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What the markets expect
Zion Williamson: 10+ 87%
Next is Jamal Murray: 15+ at 85%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Zion Williamson: 10+87%87%87¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 16s ago93¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $108 (1.08x)Zion Williamson: 10+87%Kalshi 87%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Zion Williamson: 10+
87%
87%
87¢ bid, 93¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
93¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Zion Williamson: 10+
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Zion Williamson: 10+
- Last price
- 87%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 87¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
- Volume
- $5
Jamal Murray: 15+85%85%80¢ bid, 85¢ askpolled, 16s ago85¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $118 (1.18x)Jamal Murray: 15+85%Kalshi 85%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Jamal Murray: 15+
85%
85%
80¢ bid, 85¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
85¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Jamal Murray: 15+
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jamal Murray: 15+
- Last price
- 85%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 85¢
- Sell Yes
- 80¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $118 (1.18x)
- Volume
- $106
Aaron Gordon: 10+83%83%83¢ bid, 87¢ askpolled, 16s ago87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Aaron Gordon: 10+83%Kalshi 83%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Aaron Gordon: 10+
83%
83%
83¢ bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Aaron Gordon: 10+
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aaron Gordon: 10+
- Last price
- 83%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
- Volume
- $79
Trey Murphy III: 20+Kalshi: “Trey Murphy III: 10+”82%82%72¢ bid, 82¢ askpolled, 16s ago82¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $122 (1.22x)Trey Murphy III: 20+82%Kalshi 82%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Trey Murphy III: 20+
Kalshi: “Trey Murphy III: 10+”
82%
82%
72¢ bid, 82¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
82¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Trey Murphy III: 20+
82%
Kalshi 82%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Trey Murphy III: 10+
- Last price
- 82%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 82¢
- Sell Yes
- 72¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $122 (1.22x)
- Volume
- $7
Dejounte Murray: 10+81%81%80¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, 16s ago86¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Dejounte Murray: 10+81%Kalshi 81%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Dejounte Murray: 10+
81%
81%
80¢ bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
86¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Dejounte Murray: 10+
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dejounte Murray: 10+
- Last price
- 81%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 80¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
- Volume
- $15
DeMar DeRozan: 10+80%80%72¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, 16s ago80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)DeMar DeRozan: 10+80%Kalshi 80%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
DeMar DeRozan: 10+
80%
80%
72¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
DeMar DeRozan: 10+
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- DeMar DeRozan: 10+
- Last price
- 80%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 72¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
- Volume
- $8
Nikola Jokić: 20+78%78%75¢ bid, 78¢ askpolled, 16s ago78¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $128 (1.28x)Nikola Jokić: 20+78%Kalshi 78%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Nikola Jokić: 20+
78%
78%
75¢ bid, 78¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
78¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Nikola Jokić: 20+
78%
Kalshi 78%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nikola Jokić: 20+
- Last price
- 78%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 78¢
- Sell Yes
- 75¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $128 (1.28x)
- Volume
- $60
Zion Williamson: 15+70%70%69¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 16s ago74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Zion Williamson: 15+70%Kalshi 70%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Zion Williamson: 15+
70%
70%
69¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Zion Williamson: 15+
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Zion Williamson: 15+
- Last price
- 70%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 69¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
- Volume
- $10
Jeremiah Fears: 10+66%66%55¢ bid, 66¢ askpolled, 16s ago66¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $152 (1.52x)Jeremiah Fears: 10+66%Kalshi 66%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Jeremiah Fears: 10+
66%
66%
55¢ bid, 66¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
66¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Jeremiah Fears: 10+
66%
Kalshi 66%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jeremiah Fears: 10+
- Last price
- 66%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 66¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $152 (1.52x)
Christian Braun: 10+65.5%65.5%62¢ bid, 69¢ askpolled, 16s ago69¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $145 (1.45x)Christian Braun: 10+65.5%Kalshi 65.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Christian Braun: 10+
65.5%
65.5%
62¢ bid, 69¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
69¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Christian Braun: 10+
65.5%
Kalshi 65.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christian Braun: 10+
- Last price
- 65.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- 62¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
Show 26 more outcomesHide 26 outcomes
Jamal Murray: 20+64.5%64.5%60¢ bid, 69¢ askpolled, 16s ago69¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $145 (1.45x)Jamal Murray: 20+64.5%Kalshi 64.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Jamal Murray: 20+
64.5%
64.5%
60¢ bid, 69¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
69¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Jamal Murray: 20+
64.5%
Kalshi 64.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jamal Murray: 20+
