The Prediction Markets

NCAA Football: Team to make College Football Playoffs

Closes
TBD
Traded
$36K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Miami (FL) 89.5%

Next is Georgia at 85.9%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Miami (FL)
89.5%
Polymarket 89.5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miami (FL)
Last price
89.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$90
Trade this on Polymarket
Georgia
85.9%
Polymarket 85.9%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 89.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Georgia
Last price
85.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89.8¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$16
Trade this on Polymarket
Indiana
78.5%
Polymarket 78.5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Polymarket
Contract
Indiana
Last price
78.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$784
Trade this on Polymarket
Ohio St.
78%
Polymarket 78%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ohio St.
Last price
78%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Notre Dame
76.5%
Polymarket 76.5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
Notre Dame
Last price
76.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$185
Trade this on Polymarket
BYU
62.5%
Polymarket 62.5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
Contract
BYU
Last price
62.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$976
Trade this on Polymarket
Alabama
57.5%
Polymarket 57.5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alabama
Last price
57.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ole Miss
55.5%
Polymarket 55.5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ole Miss
Last price
55.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$301
Trade this on Polymarket
Texas Tech
54%
Polymarket 54%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Texas Tech
Last price
54%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$732
Trade this on Polymarket
Utah
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Utah
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$874
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 40 more outcomes
Tennessee
40.5%
Polymarket 40.5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tennessee
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$302
Trade this on Polymarket
LSU
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
LSU
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Texas
38%
Polymarket 38%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Texas
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Iowa
27.5%
Polymarket 27.5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iowa
Last price
27.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$361
Trade this on Polymarket
Kentucky
27%
Polymarket 27%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kentucky
Last price
27%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$168
Trade this on Polymarket
USC
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
USC
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Florida
21.5%
Polymarket 21.5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Florida
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Oregon
20%
Polymarket 20%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oregon
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Houston
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
Houston
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$213
Trade this on Polymarket
SMU
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
SMU
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$566
Trade this on Polymarket
Auburn
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 13.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $741 (7.41x)
Polymarket
Contract
Auburn
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13.5¢
Sell Yes
7.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$741 (7.41x)
Volume
$159
Trade this on Polymarket
Missouri
10%
Polymarket 10%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Missouri
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Arizona
9.5%
Polymarket 9.5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arizona
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Michigan
6.4%
Polymarket 6.4%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 7.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,389 (13.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michigan
Last price
6.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.2¢
Sell Yes
5.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,389 (13.9x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
James Madison
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
James Madison
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ohio St.
5.2%
Polymarket 5.2%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 8.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,235 (12.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oklahoma St.
Last price
5.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.1¢
Sell Yes
2.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,235 (12.3x)
Volume
$264
Trade this on Polymarket
Baylor
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Baylor
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Pittsburgh
3.9%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pittsburgh
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Volume
$335
Trade this on Polymarket
Texas A&M
3.9%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Texas A&M
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$233
Trade this on Polymarket
Louisville
3.7%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Louisville
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.2¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,613 (16.1x)
Volume
$258
Trade this on Polymarket
Penn St.
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Penn St.
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Volume
$750
Trade this on Polymarket
Oklahoma
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 3.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oklahoma
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.3¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,030 (30.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
South Carolina
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 5.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
South Carolina
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.1¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,961 (19.6x)
Volume
$55
Trade this on Polymarket
Florida St.
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Florida St.
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Miami (OH)
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miami (OH)
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
North Texas
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
North Texas
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Virginia
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Virginia
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kansas St.
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kansas St.
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
California
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
California
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Georgia Tech
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Georgia Tech
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Illinois
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Illinois
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$550
Trade this on Polymarket
Vanderbilt
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Vanderbilt
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Arizona St.
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arizona St.
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Arkansas
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arkansas
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Clemson
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Clemson
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
North Carolina St.
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
North Carolina St.
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
TCU
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
TCU
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Tulane
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tulane
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Virginia Tech
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Virginia Tech
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.5¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,857 (28.6x)
Volume
$32
Trade this on Polymarket
Washington
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Washington
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$740
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: collegefootballplayoff.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Miami (FL)
  • Georgia
  • Indiana

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
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—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NCAA Football: Team to make College Football Playoffs". Miami (FL) leads at 89.5%. Next is Georgia at 85.9%. $36K has traded across 50 outcomes on Polymarket.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team is selected to participate in the 2026 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". If the selected team does not participate in the College Football Playoffs for any reason, this market will resolve "No". If the College Football Playoff for the 2026 season is canceled or the participating teams cannot be determined by December 20, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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