Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
3.5000 - $3.9999 23%
Next is 3.0000 - $3.4999 at 16%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 57 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
3.5000 - $3.999923%23%3¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 57 min ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)3.5000 - $3.999923%Kalshi 23%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
3.5000 - $3.9999
23%
23%
3¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
3.5000 - $3.9999
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3.5000 - $3.9999
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $111
3.0000 - $3.499916%16%3¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 57 min ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)3.0000 - $3.499916%Kalshi 16%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
3.0000 - $3.4999
16%
16%
3¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
3.0000 - $3.4999
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3.0000 - $3.4999
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $17
10 or above15%15%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 57 min ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)10 or above15%Kalshi 15%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
10 or above
15%
15%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
10 or above
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 10 or above
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $85
7.0000 - $7.499912%12%— bid, 12¢ askpolled, 57 min ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)7.0000 - $7.499912%Kalshi 12%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
7.0000 - $7.4999
12%
12%
— bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
7.0000 - $7.4999
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7.0000 - $7.4999
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $5
7.5000 - $7.999912%12%— bid, 12¢ askpolled, 57 min ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)7.5000 - $7.999912%Kalshi 12%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
7.5000 - $7.9999
12%
12%
— bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
7.5000 - $7.9999
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7.5000 - $7.9999
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $14
8.5000 - $8.999911%11%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, 57 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)8.5000 - $8.999911%Kalshi 11%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
8.5000 - $8.9999
11%
11%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
8.5000 - $8.9999
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 8.5000 - $8.9999
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $23
9.0000 - $9.499911%11%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, 57 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)9.0000 - $9.499911%Kalshi 11%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
9.0000 - $9.4999
11%
11%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
9.0000 - $9.4999
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 9.0000 - $9.4999
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $16
9.5000 - $9.999911%11%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, 57 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)9.5000 - $9.999911%Kalshi 11%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
9.5000 - $9.9999
11%
11%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
9.5000 - $9.9999
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 9.5000 - $9.9999
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $170
0.4999 or below10%10%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 57 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)0.4999 or below10%Kalshi 10%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
0.4999 or below
10%
10%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
0.4999 or below
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.4999 or below
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $7
0.5000 - $0.999910%10%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 57 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)0.5000 - $0.999910%Kalshi 10%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
0.5000 - $0.9999
10%
10%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
0.5000 - $0.9999
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.5000 - $0.9999
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $20
Show 11 more outcomesHide 11 outcomes
1.0000 - $1.499910%10%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, 57 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)1.0000 - $1.499910%Kalshi 10%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
1.0000 - $1.4999
10%
10%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
1.0000 - $1.4999
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.0000 - $1.4999
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $7
1.5000 - $1.99999%9%— bid, 13¢ askpolled, 57 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)1.5000 - $1.99999%Kalshi 9%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
1.5000 - $1.9999
9%
9%
— bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
1.5000 - $1.9999
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.5000 - $1.9999
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $317
2.0000 - $2.49998%8%— bid, 16¢ askpolled, 57 min ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)2.0000 - $2.49998%Kalshi 8%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
2.0000 - $2.4999
8%
8%
— bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
2.0000 - $2.4999
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2.0000 - $2.4999
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
2.5000 - $2.99998%8%— bid, 16¢ askpolled, 57 min ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)2.5000 - $2.99998%Kalshi 8%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
2.5000 - $2.9999
8%
8%
— bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
2.5000 - $2.9999
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2.5000 - $2.9999
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
4.0000 - $4.49998%8%2¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 57 min ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)4.0000 - $4.49998%Kalshi 8%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
4.0000 - $4.4999
8%
8%
2¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
4.0000 - $4.4999
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 4.0000 - $4.4999
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $372
4.5000 - $4.99995%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 57 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)4.5000 - $4.99995%Kalshi 5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
4.5000 - $4.9999
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
4.5000 - $4.9999
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 4.5000 - $4.9999
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
5.0000 - $5.49995%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 57 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)5.0000 - $5.49995%Kalshi 5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
5.0000 - $5.4999
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
5.0000 - $5.4999
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.0000 - $5.4999
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
5.5000 - $5.99995%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 57 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)5.5000 - $5.99995%Kalshi 5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
5.5000 - $5.9999
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
5.5000 - $5.9999
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.5000 - $5.9999
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
6.0000 - $6.49995%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 57 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)6.0000 - $6.49995%Kalshi 5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
6.0000 - $6.4999
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
6.0000 - $6.4999
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 6.0000 - $6.4999
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
8.0000 - $8.49994.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 57 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)8.0000 - $8.49994.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
8.0000 - $8.4999
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
8.0000 - $8.4999
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 8.0000 - $8.4999
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
6.5000 - $6.99992%2%— bid, 13¢ askpolled, 57 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)6.5000 - $6.99992%Kalshi 2%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
6.5000 - $6.9999
2%
2%
— bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
6.5000 - $6.9999
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 6.5000 - $6.9999
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $10
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 3.5000 - $3.9999
- 3.0000 - $3.4999
- 10 or above
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "NEAR price at the end of the year? ". 3.5000 - $3.9999 leads at 23%. Next is 3.0000 - $3.4999 at 16%. $1K has traded across 21 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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