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Trading ended on Oct 19, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Alabama50.5%50.5%1¢ bid, — askpolled, 60 h agoNo askAlabama50.5%Polymarket 50.5%polled, 60 h ago
Alabama
50.5%
50.5%
1¢ bid, — ask
polled, 60 h ago
No ask
Alabama
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 60 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Alabama
- Last price
- 50.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- Volume
- $78
BYU50.5%50.5%1¢ bid, — askpolled, 60 h agoNo askBYU50.5%Polymarket 50.5%polled, 60 h ago
BYU
50.5%
50.5%
1¢ bid, — ask
polled, 60 h ago
No ask
BYU
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 60 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- BYU
- Last price
- 50.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- Volume
- $278
Georgia50.5%50.5%1¢ bid, — askpolled, 60 h agoNo askGeorgia50.5%Polymarket 50.5%polled, 60 h ago
Georgia
50.5%
50.5%
1¢ bid, — ask
polled, 60 h ago
No ask
Georgia
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 60 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Georgia
- Last price
- 50.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- Volume
- $278
Houston50.5%50.5%1¢ bid, — askpolled, 60 h agoNo askHouston50.5%Polymarket 50.5%polled, 60 h ago
Houston
50.5%
50.5%
1¢ bid, — ask
polled, 60 h ago
No ask
Houston
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 60 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Houston
- Last price
- 50.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- Volume
- $200
Indiana50.5%50.5%1¢ bid, — askpolled, 60 h agoNo askIndiana50.5%Polymarket 50.5%polled, 60 h ago
Indiana
50.5%
50.5%
1¢ bid, — ask
polled, 60 h ago
No ask
Indiana
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 60 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Indiana
- Last price
- 50.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- Volume
- $278
LSU50.5%50.5%1¢ bid, — askpolled, 60 h agoNo askLSU50.5%Polymarket 50.5%polled, 60 h ago
LSU
50.5%
50.5%
1¢ bid, — ask
polled, 60 h ago
No ask
LSU
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 60 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- LSU
- Last price
- 50.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- Volume
- $78
Miami (FL)50.5%50.5%1¢ bid, — askpolled, 60 h agoNo askMiami (FL)50.5%Polymarket 50.5%polled, 60 h ago
Miami (FL)
50.5%
50.5%
1¢ bid, — ask
polled, 60 h ago
No ask
Miami (FL)
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 60 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Miami (FL)
- Last price
- 50.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- Volume
- $232
Notre Dame50.5%50.5%1¢ bid, — askpolled, 60 h agoNo askNotre Dame50.5%Polymarket 50.5%polled, 60 h ago
Notre Dame
50.5%
50.5%
1¢ bid, — ask
polled, 60 h ago
No ask
Notre Dame
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 60 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Notre Dame
- Last price
- 50.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- Volume
- $78
Ohio St.50.5%50.5%1¢ bid, — askpolled, 60 h agoNo askOhio St.50.5%Polymarket 50.5%polled, 60 h ago
Ohio St.
50.5%
50.5%
1¢ bid, — ask
polled, 60 h ago
No ask
Ohio St.
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 60 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ohio St.
- Last price
- 50.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- Volume
- $278
Ole Miss50.5%50.5%1¢ bid, — askpolled, 60 h agoNo askOle Miss50.5%Polymarket 50.5%polled, 60 h ago
Ole Miss
50.5%
50.5%
1¢ bid, — ask
polled, 60 h ago
No ask
Ole Miss
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 60 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ole Miss
- Last price
- 50.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- Volume
- $78
Show 30 more outcomesHide 30 outcomes
SMU50.5%50.5%1¢ bid, — askpolled, 60 h agoNo askSMU50.5%Polymarket 50.5%polled, 60 h ago
SMU
50.5%
50.5%
1¢ bid, — ask
polled, 60 h ago
No ask
SMU
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 60 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- SMU
- Last price
- 50.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- Volume
- $200
Texas50.5%50.5%1¢ bid, — askpolled, 60 h agoNo askTexas50.5%Polymarket 50.5%polled, 60 h ago
Texas
50.5%
50.5%
1¢ bid, — ask
polled, 60 h ago
No ask
Texas
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 60 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Texas
- Last price
- 50.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- Volume
- $278
Texas Tech50.5%50.5%1¢ bid, — askpolled, 60 h agoNo askTexas Tech50.5%Polymarket 50.5%polled, 60 h ago
Texas Tech
50.5%
50.5%
1¢ bid, — ask
polled, 60 h ago
No ask
Texas Tech
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 60 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Texas Tech
- Last price
- 50.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- Volume
- $278
Arizona50%50%No order bookpolled, 60 h agoNo askArizona50%Polymarket 50%polled, 60 h ago
Arizona
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 60 h ago
No ask
Arizona
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 60 h ago
Arizona St.50%50%No order bookpolled, 60 h agoNo askArizona St.50%Polymarket 50%polled, 60 h ago
Arizona St.
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 60 h ago
No ask
Arizona St.
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 60 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Arizona St.
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Auburn50%50%No order bookpolled, 60 h agoNo askAuburn50%Polymarket 50%polled, 60 h ago
Auburn
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 60 h ago
No ask
Auburn
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 60 h ago
Baylor50%50%No order bookpolled, 60 h agoNo askBaylor50%Polymarket 50%polled, 60 h ago
Baylor
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 60 h ago
No ask
Baylor
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 60 h ago
Boise St.50%50%No order bookpolled, 60 h agoNo askBoise St.50%Polymarket 50%polled, 60 h ago
Boise St.
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 60 h ago
No ask
Boise St.
