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What the markets expect
Trey Murphy III: 3+ 92%
Next is Lauri Markkanen: 1+ at 89.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Trey Murphy III: 3+Kalshi: “Trey Murphy III: 1+”92%92%90¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 16s ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Trey Murphy III: 3+92%Kalshi 92%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Trey Murphy III: 3+
Kalshi: “Trey Murphy III: 1+”
92%
92%
90¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Trey Murphy III: 3+
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Trey Murphy III: 1+
- Last price
- 92%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 90¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
Lauri Markkanen: 1+89.5%89.5%87¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, 16s ago92¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $109 (1.09x)Lauri Markkanen: 1+89.5%Kalshi 89.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Lauri Markkanen: 1+
89.5%
89.5%
87¢ bid, 92¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
92¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Lauri Markkanen: 1+
89.5%
Kalshi 89.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lauri Markkanen: 1+
- Last price
- 89.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 87¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
Keyonte George: 1+87%87%85¢ bid, 89¢ askpolled, 16s ago89¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $112 (1.12x)Keyonte George: 1+87%Kalshi 87%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Keyonte George: 1+
87%
87%
85¢ bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
89¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Keyonte George: 1+
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Keyonte George: 1+
- Last price
- 87%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- 85¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
Ace Bailey: 1+82%82%78¢ bid, 82¢ askpolled, 16s ago82¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $122 (1.22x)Ace Bailey: 1+82%Kalshi 82%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Ace Bailey: 1+
82%
82%
78¢ bid, 82¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
82¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Ace Bailey: 1+
82%
Kalshi 82%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ace Bailey: 1+
- Last price
- 82%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 82¢
- Sell Yes
- 78¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $122 (1.22x)
- Volume
- $80
Jaren Jackson Jr.: 1+80%80%80¢ bid, 83¢ askpolled, 16s ago83¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $120 (1.20x)Jaren Jackson Jr.: 1+80%Kalshi 80%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Jaren Jackson Jr.: 1+
80%
80%
80¢ bid, 83¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
83¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Jaren Jackson Jr.: 1+
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: 1+
- Last price
- 80%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 83¢
- Sell Yes
- 80¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $120 (1.20x)
- Volume
- $118
Dejounte Murray: 1+78%78%76¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, 16s ago80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Dejounte Murray: 1+78%Kalshi 78%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Dejounte Murray: 1+
78%
78%
76¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Dejounte Murray: 1+
78%
Kalshi 78%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dejounte Murray: 1+
- Last price
- 78%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 76¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
Trey Murphy III: 3+Kalshi: “Trey Murphy III: 2+”77%77%75¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, 16s ago79¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $127 (1.27x)Trey Murphy III: 3+77%Kalshi 77%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Trey Murphy III: 3+
Kalshi: “Trey Murphy III: 2+”
77%
77%
75¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
79¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Trey Murphy III: 3+
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Trey Murphy III: 2+
- Last price
- 77%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 75¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
Darryn Peterson: 1+72%72%70¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 16s ago74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Darryn Peterson: 1+72%Kalshi 72%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Darryn Peterson: 1+
72%
72%
70¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Darryn Peterson: 1+
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Darryn Peterson: 1+
- Last price
- 72%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 70¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
Saddiq Bey: 1+70%70%68¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 16s ago73¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $137 (1.37x)Saddiq Bey: 1+70%Kalshi 70%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Saddiq Bey: 1+
70%
70%
68¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
73¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Saddiq Bey: 1+
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Saddiq Bey: 1+
- Last price
- 70%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 68¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
- Volume
- $3
Lauri Markkanen: 2+69.5%69.5%66¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 16s ago73¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $137 (1.37x)Lauri Markkanen: 2+69.5%Kalshi 69.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Lauri Markkanen: 2+
69.5%
69.5%
66¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
73¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Lauri Markkanen: 2+
69.5%
Kalshi 69.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lauri Markkanen: 2+
- Last price
- 69.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
Show 40 more outcomesHide 40 outcomes
Jeremiah Fears: 1+69%69%66¢ bid, 72¢ askpolled, 16s ago72¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $139 (1.39x)Jeremiah Fears: 1+69%Kalshi 69%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Jeremiah Fears: 1+
69%
69%
66¢ bid, 72¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
72¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Jeremiah Fears: 1+
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jeremiah Fears: 1+
- Last price
- 69%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 72¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $139 (1.39x)
Keyonte George: 2+69%69%58¢ bid, 69¢ askpolled, 16s ago69¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $145 (1.45x)Keyonte George: 2+69%Kalshi 69%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Keyonte George: 2+
69%
69%
58¢ bid, 69¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
69¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Keyonte George: 2+
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Keyonte George: 2+
- Last price
- 69%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- 58¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
Bennedict Mathurin: 1+63%63%61¢ bid, 63¢ askpolled, 16s ago63¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $159 (1.59x)Bennedict Mathurin: 1+63%Kalshi 63%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Bennedict Mathurin: 1+
63%
63%
61¢ bid, 63¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
63¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Bennedict Mathurin: 1+
63%
Kalshi 63%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bennedict Mathurin: 1+
- Last price
- 63%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 63¢
- Sell Yes
- 61¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $159 (1.59x)
- Volume
- $122
Jaren Jackson Jr.: 2+54.5%54.5%54¢ bid, 55¢ askpolled, 16s ago55¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $182 (1.82x)Jaren Jackson Jr.: 2+54.5%Kalshi 54.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Jaren Jackson Jr.: 2+
54.5%
54.5%
54¢ bid, 55¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
55¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Jaren Jackson Jr.: 2+
54.5%
Kalshi 54.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: 2+
- Last price
- 54.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 55¢
- Sell Yes
- 54¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $182 (1.82x)
Ace Bailey: 2+54%54%53¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 16s ago56¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $179 (1.79x)Ace Bailey: 2+54%Kalshi 54%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Ace Bailey: 2+
54%
54%
53¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
56¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Ace Bailey: 2+
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ace Bailey: 2+
- Last price
- 54%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 53¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
Trey Murphy III: 3+54%54%53¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 16s ago54¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Trey Murphy III: 3+54%Kalshi 54%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Trey Murphy III: 3+
54%
54%
53¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
54¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Trey Murphy III: 3+
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Trey Murphy III: 3+
- Last price
- 54%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 53¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $17
Darryn Peterson: 2+48%48%48¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 16s ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Darryn Peterson: 2+48%Kalshi 48%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Darryn Peterson: 2+
48%
48%
48¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Darryn Peterson: 2+
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Darryn Peterson: 2+
- Last price
- 48%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 48¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
- Volume
- $7K
Lauri Markkanen: 3+48%48%46¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 16s ago48¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Lauri Markkanen: 3+48%Kalshi 48%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Lauri Markkanen: 3+
48%
48%
46¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
48¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Lauri Markkanen: 3+
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lauri Markkanen: 3+
- Last price
- 48%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
Dejounte Murray: 2+47%47%46¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 16s ago48¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Dejounte Murray: 2+47%Kalshi 47%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Dejounte Murray: 2+
47%
47%
46¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
48¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Dejounte Murray: 2+
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dejounte Murray: 2+
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
Keyonte George: 3+43%43%40¢ bid, 43¢ askpolled, 16s ago43¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $233 (2.33x)Keyonte George: 3+43%Kalshi 43%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Keyonte George: 3+
43%
43%
40¢ bid, 43¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
43¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Keyonte George: 3+
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Keyonte George: 3+
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
Saddiq Bey: 2+37%37%36¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 16s ago37¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Saddiq Bey: 2+37%Kalshi 37%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Saddiq Bey: 2+
37%
37%
36¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
37¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Saddiq Bey: 2+
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Saddiq Bey: 2+
- Last price
- 37%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
- Volume
- $195
Jeremiah Fears: 2+35%35%35¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 16s ago36¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Jeremiah Fears: 2+35%Kalshi 35%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Jeremiah Fears: 2+
35%
35%
35¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
36¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Jeremiah Fears: 2+
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jeremiah Fears: 2+
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
