The Prediction Markets

New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027: Headliners

Closes
Dec 31, 2027, in 14 months
Traded
$190K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

Trombone Shorty & Orleans Avenue 77%

Next is Jon Batiste at 60%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Trombone Shorty & Orleans Avenue
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trombone Shorty & Orleans Avenue
Last price
77%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jon Batiste
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jon Batiste
Last price
60%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Noah Kahan
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
Contract
Noah Kahan
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$31K
Trade this on Kalshi
The Revivalists
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Revivalists
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Kalshi
Irma Thomas
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Irma Thomas
Last price
31%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Big Freedia
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Big Freedia
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
Leon Bridges
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Leon Bridges
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tedeschi Trucks Band
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tedeschi Trucks Band
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Bonnie Raitt
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bonnie Raitt
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Kalshi
Gary Clark Jr.
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Gary Clark Jr.
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 10 more outcomes
Widespread Panic
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Widespread Panic
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
John Fogerty
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
John Fogerty
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Marcus King
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Marcus King
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Bruce Springsteen
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bruce Springsteen
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Hozier
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hozier
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Neil Young
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Neil Young
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Vampire Weekend
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Vampire Weekend
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Khruangbin
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Khruangbin
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Kalshi
Pearl Jam
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pearl Jam
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Billy Joel
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Billy Joel
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: official account of, ABC, in hierarchical order

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Trombone Shorty & Orleans Avenue
  • Jon Batiste
  • Noah Kahan

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027: Headliners". Trombone Shorty & Orleans Avenue leads at 77%. Next is Jon Batiste at 60%. $190K has traded across 20 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 31, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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