- Last price
- 64.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
Dejounte Murray: 15+63%63%60¢ bid, 66¢ askpolled, 16s ago66¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $152 (1.52x)Dejounte Murray: 15+63%Kalshi 63%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Dejounte Murray: 15+
63%
63%
60¢ bid, 66¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
66¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Dejounte Murray: 15+
63%
Kalshi 63%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dejounte Murray: 15+
- Last price
- 63%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 66¢
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $152 (1.52x)
Aaron Gordon: 15+61.5%61.5%59¢ bid, 64¢ askpolled, 16s ago64¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $156 (1.56x)Aaron Gordon: 15+61.5%Kalshi 61.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Aaron Gordon: 15+
61.5%
61.5%
59¢ bid, 64¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
64¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Aaron Gordon: 15+
61.5%
Kalshi 61.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aaron Gordon: 15+
- Last price
- 61.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 64¢
- Sell Yes
- 59¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $156 (1.56x)
Nikola Jokić: 25+61%61%55¢ bid, 61¢ askpolled, 16s ago61¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $164 (1.64x)Nikola Jokić: 25+61%Kalshi 61%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Nikola Jokić: 25+
61%
61%
55¢ bid, 61¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
61¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Nikola Jokić: 25+
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nikola Jokić: 25+
- Last price
- 61%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
- Volume
- $16
Trey Murphy III: 20+Kalshi: “Trey Murphy III: 15+”55.5%55.5%54¢ bid, 57¢ askpolled, 16s ago57¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $175 (1.75x)Trey Murphy III: 20+55.5%Kalshi 55.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Trey Murphy III: 20+
Kalshi: “Trey Murphy III: 15+”
55.5%
55.5%
54¢ bid, 57¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
57¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Trey Murphy III: 20+
55.5%
Kalshi 55.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Trey Murphy III: 15+
- Last price
- 55.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 57¢
- Sell Yes
- 54¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $175 (1.75x)
DeMar DeRozan: 15+55%55%55¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 16s ago56¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $179 (1.79x)DeMar DeRozan: 15+55%Kalshi 55%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
DeMar DeRozan: 15+
55%
55%
55¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
56¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
DeMar DeRozan: 15+
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- DeMar DeRozan: 15+
- Last price
- 55%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
- Volume
- $43
Jamal Murray: 25+47%47%42¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 16s ago47¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $213 (2.13x)Jamal Murray: 25+47%Kalshi 47%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Jamal Murray: 25+
47%
47%
42¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
47¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Jamal Murray: 25+
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jamal Murray: 25+
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
- Volume
- $0
Zion Williamson: 20+43%43%42¢ bid, 43¢ askpolled, 16s ago43¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $233 (2.33x)Zion Williamson: 20+43%Kalshi 43%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Zion Williamson: 20+
43%
43%
42¢ bid, 43¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
43¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Zion Williamson: 20+
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Zion Williamson: 20+
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
- Volume
- $195
Nikola Jokić: 30+37%37%37¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 16s ago38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Nikola Jokić: 30+37%Kalshi 37%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Nikola Jokić: 30+
37%
37%
37¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Nikola Jokić: 30+
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nikola Jokić: 30+
- Last price
- 37%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 37¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
- Volume
- $0
Aaron Gordon: 20+35.5%35.5%35¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 16s ago36¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Aaron Gordon: 20+35.5%Kalshi 35.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Aaron Gordon: 20+
35.5%
35.5%
35¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
36¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Aaron Gordon: 20+
35.5%
Kalshi 35.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aaron Gordon: 20+
- Last price
- 35.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
Jeremiah Fears: 15+34%34%26¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 16s ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Jeremiah Fears: 15+34%Kalshi 34%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Jeremiah Fears: 15+
34%
34%
26¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Jeremiah Fears: 15+
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jeremiah Fears: 15+
- Last price
- 34%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Christian Braun: 15+33%33%29¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 16s ago37¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Christian Braun: 15+33%Kalshi 33%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Christian Braun: 15+
33%
33%
29¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
37¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Christian Braun: 15+
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christian Braun: 15+
- Last price
- 33%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
Trey Murphy III: 20+28%28%25¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 16s ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Trey Murphy III: 20+28%Kalshi 28%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Trey Murphy III: 20+
28%
28%
25¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Trey Murphy III: 20+
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Trey Murphy III: 20+
