The Prediction Markets

Nebraska Senate General Election: voter turnout

Closes
Nov 3, 2027, in 13 months
Traded
$13K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Above 620K 90%

Next is Above 670K at 79%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Above 620K
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 620K
Last price
90%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 670K
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 670K
Last price
79%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 720K
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 720K
Last price
65%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 770K
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 770K
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$122
Trade this on Kalshi
750K-800K
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
750K-800K
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
800K-850K
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
800K-850K
Last price
32.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 820K
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 820K
Last price
31%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$280
Trade this on Kalshi
700K-750K
28%
Polymarket 28%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
700K-750K
Last price
28%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 870K
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 870K
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$354
Trade this on Kalshi
850K-900K
14.1%
Polymarket 14.1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
850K-900K
Last price
14.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$812
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 8 more outcomes
900K+
13.8%
Polymarket 13.8%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 25.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $389 (3.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
900K+
Last price
13.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25.7¢
Sell Yes
1.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$389 (3.89x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 970K
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 970K
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$39
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 1.01M
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 1.01M
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$28
Trade this on Kalshi
650K-700K
9.1%
Polymarket 9.1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 16.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $592 (5.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
650K-700K
Last price
9.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16.9¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$592 (5.92x)
Volume
$716
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 1.06M
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 1.06M
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$176
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 920K
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 920K
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$725
Trade this on Kalshi
650K
6.9%
Polymarket 6.9%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 12.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $800 (8.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
650K
Last price
6.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12.5¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$800 (8.00x)
Volume
$654
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 1.10M
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 1.10M
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$79
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Nebraska Secretary of State

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 620K
  • Above 670K
  • Above 720K

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Above 620K for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Nebraska Senate General Election: voter turnout". Above 620K leads at 90%. Next is Above 670K at 79%. $13K has traded across 18 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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