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What the markets expect
Over 209.5 points 93%
Next is Over 211.5 points at 92.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Over 209.5 points93%93%92¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, 28s ago96¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $104 (1.04x)Over 209.5 points93%Kalshi 93%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Over 209.5 points
93%
93%
92¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
96¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Over 209.5 points
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 209.5 points
- Last price
- 93%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 92¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $568
Over 211.5 points92.5%92.5%91¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 28s ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Over 211.5 points92.5%Kalshi 92.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 211.5 points
92.5%
92.5%
91¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 211.5 points
92.5%
Kalshi 92.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 211.5 points
- Last price
- 92.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
Over 213.5 points91.5%91.5%89¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 28s ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Over 213.5 points91.5%Kalshi 91.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 213.5 points
91.5%
91.5%
89¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 213.5 points
91.5%
Kalshi 91.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 213.5 points
- Last price
- 91.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 89¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
Over 215.5 points89.5%89.5%87¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, 28s ago92¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $109 (1.09x)Over 215.5 points89.5%Kalshi 89.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Over 215.5 points
89.5%
89.5%
87¢ bid, 92¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
92¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Over 215.5 points
89.5%
Kalshi 89.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 215.5 points
- Last price
- 89.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 87¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
Over 217.5 points87.5%87.5%85¢ bid, 90¢ askpolled, 28s ago90¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Over 217.5 points87.5%Kalshi 87.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Over 217.5 points
87.5%
87.5%
85¢ bid, 90¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
90¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Over 217.5 points
87.5%
Kalshi 87.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 217.5 points
- Last price
- 87.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- 85¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
Over 219.5 points82%82%82¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, 28s ago86¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Over 219.5 points82%Kalshi 82%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Over 219.5 points
82%
82%
82¢ bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
86¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Over 219.5 points
82%
Kalshi 82%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 219.5 points
- Last price
- 82%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 82¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
- Volume
- $492
Over 221.5 points79%79%79¢ bid, 83¢ askpolled, 28s ago83¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $120 (1.20x)Over 221.5 points79%Kalshi 79%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Over 221.5 points
79%
79%
79¢ bid, 83¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
83¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Over 221.5 points
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 221.5 points
- Last price
- 79%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 83¢
- Sell Yes
- 79¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $120 (1.20x)
- Volume
- $435
Over 223.5 points76%76%76¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, 28s ago79¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $127 (1.27x)Over 223.5 points76%Kalshi 76%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Over 223.5 points
76%
76%
76¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
79¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Over 223.5 points
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 223.5 points
- Last price
- 76%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 76¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
- Volume
- $75
Over 225.5 points74.5%74.5%73¢ bid, 76¢ askpolled, 28s ago76¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $132 (1.32x)Over 225.5 points74.5%Kalshi 74.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Over 225.5 points
74.5%
74.5%
73¢ bid, 76¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
76¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Over 225.5 points
74.5%
Kalshi 74.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 225.5 points
- Last price
- 74.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 76¢
- Sell Yes
- 73¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $132 (1.32x)
Over 227.5 points72%72%71¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 28s ago73¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $137 (1.37x)Over 227.5 points72%Kalshi 72%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Over 227.5 points
72%
72%
71¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
73¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Over 227.5 points
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 227.5 points
- Last price
- 72%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 71¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
Show 19 more outcomesHide 19 outcomes
Over 229.5 points67%67%66¢ bid, 68¢ askpolled, 28s ago68¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $147 (1.47x)Over 229.5 points67%Kalshi 67%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Over 229.5 points
67%
67%
66¢ bid, 68¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
68¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Over 229.5 points
67%
Kalshi 67%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 229.5 points
- Last price
- 67%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 68¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $147 (1.47x)
Over 231.5 points63%63%61¢ bid, 65¢ askpolled, 28s ago65¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $154 (1.54x)Over 231.5 points63%Kalshi 63%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Over 231.5 points
63%
63%
61¢ bid, 65¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
65¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Over 231.5 points
63%
Kalshi 63%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 231.5 points
- Last price
- 63%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 65¢
- Sell Yes
- 61¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $154 (1.54x)
Over 233.5 points59.5%59.5%58¢ bid, 61¢ askpolled, 28s ago61¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $164 (1.64x)Over 233.5 points59.5%Kalshi 59.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Over 233.5 points
59.5%
59.5%
58¢ bid, 61¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
61¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Over 233.5 points
59.5%
Kalshi 59.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 233.5 points
- Last price
- 59.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 58¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
