The Prediction Markets

Nemiga vs. Legacy

Starts in 8 hKickoff
Traded
$52K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Legacy 67.9%

Next is Map 2 Winner at 65.5%. The venues differ most on Legacy (Polymarket 67.5%, Kalshi 69%), a 1.5-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Legacy
67.9%
Polymarket 67.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 69%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
Contract
Match Winner
Last price
67.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$37K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Legacy
Last price
69%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 68¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 68¢.

Map 2 Winner
65.5%
Polymarket 65.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 2 Winner
Last price
65.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$267
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 1 Winner
58.5%
Polymarket 58.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 1 Winner
Last price
58.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$473
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5)
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5)
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5)
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5)
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$264
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Last price
46%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 2.5 Games
45%
Polymarket 45%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 2.5 Games
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$246
Trade this on Polymarket
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)
40.5%
Polymarket 40.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5)
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5)
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Polymarket
Nemiga
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nemiga
Last price
33%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$347
Trade this on Kalshi

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Mostly the same bet: two differences

Where they differ

  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes at different times: Oct 24, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 26, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: twitch.tv
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: B03, HLTV, Gamers World
Show full rule comparison
  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes Oct 24, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 26, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Legacy
  • Map 2 Winner
  • Map 1 Winner

Live prices for Legacy

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

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Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Nemiga vs. Legacy". Legacy leads at 67.9%. Next is Map 2 Winner at 65.5%. $52K has traded across 12 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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