Trey Murphy III: 3+Kalshi: “Trey Murphy III: 4+”31%31%28¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 16s ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Trey Murphy III: 3+31%Kalshi 31%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Trey Murphy III: 3+
Kalshi: “Trey Murphy III: 4+”
31%
31%
28¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Trey Murphy III: 3+
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Trey Murphy III: 4+
- Last price
- 31%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Bennedict Mathurin: 2+28%28%27¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 16s ago29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Bennedict Mathurin: 2+28%Kalshi 28%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Bennedict Mathurin: 2+
28%
28%
27¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Bennedict Mathurin: 2+
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bennedict Mathurin: 2+
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
Jaren Jackson Jr.: 3+28%28%26¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 16s ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Jaren Jackson Jr.: 3+28%Kalshi 28%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Jaren Jackson Jr.: 3+
28%
28%
26¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Jaren Jackson Jr.: 3+
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: 3+
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
Ace Bailey: 3+27%27%22¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 16s ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Ace Bailey: 3+27%Kalshi 27%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Ace Bailey: 3+
27%
27%
22¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Ace Bailey: 3+
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ace Bailey: 3+
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
Lauri Markkanen: 4+24.5%24.5%21¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 16s ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Lauri Markkanen: 4+24.5%Kalshi 24.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Lauri Markkanen: 4+
24.5%
24.5%
21¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Lauri Markkanen: 4+
24.5%
Kalshi 24.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lauri Markkanen: 4+
- Last price
- 24.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
Keyonte George: 4+24%24%21¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 16s ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Keyonte George: 4+24%Kalshi 24%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Keyonte George: 4+
24%
24%
21¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Keyonte George: 4+
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Keyonte George: 4+
- Last price
- 24%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
Dejounte Murray: 3+22.5%22.5%21¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 16s ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Dejounte Murray: 3+22.5%Kalshi 22.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Dejounte Murray: 3+
22.5%
22.5%
21¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Dejounte Murray: 3+
22.5%
Kalshi 22.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dejounte Murray: 3+
- Last price
- 22.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
Trey Murphy III: 3+Kalshi: “Trey Murphy III: 5+”17.5%17.5%16¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 16s ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Trey Murphy III: 3+17.5%Kalshi 17.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Trey Murphy III: 3+
Kalshi: “Trey Murphy III: 5+”
17.5%
17.5%
16¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Trey Murphy III: 3+
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Trey Murphy III: 5+
- Last price
- 17.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Saddiq Bey: 3+17%17%13¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 16s ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Saddiq Bey: 3+17%Kalshi 17%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Saddiq Bey: 3+
17%
17%
13¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Saddiq Bey: 3+
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Saddiq Bey: 3+
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
Darryn Peterson: 3+16%16%15¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 16s ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Darryn Peterson: 3+16%Kalshi 16%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Darryn Peterson: 3+
16%
16%
15¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Darryn Peterson: 3+
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Darryn Peterson: 3+
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
Jeremiah Fears: 3+14.5%14.5%12¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 16s ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Jeremiah Fears: 3+14.5%Kalshi 14.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Jeremiah Fears: 3+
14.5%
14.5%
12¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Jeremiah Fears: 3+
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jeremiah Fears: 3+
- Last price
- 14.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
Ace Bailey: 4+11.5%11.5%6¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 16s ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Ace Bailey: 4+11.5%Kalshi 11.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Ace Bailey: 4+
11.5%
11.5%
6¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Ace Bailey: 4+
11.5%
Kalshi 11.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ace Bailey: 4+
- Last price
- 11.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
Bennedict Mathurin: 3+10.5%10.5%8¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 16s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Bennedict Mathurin: 3+10.5%Kalshi 10.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Bennedict Mathurin: 3+
10.5%
10.5%
8¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Bennedict Mathurin: 3+
10.5%
Kalshi 10.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bennedict Mathurin: 3+
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Jaren Jackson Jr.: 4+10.5%10.5%5¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 16s ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Jaren Jackson Jr.: 4+10.5%Kalshi 10.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Jaren Jackson Jr.: 4+
10.5%
10.5%
5¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Jaren Jackson Jr.: 4+