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 60 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Boise St.
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Florida50%50%No order bookpolled, 60 h agoNo askFlorida50%Polymarket 50%polled, 60 h ago
Florida
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 60 h ago
No ask
Florida
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 60 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Florida
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
- Volume
- $200
Iowa50%50%No order bookpolled, 60 h agoNo askIowa50%Polymarket 50%polled, 60 h ago
Iowa
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 60 h ago
No ask
Iowa
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 60 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Iowa
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
- Volume
- $200
Missouri50%50%No order bookpolled, 60 h agoNo askMissouri50%Polymarket 50%polled, 60 h ago
Missouri
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 60 h ago
No ask
Missouri
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 60 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Missouri
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
- Volume
- $200
Ohio St.Polymarket: “Oklahoma St.”50%50%No order bookpolled, 60 h agoNo askOhio St.50%Polymarket 50%polled, 60 h ago
Ohio St.
Polymarket: “Oklahoma St.”
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 60 h ago
No ask
Ohio St.
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 60 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oklahoma St.
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Oregon50%50%No order bookpolled, 60 h agoNo askOregon50%Polymarket 50%polled, 60 h ago
Oregon
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 60 h ago
No ask
Oregon
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 60 h ago
Pittsburgh50%50%No order bookpolled, 60 h agoNo askPittsburgh50%Polymarket 50%polled, 60 h ago
Pittsburgh
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 60 h ago
No ask
Pittsburgh
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 60 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pittsburgh
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Tennessee50%50%No order bookpolled, 60 h agoNo askTennessee50%Polymarket 50%polled, 60 h ago
Tennessee
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 60 h ago
No ask
Tennessee
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 60 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Tennessee
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
UCLA50%50%No order bookpolled, 60 h agoNo askUCLA50%Polymarket 50%polled, 60 h ago
UCLA
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 60 h ago
No ask
UCLA
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 60 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- UCLA
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
- Volume
- $200
USC50%50%No order bookpolled, 60 h agoNo askUSC50%Polymarket 50%polled, 60 h ago
USC
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 60 h ago
No ask
USC
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 60 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- USC
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
- Volume
- $200
Utah50%50%No order bookpolled, 60 h agoNo askUtah50%Polymarket 50%polled, 60 h ago
Utah
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 60 h ago
No ask
Utah
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 60 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Utah
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
- Volume
- $200
California49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 60 h ago99¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)California49.5%Polymarket 49.5%polled, 60 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
California
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 60 h ago
99¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
California
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 60 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- California
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Florida St.49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 60 h ago99¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Florida St.49.5%Polymarket 49.5%polled, 60 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Florida St.
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 60 h ago
99¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Florida St.
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 60 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Florida St.
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $78
Georgia Tech49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 60 h ago99¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Georgia Tech49.5%Polymarket 49.5%polled, 60 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Georgia Tech
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 60 h ago
99¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Georgia Tech
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 60 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Georgia Tech
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $78
Kansas St.49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 60 h ago99¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Kansas St.49.5%Polymarket 49.5%polled, 60 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kansas St.
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 60 h ago
99¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kansas St.
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 60 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kansas St.
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $78
Louisville49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 60 h ago99¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Louisville49.5%Polymarket 49.5%polled, 60 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Louisville
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 60 h ago
99¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Louisville
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 60 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Louisville
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $78
Michigan49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 60 h ago99¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Michigan49.5%Polymarket 49.5%polled, 60 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Michigan
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 60 h ago
99¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Michigan
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 60 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Michigan
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $78
Mississippi St.49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 60 h ago99¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Mississippi St.49.5%Polymarket 49.5%polled, 60 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Mississippi St.
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 60 h ago
99¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Mississippi St.
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 60 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Mississippi St.
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Navy49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 60 h ago99¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Navy49.5%Polymarket 49.5%polled, 60 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Navy
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 60 h ago
99¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Navy
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 60 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Navy
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $78
TCU49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 60 h ago99¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)TCU49.5%Polymarket 49.5%polled, 60 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
TCU
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 60 h ago
99¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
TCU
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 60 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- TCU
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $78
Tulane49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 60 h ago99¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Tulane49.5%Polymarket 49.5%polled, 60 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Tulane
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 60 h ago
99¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Tulane
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 60 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Tulane
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $78
Vanderbilt49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 60 h ago99¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Vanderbilt49.5%Polymarket 49.5%polled, 60 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Vanderbilt
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 60 h ago
99¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Vanderbilt
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 60 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Vanderbilt
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $78
Virginia49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 60 h ago99¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Virginia49.5%Polymarket 49.5%polled, 60 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Virginia
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 60 h ago
99¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Virginia
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 60 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Virginia
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $78
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Alabama
- BYU
- Georgia
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "NCAA Football: Teams to be Top 25 in the Week 7 AP Poll". Alabama last traded at 50.5%. Next is BYU at 50.5%. $5K has traded across 40 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Oct 19, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team is ranked within the top 25 (positions 1 through 25, inclusive) of the Week 7 Associated Press (AP) Top 25 college football poll for the 2026 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "Week 7 AP poll" refers to the AP Top 25 poll released in Week 7 of the 2026 regular season, expected on October 18, 2026. The preseason poll does not count. A team ranked exactly 25th counts as "Yes"; a team ranked 26th or lower, receiving only "also receiving votes," or unranked counts as "No". If the AP does not release a Week 7 poll for the 2026 season by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, resolution will be based on the first official in-season AP Top 25 poll published thereafter. The primary resolution source will be the official Associated Press Top 25 college football poll (https://apnews.com/hub/ap-top-25-college-football-poll); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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