The Prediction Markets

NCAA Football: Top Ranked Offense

Closes
Jan 4, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$6K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
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What the markets expect

Miami Hurricanes 47.5%

Next is Ohio State Buckeyes at 9.6%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Miami Hurricanes 47.5%Ohio State Buckeyes 9.6%Texas A&M Aggies 7.5%USC Trojans 7.5%Notre Dame Fighting Irish 5.4%7 others 22.5%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Miami Hurricanes
47.5%
Polymarket 49.6%(47.5% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miami Hurricanes
Last price
49.6%
Fair, margin removed
47.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$52
Trade this on Polymarket
Ohio State Buckeyes
9.6%
Polymarket 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ohio State Buckeyes
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$391
Trade this on Polymarket
Texas A&M Aggies
7.5%
Polymarket 7.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $676 (6.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Texas A&M Aggies
Last price
7.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14.8¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$676 (6.76x)
Volume
$456
Trade this on Polymarket
USC Trojans
7.5%
Polymarket 7.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $671 (6.71x)
Polymarket
Contract
USC Trojans
Last price
7.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14.9¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$671 (6.71x)
Volume
$775
Trade this on Polymarket
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
5.4%
Polymarket 5.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $893 (8.93x)
Polymarket
Contract
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Last price
5.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
11.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$893 (8.93x)
Volume
$371
Trade this on Polymarket
LSU Tigers
4.4%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
LSU Tigers
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$197
Trade this on Polymarket
Indiana Hoosiers
4.3%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Indiana Hoosiers
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Georgia Bulldogs
3.4%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Georgia Bulldogs
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$120
Trade this on Polymarket
Oregon Ducks
3.3%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oregon Ducks
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,471 (14.7x)
Volume
$198
Trade this on Polymarket
BYU Cougars
3.1%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
BYU Cougars
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ole Miss Rebels
3%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ole Miss Rebels
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,923 (19.2x)
Volume
$821
Trade this on Polymarket
Texas Longhorns
1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Texas Longhorns
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$351
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: ncaa.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Miami Hurricanes
  • Ohio State Buckeyes
  • Texas A&M Aggies

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NCAA Football: Top Ranked Offense". Miami Hurricanes leads at 47.5%. Next is Ohio State Buckeyes at 9.6%. $6K has traded across 12 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 4, 2027.

This market will resolve in favor of the team that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most total yards gained per game. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the team with more total points scored during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team with more total yards gained. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA FBS statistics for completed games. If the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which team gained the most total yards per game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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