The Prediction Markets

NCAA Football: Team to have an Undefeated Season

Closes
TBD
Traded
$28K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
3 min ago
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What the markets expect

Miami (FL) 28.2%

Next is Texas Tech at 26.3%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Miami (FL) 28.2%Texas Tech 26.3%BYU 25%Utah 20.5%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Miami (FL)
28.2%
Polymarket 29.5%(28.2% fair)polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miami (FL)
Last price
29.5%
Fair, margin removed
28.2%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Texas Tech
26.3%
Polymarket 27.5%(26.3% fair)polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Texas Tech
Last price
27.5%
Fair, margin removed
26.3%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
BYU
25%
Polymarket 26.2%(25% fair)polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 27.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $368 (3.68x)
Polymarket
Contract
BYU
Last price
26.2%
Fair, margin removed
25%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
27.2¢
Sell Yes
25.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$368 (3.68x)
Volume
$857
Trade this on Polymarket
Utah
20.5%
Polymarket 21.5%(20.5% fair)polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Utah
Last price
21.5%
Fair, margin removed
20.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: ncaa.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Miami (FL)
  • Texas Tech
  • BYU

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Cover all 4 outcomes across venues

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NCAA Football: Team to have an Undefeated Season". Miami (FL) leads at 28.2%. Next is Texas Tech at 26.3%. $28K has traded across 4 outcomes on Polymarket.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team completes the 2026 college football regular season undefeated. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Only regular-season games count; conference championship, bowl, and College Football Playoff games do not count toward this market. A canceled or unplayed game does not count as a loss. If the 2026 FBS regular season is not completed for the listed team such that its undefeated status cannot be determined, or is postponed past January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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