Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
Above 2.10M 95.5%
Next is Above 2.30M at 86%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Above 2.10M95.5%Not listed95.5%91¢ bid, — askpolled, 50s agoNo askAbove 2.10M95.5%Kalshi 95.5%polled, 50s ago
Above 2.10M
95.5%
Not listed
95.5%
91¢ bid, — ask
polled, 50s ago
No ask
Above 2.10M
95.5%
Kalshi 95.5%polled, 50s ago
Above 2.30M86%Not listed86%86¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 50s ago97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Above 2.30M86%Kalshi 86%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Above 2.30M
86%
Not listed
86%
86¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Above 2.30M
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 2.30M
- Last price
- 86%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
- Volume
- $111
Above 2.50M82%Not listed82%73¢ bid, 85¢ askpolled, 50s ago85¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $118 (1.18x)Above 2.50M82%Kalshi 82%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Above 2.50M
82%
Not listed
82%
73¢ bid, 85¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
85¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Above 2.50M
82%
Kalshi 82%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 2.50M
- Last price
- 82%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 85¢
- Sell Yes
- 73¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $118 (1.18x)
- Volume
- $201
Above 2.70M66%Not listed66%59¢ bid, 70¢ askpolled, 50s ago70¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $143 (1.43x)Above 2.70M66%Kalshi 66%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Above 2.70M
66%
Not listed
66%
59¢ bid, 70¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
70¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Above 2.70M
66%
Kalshi 66%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 2.70M
- Last price
- 66%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 70¢
- Sell Yes
- 59¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $143 (1.43x)
- Volume
- $550
Above 2.90M42%Not listed42%42¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 50s ago54¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Above 2.90M42%Kalshi 42%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Above 2.90M
42%
Not listed
42%
42¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
54¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Above 2.90M
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 2.90M
- Last price
- 42%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $380
3M-3.2M32.5%32.5%24¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, 50s agoNot listed41¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $244 (2.44x)3M-3.2M32.5%Polymarket 32.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
3M-3.2M
32.5%
32.5%
24¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
Not listed
41¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
3M-3.2M
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 3M-3.2M
- Last price
- 32.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
- Volume
- $5K
Above 3.10M27%Not listed27%27¢ bid, 39¢ askpolled, 50s ago39¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $256 (2.56x)Above 3.10M27%Kalshi 27%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Above 3.10M
27%
Not listed
27%
27¢ bid, 39¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
39¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Above 3.10M
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.10M
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 39¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $256 (2.56x)
- Volume
- $276
3.2M-3.4M22.8%22.8%19¢ bid, 26.5¢ askpolled, 50s agoNot listed26.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $377 (3.77x)3.2M-3.4M22.8%Polymarket 22.8%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 26.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $377 (3.77x)
3.2M-3.4M
22.8%
22.8%
19¢ bid, 26.5¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
Not listed
26.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $377 (3.77x)
3.2M-3.4M
22.8%
Polymarket 22.8%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 26.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $377 (3.77x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 3.2M-3.4M
- Last price
- 22.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 26.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $377 (3.77x)
- Volume
- $3K
2.4M10.9%10.9%10¢ bid, 11.7¢ askpolled, 50s agoNot listed11.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $855 (8.55x)2.4M10.9%Polymarket 10.9%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 11.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $855 (8.55x)
2.4M
10.9%
10.9%
10¢ bid, 11.7¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
Not listed
11.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $855 (8.55x)
2.4M
10.9%
Polymarket 10.9%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 11.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $855 (8.55x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2.4M
- Last price
- 10.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $855 (8.55x)
- Volume
- $2K
Above 3.40M10%Not listed10%10¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 50s ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Above 3.40M10%Kalshi 10%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Above 3.40M
10%
Not listed
10%
10¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Above 3.40M
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.40M
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $667
Show 13 more outcomesHide 13 outcomes
2.6M-2.8M9.2%9.2%1.4¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 50s agoNot listed17¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $588 (5.88x)2.6M-2.8M9.2%Polymarket 9.2%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
2.6M-2.8M
9.2%
9.2%
1.4¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
Not listed
17¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
2.6M-2.8M
9.2%
Polymarket 9.2%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2.6M-2.8M
- Last price
- 9.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $590
3.4M-3.6M8%8%1¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 50s agoNot listed15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)3.4M-3.6M8%Polymarket 8%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
3.4M-3.6M
8%
8%
1¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
Not listed
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
3.4M-3.6M
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 3.4M-3.6M
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $328
Above 3.80M7%Not listed7%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 50s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Above 3.80M7%Kalshi 7%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Above 3.80M
7%
Not listed
7%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Above 3.80M
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.80M
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $223
Above 3.60M6%Not listed6%3¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 50s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Above 3.60M6%Kalshi 6%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Above 3.60M
6%
Not listed
6%
3¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Above 3.60M
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.60M
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $149
Above 4.80M6%Not listed6%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 50s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Above 4.80M6%Kalshi 6%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 4.80M
6%
Not listed
6%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 4.80M
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 4.80M
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $1
2.8M-3M4.9%4.9%0.8¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 50s agoNot listed9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)2.8M-3M4.9%Polymarket 4.9%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
2.8M-3M
4.9%
4.9%
0.8¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
Not listed
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
2.8M-3M
4.9%
Polymarket 4.9%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2.8M-3M
- Last price
- 4.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $439
Above 4.00M4%Not listed4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 50s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Above 4.00M4%Kalshi 4%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Above 4.00M
4%
Not listed
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Above 4.00M
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 4.00M
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
3.8M+3.9%3.9%0.7¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 50s agoNot listed7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)3.8M+3.9%Polymarket 3.9%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
3.8M+
3.9%
3.9%
0.7¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
Not listed
7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
3.8M+
3.9%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 3.8M+
- Last price
- 3.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $446
Above 4.20M3.5%Not listed3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 50s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Above 4.20M3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Above 4.20M
3.5%
Not listed
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Above 4.20M
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 4.20M
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Above 4.40M3%Not listed3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 50s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Above 4.40M3%Kalshi 3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 4.40M
3%
Not listed
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 4.40M
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 4.40M
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 4.60M3%Not listed3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 50s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Above 4.60M3%Kalshi 3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 4.60M
3%
Not listed
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 4.60M
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 4.60M
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
2.4M-2.6M0.6%0.6%0.2¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 50s agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)2.4M-2.6M0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2.4M-2.6M
0.6%
0.6%
0.2¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2.4M-2.6M
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2.4M-2.6M
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $327
3.6M-3.8M0.6%0.6%0.2¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 50s agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)3.6M-3.8M0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3.6M-3.8M
0.6%
0.6%
0.2¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3.6M-3.8M
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 3.6M-3.8M
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $309
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: New Jersey Division of Elections
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Above 2.10M
- Above 2.30M
- Above 2.50M
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list Above 2.10M for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "New Jersey Senate General Election: voter turnout". Above 2.10M leads at 95.5%. Next is Above 2.30M at 86%. $14K has traded across 23 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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