Over 235.5 points54%54%54¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 28s ago56¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $179 (1.79x)Over 235.5 points54%Kalshi 54%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Over 235.5 points
54%
54%
54¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
56¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Over 235.5 points
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 235.5 points
- Last price
- 54%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 54¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
Over 237.5 points50%50%49¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 28s ago51¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Over 237.5 points50%Kalshi 50%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Over 237.5 points
50%
50%
49¢ bid, 51¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
51¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Over 237.5 points
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 237.5 points
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $83
Over 239.5 points46%46%45¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 28s ago47¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $213 (2.13x)Over 239.5 points46%Kalshi 46%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Over 239.5 points
46%
46%
45¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
47¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Over 239.5 points
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 239.5 points
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 45¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
Over 241.5 points41.5%41.5%40¢ bid, 43¢ askpolled, 28s ago43¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $233 (2.33x)Over 241.5 points41.5%Kalshi 41.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Over 241.5 points
41.5%
41.5%
40¢ bid, 43¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
43¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Over 241.5 points
41.5%
Kalshi 41.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 241.5 points
- Last price
- 41.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
Over 243.5 points37%37%36¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 28s ago38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Over 243.5 points37%Kalshi 37%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Over 243.5 points
37%
37%
36¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Over 243.5 points
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 243.5 points
- Last price
- 37%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
Over 245.5 points33%33%32¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 28s ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Over 245.5 points33%Kalshi 33%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Over 245.5 points
33%
33%
32¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Over 245.5 points
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 245.5 points
- Last price
- 33%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Over 247.5 points29%29%28¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 28s ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Over 247.5 points29%Kalshi 29%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Over 247.5 points
29%
29%
28¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Over 247.5 points
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 247.5 points
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
Over 249.5 points27%27%25¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 28s ago29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Over 249.5 points27%Kalshi 27%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Over 249.5 points
27%
27%
25¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Over 249.5 points
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 249.5 points
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
Over 251.5 points23.5%23.5%22¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 28s ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Over 251.5 points23.5%Kalshi 23.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Over 251.5 points
23.5%
23.5%
22¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Over 251.5 points
23.5%
Kalshi 23.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 251.5 points
- Last price
- 23.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
Over 253.5 points19.5%19.5%17¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 28s ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Over 253.5 points19.5%Kalshi 19.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Over 253.5 points
19.5%
19.5%
17¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Over 253.5 points
19.5%
Kalshi 19.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 253.5 points
- Last price
- 19.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
Over 255.5 points16.5%16.5%14¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 28s ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Over 255.5 points16.5%Kalshi 16.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Over 255.5 points
16.5%
16.5%
14¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Over 255.5 points
16.5%
Kalshi 16.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 255.5 points
- Last price
- 16.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Over 257.5 points14.5%14.5%12¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 28s ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Over 257.5 points14.5%Kalshi 14.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Over 257.5 points
14.5%
14.5%
12¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Over 257.5 points
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 257.5 points
- Last price
- 14.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
Over 259.5 points13%13%12¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 28s ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Over 259.5 points13%Kalshi 13%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Over 259.5 points
13%
13%
12¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Over 259.5 points
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 259.5 points
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Over 261.5 points9.5%9.5%7¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 28s ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Over 261.5 points9.5%Kalshi 9.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Over 261.5 points
9.5%
9.5%
7¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Over 261.5 points
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 261.5 points
- Last price
- 9.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Over 263.5 points8.5%8.5%6¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 28s ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Over 263.5 points8.5%Kalshi 8.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Over 263.5 points
8.5%
8.5%
6¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Over 263.5 points
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 263.5 points
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Over 265.5 points6%6%6¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 28s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Over 265.5 points6%Kalshi 6%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Over 265.5 points
6%
6%
6¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Over 265.5 points
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 265.5 points
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $1
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Over 209.5 points
- Over 211.5 points
- Over 213.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "New Orleans vs Denver: Total Points". Over 209.5 points leads at 93%. Next is Over 211.5 points at 92.5%. $2K has traded across 29 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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