The Prediction Markets

NCAA Football: Team to be Ranked #1

Closes
TBD
Traded
$14K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
47 min ago
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What the markets expect

Indiana 50.5%

Next is Alabama at 50%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 47 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Indiana
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 47 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Indiana
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled 47 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
1¢
Volume
$73
Trade this on Polymarket
Alabama
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 47 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Alabama
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 47 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Notre Dame
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 47 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Notre Dame
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 47 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Oregon
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 99.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oregon
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 47 min ago
Buy Yes
99.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
LSU
15%
Polymarket 15%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
LSU
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 47 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
Texas Tech
11.6%
Polymarket 11.6%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Texas Tech
Last price
11.6%
As of
Polled 47 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Polymarket
Tennessee
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tennessee
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 47 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$584
Trade this on Polymarket
Michigan
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 9.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,020 (10.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michigan
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 47 min ago
Buy Yes
9.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,020 (10.2x)
Volume
$188
Trade this on Polymarket
Oklahoma
4.8%
Polymarket 4.8%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 8.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oklahoma
Last price
4.8%
As of
Polled 47 min ago
Buy Yes
8.6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,163 (11.6x)
Volume
$280
Trade this on Polymarket
Florida
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Florida
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled 47 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 3 more outcomes
USC
1.9%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
USC
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled 47 min ago
Buy Yes
3.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,857 (28.6x)
Volume
$130
Trade this on Polymarket
Penn St.
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Penn St.
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 47 min ago
Buy Yes
2.2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,545 (45.5x)
Volume
$260
Trade this on Polymarket
Texas A&M
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Texas A&M
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 47 min ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$413
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: apnews.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Indiana
  • Alabama
  • Notre Dame

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NCAA Football: Team to be Ranked #1". Indiana leads at 50.5%. Next is Alabama at 50%. $14K has traded across 13 outcomes on Polymarket.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team is ranked #1 on the AP top 25 College Football Poll during any gameweek of the 2026-27 season, preseason polls do not count. Otherwise this market will resolve "No". This market does not count any other ranking sources such as other power rankings or CFP rankings. The primary resolution source for this market will be the AP News Top 25 College Football Poll (https://apnews.com/hub/ap-top-25-college-football-poll), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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