The Prediction Markets

NCAA Tournament: How many buzzer beaters?

Closed
Apr 13, 2026
Traded
$38K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Apr 13, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 200 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
3+
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4809 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
3+
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 200 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
4+
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4809 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
4+
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 200 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
5+
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4809 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
5+
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 200 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
6+
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4809 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
6+
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 200 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
7+
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4809 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
7+
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 200 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
8+
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4809 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
8+
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 200 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
9+
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4809 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
9+
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 200 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 3+
  • 4+
  • 5+

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "NCAA Tournament: How many buzzer beaters?". 3+ last traded at 0.1%. Next is 4+ at 0.1%. $38K has traded across 7 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of buzzer beater shots scored to end any regulation 2nd half or overtime period during the 2026 Men’s NCAA Tournament equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No” If no buzzer beater is scored during the 2026 NCAA Tournament, the market will resolve to “No” A ‘buzzer beater’ is a made field goal that is scored at the expiration (leaving zero seconds on game clock) of any second-half or overtime period during the NCAA Tournament and ties the game or gives the shooting team the lead. First-half buzzer beaters will not count. Shots by a team that is already ahead or behind and that do not result in a tie or lead change will not count. Shots made at the end of the shot clock are not considered buzzer beaters. If the tournament concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA statistics for completed games. If the NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the exact number of “buzzer beaters” cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA and its official broadcast partners; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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