10.5%
Kalshi 10.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: 4+
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Dejounte Murray: 4+9.5%9.5%8¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 16s ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Dejounte Murray: 4+9.5%Kalshi 9.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Dejounte Murray: 4+
9.5%
9.5%
8¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Dejounte Murray: 4+
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dejounte Murray: 4+
- Last price
- 9.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Lauri Markkanen: 5+9%9%4¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 16s ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Lauri Markkanen: 5+9%Kalshi 9%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Lauri Markkanen: 5+
9%
9%
4¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Lauri Markkanen: 5+
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lauri Markkanen: 5+
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Keyonte George: 5+6.5%6.5%— bid, 13¢ askpolled, 16s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Keyonte George: 5+6.5%Kalshi 6.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Keyonte George: 5+
6.5%
6.5%
— bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Keyonte George: 5+
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Keyonte George: 5+
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Darryn Peterson: 4+5.5%5.5%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, 16s ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Darryn Peterson: 4+5.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Darryn Peterson: 4+
5.5%
5.5%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Darryn Peterson: 4+
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Darryn Peterson: 4+
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Ace Bailey: 5+4%4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 16s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Ace Bailey: 5+4%Kalshi 4%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Ace Bailey: 5+
4%
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Ace Bailey: 5+
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ace Bailey: 5+
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Jaren Jackson Jr.: 5+4%4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 16s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Jaren Jackson Jr.: 5+4%Kalshi 4%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Jaren Jackson Jr.: 5+
4%
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Jaren Jackson Jr.: 5+
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: 5+
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Jeremiah Fears: 4+4%4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 16s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Jeremiah Fears: 4+4%Kalshi 4%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Jeremiah Fears: 4+
4%
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Jeremiah Fears: 4+
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jeremiah Fears: 4+
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Bennedict Mathurin: 4+3.5%3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 16s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Bennedict Mathurin: 4+3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Bennedict Mathurin: 4+
3.5%
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Bennedict Mathurin: 4+
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bennedict Mathurin: 4+
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Saddiq Bey: 4+3.5%3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 16s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Saddiq Bey: 4+3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Saddiq Bey: 4+
3.5%
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Saddiq Bey: 4+
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Saddiq Bey: 4+
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Bennedict Mathurin: 5+2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 16s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Bennedict Mathurin: 5+2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Bennedict Mathurin: 5+
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Bennedict Mathurin: 5+
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bennedict Mathurin: 5+
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Darryn Peterson: 5+2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 16s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Darryn Peterson: 5+2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Darryn Peterson: 5+
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Darryn Peterson: 5+
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Darryn Peterson: 5+
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Jeremiah Fears: 5+2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 16s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Jeremiah Fears: 5+2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Jeremiah Fears: 5+
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Jeremiah Fears: 5+
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jeremiah Fears: 5+
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Saddiq Bey: 5+2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 16s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Saddiq Bey: 5+2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Saddiq Bey: 5+
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Saddiq Bey: 5+
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Saddiq Bey: 5+
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Dejounte Murray: 5+2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 16s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Dejounte Murray: 5+2%Kalshi 2%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Dejounte Murray: 5+
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Dejounte Murray: 5+
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dejounte Murray: 5+
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Trey Murphy III: 3+
- Lauri Markkanen: 1+
- Keyonte George: 1+
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "New Orleans vs Utah: Threes". Trey Murphy III: 3+ leads at 92%. Next is Lauri Markkanen: 1+ at 89.5%. $7K has traded across 50 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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