The Prediction Markets

NCAA Tournament 2027: Team to advance to the Final Four

Closes
Mar 29, 2027, in 5 months
Traded
$14K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
3 h ago
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What the markets expect

Duke 69%

Next is Kansas at 58.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Duke
69%
Polymarket 69%polled, 3 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Duke
Last price
69%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
38¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Kansas
58.5%
Polymarket 58.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kansas
Last price
58.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$140
Trade this on Polymarket
North Carolina
56%
Polymarket 56%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
North Carolina
Last price
56%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$160
Trade this on Polymarket
Colorado State
53%
Polymarket 53%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Colorado State
Last price
53%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
6.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$61
Trade this on Polymarket
Oklahoma
52.5%
Polymarket 52.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oklahoma
Last price
52.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Polymarket
Clemson
52.1%
Polymarket 52.1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Clemson
Last price
52.1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
4.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$120
Trade this on Polymarket
Memphis
50.9%
Polymarket 50.9%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Memphis
Last price
50.9%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
1.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
Florida State
50.1%
Polymarket 50.1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Florida State
Last price
50.1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Pittsburgh
50.1%
Polymarket 50.1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pittsburgh
Last price
50.1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Syracuse
50.1%
Polymarket 50.1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Syracuse
Last price
50.1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 63 more outcomes
Loyola Chicago
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Loyola Chicago
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Purdue
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Purdue
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Dayton
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dayton
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
Notre Dame
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Notre Dame
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Providence
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Providence
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Seton Hall
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Seton Hall
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Butler
49.7%
Polymarket 49.7%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 99.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Butler
Last price
49.7%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
99.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$525
Trade this on Polymarket
Georgetown
49.6%
Polymarket 49.6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Georgetown
Last price
49.6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$81
Trade this on Polymarket
Wake Forest
49.6%
Polymarket 49.6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wake Forest
Last price
49.6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$139
Trade this on Polymarket
Florida
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Florida
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Trade this on Polymarket
USC
34.6%
Polymarket 34.6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 58.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $170 (1.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
USC
Last price
34.6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
58.9¢
Sell Yes
10.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$170 (1.70x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
UConn
23.5%
Polymarket 23.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
UConn
Last price
23.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$536
Trade this on Polymarket
Illinois
20.5%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
Illinois
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Texas Tech
15.4%
Polymarket 15.4%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 16.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $613 (6.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Texas Tech
Last price
15.4%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
16.3¢
Sell Yes
14.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$613 (6.13x)
Volume
$102
Trade this on Polymarket
LSU
14.9%
Polymarket 14.9%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 18.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $532 (5.32x)
Polymarket
Contract
LSU
Last price
14.9%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
18.8¢
Sell Yes
10.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$532 (5.32x)
Volume
$381
Trade this on Polymarket
Arizona
14.5%
Polymarket 14.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arizona
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Michigan State
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michigan State
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$180
Trade this on Polymarket
Louisville
13.8%
Polymarket 13.8%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 14.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $680 (6.80x)
Polymarket
Contract
Louisville
Last price
13.8%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
14.7¢
Sell Yes
12.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$680 (6.80x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Texas
13.5%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Texas
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
St. John's
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
St. John's
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Houston
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Houston
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Gonzaga
12.2%
Polymarket 12.2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gonzaga
Last price
12.2%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
11.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$382
Trade this on Polymarket
Arkansas
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arkansas
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Miami
9.3%
Polymarket 9.3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 10.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $980 (9.80x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miami
Last price
9.3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
10.2¢
Sell Yes
8.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$980 (9.80x)
Volume
$121
Trade this on Polymarket
Virginia
9%
Polymarket 9%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Virginia
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Missouri
8.4%
Polymarket 8.4%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 9.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,075 (10.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Missouri
Last price
8.4%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
9.3¢
Sell Yes
7.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,075 (10.8x)
Volume
$979
Trade this on Polymarket
Wisconsin
8.3%
Polymarket 8.3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 10.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $990 (9.90x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wisconsin
Last price
8.3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
10.1¢
Sell Yes
6.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$990 (9.90x)
Volume
$747
Trade this on Polymarket
Kentucky
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kentucky
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Boston College
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 8.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,136 (11.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Boston College
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
8.8¢
Sell Yes
6.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,136 (11.4x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Auburn
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Auburn
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$101
Trade this on Polymarket
Baylor
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 8.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,136 (11.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Baylor
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
8.8¢
Sell Yes
5.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,136 (11.4x)
Volume
$102
Trade this on Polymarket
Michigan
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michigan
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Vanderbilt
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Vanderbilt
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Villanova
6.7%
Polymarket 6.7%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 7.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Villanova
Last price
6.7%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
7.3¢
Sell Yes
6.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,370 (13.7x)
Volume
$181
Trade this on Polymarket
Richmond
6.6%
Polymarket 6.6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 9.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,053 (10.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Richmond
Last price
6.6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
9.5¢
Sell Yes
3.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,053 (10.5x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
UCLA
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
UCLA
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$619
Trade this on Polymarket
Nebraska
6.4%
Polymarket 6.4%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nebraska
Last price
6.4%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
7.9¢
Sell Yes
4.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,266 (12.7x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
San Diego State
6.4%
Polymarket 6.4%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
San Diego State
Last price
6.4%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
4.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$262
Trade this on Polymarket
VCU
6.3%
Polymarket 6.3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 7.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
VCU
Last price
6.3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
7.6¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,316 (13.2x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Alabama
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alabama
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Iowa State
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iowa State
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Ohio State
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 7.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ohio State
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
7.4¢
Sell Yes
4.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,351 (13.5x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Indiana
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Indiana
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
6.8¢
Sell Yes
5.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,471 (14.7x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
BYU
5.4%
Polymarket 5.4%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
BYU
Last price
5.4%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
6.4¢
Sell Yes
4.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,563 (15.6x)
Volume
$86
Trade this on Polymarket
Tennessee
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tennessee
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$761
Trade this on Polymarket
Oregon
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oregon
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
3.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Ole Miss
4.3%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ole Miss
Last price
4.3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
4.7¢
Sell Yes
3.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,128 (21.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Stanford
4.2%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Stanford
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
3.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
NC State
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
NC State
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
2.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
Creighton
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Creighton
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
2.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$61
Trade this on Polymarket
Nevada
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nevada
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
2.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Virginia Tech
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Virginia Tech
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
2.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
St. Bonaventure
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
St. Bonaventure
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
2.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$82
Trade this on Polymarket
Texas A&M
3.8%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Texas A&M
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Boise State
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Boise State
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
2.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
Iowa
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iowa
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
2.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Xavier
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Xavier
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
4.7¢
Sell Yes
2.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,128 (21.3x)
Volume
$44
Trade this on Polymarket
Cincinnati
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cincinnati
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
Marquette
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 5.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marquette
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
5.1¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,961 (19.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Michigan State
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mississippi State
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
San Francisco
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
San Francisco
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Volume
$63
Trade this on Polymarket
SMU
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
SMU
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Volume
$197
Trade this on Polymarket
St. John's
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Saint Mary's
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: ncaa.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Duke
  • Kansas
  • North Carolina

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NCAA Tournament 2027: Team to advance to the Final Four". Duke leads at 69%. Next is Kansas at 58.5%. $14K has traded across 73 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Mar 29, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team qualifies for the Final Four (national semifinals) of the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Final Four (e.g., it is eliminated or not selected for the tournament), this market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament is cancelled, or the Final Four teams are not determined by April 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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