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $10
DeMar DeRozan: 20+26%26%24¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, 16s ago26¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $385 (3.85x)DeMar DeRozan: 20+26%Kalshi 26%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
DeMar DeRozan: 20+
26%
26%
24¢ bid, 26¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
26¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $385 (3.85x)
DeMar DeRozan: 20+
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- DeMar DeRozan: 20+
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
- Volume
- $16
Dejounte Murray: 20+24%24%11¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 16s ago37¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Dejounte Murray: 20+24%Kalshi 24%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Dejounte Murray: 20+
24%
24%
11¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
37¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Dejounte Murray: 20+
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dejounte Murray: 20+
- Last price
- 24%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
Zion Williamson: 25+21.5%21.5%20¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 16s ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Zion Williamson: 25+21.5%Kalshi 21.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Zion Williamson: 25+
21.5%
21.5%
20¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Zion Williamson: 25+
21.5%
Kalshi 21.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Zion Williamson: 25+
- Last price
- 21.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
Jamal Murray: 30+18.5%18.5%14¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 16s ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Jamal Murray: 30+18.5%Kalshi 18.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Jamal Murray: 30+
18.5%
18.5%
14¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Jamal Murray: 30+
18.5%
Kalshi 18.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jamal Murray: 30+
- Last price
- 18.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
Nikola Jokić: 35+18%18%16¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 16s ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Nikola Jokić: 35+18%Kalshi 18%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Nikola Jokić: 35+
18%
18%
16¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Nikola Jokić: 35+
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nikola Jokić: 35+
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $473
Aaron Gordon: 25+15%15%13¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 16s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Aaron Gordon: 25+15%Kalshi 15%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Aaron Gordon: 25+
15%
15%
13¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Aaron Gordon: 25+
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aaron Gordon: 25+
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $265
Zion Williamson: 30+10%10%3¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 16s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Zion Williamson: 30+10%Kalshi 10%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Zion Williamson: 30+
10%
10%
3¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Zion Williamson: 30+
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Zion Williamson: 30+
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Dejounte Murray: 25+9.5%9.5%2¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 16s ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Dejounte Murray: 25+9.5%Kalshi 9.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Dejounte Murray: 25+
9.5%
9.5%
2¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Dejounte Murray: 25+
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dejounte Murray: 25+
- Last price
- 9.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
Trey Murphy III: 20+Kalshi: “Trey Murphy III: 25+”8.5%8.5%3¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 16s ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Trey Murphy III: 20+8.5%Kalshi 8.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Trey Murphy III: 20+
Kalshi: “Trey Murphy III: 25+”
8.5%
8.5%
3¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Trey Murphy III: 20+
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Trey Murphy III: 25+
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Christian Braun: 20+8%8%3¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 16s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Christian Braun: 20+8%Kalshi 8%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Christian Braun: 20+
8%
8%
3¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Christian Braun: 20+
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christian Braun: 20+
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Jeremiah Fears: 20+8%8%3¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 16s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Jeremiah Fears: 20+8%Kalshi 8%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Jeremiah Fears: 20+
8%
8%
3¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Jeremiah Fears: 20+
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jeremiah Fears: 20+
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Jamal Murray: 35+6%6%2¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 16s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Jamal Murray: 35+6%Kalshi 6%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Jamal Murray: 35+
6%
6%
2¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Jamal Murray: 35+
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jamal Murray: 35+
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
DeMar DeRozan: 25+5.5%5.5%2¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 16s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)DeMar DeRozan: 25+5.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
DeMar DeRozan: 25+
5.5%
5.5%
2¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
DeMar DeRozan: 25+
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- DeMar DeRozan: 25+
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Zion Williamson: 10+
- Jamal Murray: 15+
- Aaron Gordon: 10+
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "New Orleans vs Denver: Points". Zion Williamson: 10+ leads at 87%. Next is Jamal Murray: 15+ at 85%. $1K has traded across 36 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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