price
8.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16.7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$599 (5.99x)
Volume
$131
Trade this on Polymarket
Oregon
6.8%
Polymarket 6.8%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 12.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $787 (7.87x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oregon
Last price
6.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12.7¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$787 (7.87x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
North Texas
3.8%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
North Texas
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.8¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,471 (14.7x)
Volume
$77
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: collegefootballplayoff.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Miami (FL)
  • Indiana
  • BYU

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NCAA Football: CFB Playoffs team to make Semis". Miami (FL) leads at 63.5%. Next is Indiana at 53.5%. $13K has traded across 50 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 29, 2027.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team reaches the semifinal round of the 2026 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "semifinal round" refers to the round of the 12-team College Football Playoff for the 2026 season in which four teams remain (the winners of the four quarterfinal games). A team counts as reaching the semifinals if it is scheduled to play in a semifinal game by winning its quarterfinal game. If the College Football Playoff for the 2026 season is canceled or the semifinal round is not played by January 28, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

See all sports markets