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What the markets expect
Over 214.5 points 92.5%
Next is Over 216.5 points at 92%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Over 214.5 points92.5%92.5%91¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 22s ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Over 214.5 points92.5%Kalshi 92.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 214.5 points
92.5%
92.5%
91¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 214.5 points
92.5%
Kalshi 92.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 214.5 points
- Last price
- 92.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
Over 216.5 points92%92%90¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, 22s ago92¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $109 (1.09x)Over 216.5 points92%Kalshi 92%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Over 216.5 points
92%
92%
90¢ bid, 92¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
92¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Over 216.5 points
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 216.5 points
- Last price
- 92%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 90¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
- Volume
- $10
Over 218.5 points88.5%88.5%87¢ bid, 90¢ askpolled, 22s ago90¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Over 218.5 points88.5%Kalshi 88.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Over 218.5 points
88.5%
88.5%
87¢ bid, 90¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
90¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Over 218.5 points
88.5%
Kalshi 88.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 218.5 points
- Last price
- 88.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- 87¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
Over 220.5 points86%86%85¢ bid, 87¢ askpolled, 22s ago87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Over 220.5 points86%Kalshi 86%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Over 220.5 points
86%
86%
85¢ bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Over 220.5 points
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 220.5 points
- Last price
- 86%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- 85¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
Over 222.5 points85%85%82¢ bid, 85¢ askpolled, 22s ago85¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $118 (1.18x)Over 222.5 points85%Kalshi 85%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Over 222.5 points
85%
85%
82¢ bid, 85¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
85¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Over 222.5 points
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 222.5 points
- Last price
- 85%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 85¢
- Sell Yes
- 82¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $118 (1.18x)
- Volume
- $12
Over 224.5 points80%80%79¢ bid, 81¢ askpolled, 22s ago81¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $123 (1.23x)Over 224.5 points80%Kalshi 80%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Over 224.5 points
80%
80%
79¢ bid, 81¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
81¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Over 224.5 points
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 224.5 points
- Last price
- 80%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 81¢
- Sell Yes
- 79¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $123 (1.23x)
Over 226.5 points76.5%76.5%75¢ bid, 78¢ askpolled, 22s ago78¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $128 (1.28x)Over 226.5 points76.5%Kalshi 76.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Over 226.5 points
76.5%
76.5%
75¢ bid, 78¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
78¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Over 226.5 points
76.5%
Kalshi 76.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 226.5 points
- Last price
- 76.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 78¢
- Sell Yes
- 75¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $128 (1.28x)
Over 228.5 points73%73%72¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 22s ago74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Over 228.5 points73%Kalshi 73%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Over 228.5 points
73%
73%
72¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Over 228.5 points
73%
Kalshi 73%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 228.5 points
- Last price
- 73%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 72¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
Over 230.5 points69%69%68¢ bid, 70¢ askpolled, 22s ago70¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $143 (1.43x)Over 230.5 points69%Kalshi 69%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Over 230.5 points
69%
69%
68¢ bid, 70¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
70¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Over 230.5 points
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 230.5 points
- Last price
- 69%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 70¢
- Sell Yes
- 68¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $143 (1.43x)
Over 232.5 points65%65%63¢ bid, 66¢ askpolled, 22s ago66¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $152 (1.52x)Over 232.5 points65%Kalshi 65%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Over 232.5 points
65%
65%
63¢ bid, 66¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
66¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Over 232.5 points
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 232.5 points
- Last price
- 65%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 66¢
- Sell Yes
- 63¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $152 (1.52x)
- Volume
- $13
Show 19 more outcomesHide 19 outcomes
Over 234.5 points60%60%59¢ bid, 61¢ askpolled, 22s ago61¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $164 (1.64x)Over 234.5 points60%Kalshi 60%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Over 234.5 points
60%
60%
59¢ bid, 61¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
61¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Over 234.5 points
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 234.5 points
- Last price
- 60%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 59¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
Over 236.5 points56%56%55¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 22s ago56¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $179 (1.79x)Over 236.5 points56%Kalshi 56%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Over 236.5 points
56%
56%
55¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
56¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Over 236.5 points
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 236.5 points
- Last price
- 56%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
- Volume
- $17
Over 238.5 points51%51%51¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 22s ago52¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $192 (1.92x)Over 238.5 points51%Kalshi 51%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Over 238.5 points
51%
51%
51¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
52¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Over 238.5 points
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 238.5 points
- Last price
- 51%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
- Volume
- $43K
Over 240.5 points44%44%44¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 22s ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Over 240.5 points44%Kalshi 44%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Over 240.5 points
44%
44%
44¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Over 240.5 points
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 240.5 points
- Last price
- 44%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 44¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
- Volume
- $81
Over 242.5 points41.5%41.5%40¢ bid, 43¢ askpolled, 22s ago43¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $233 (2.33x)Over 242.5 points41.5%Kalshi 41.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Over 242.5 points
41.5%
41.5%
40¢ bid, 43¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
43¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Over 242.5 points
41.5%
Kalshi 41.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 242.5 points
- Last price
- 41.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
Over 244.5 points38%38%37¢ bid, 39¢ askpolled, 22s ago39¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $256 (2.56x)Over 244.5 points38%Kalshi 38%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Over 244.5 points
38%
38%
37¢ bid, 39¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
39¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Over 244.5 points
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 244.5 points
- Last price
- 38%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 39¢
- Sell Yes
- 37¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $256 (2.56x)
Over 246.5 points34%34%33¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 22s ago35¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $286 (2.86x)Over 246.5 points34%Kalshi 34%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Over 246.5 points
34%
34%
33¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
35¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Over 246.5 points
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 246.5 points
- Last price
- 34%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
Over 248.5 points29%29%28¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 22s ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Over 248.5 points29%Kalshi 29%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Over 248.5 points
29%
29%
28¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Over 248.5 points
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 248.5 points
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $18
Over 250.5 points26.5%26.5%25¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 22s ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Over 250.5 points26.5%Kalshi 26.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Over 250.5 points
26.5%
26.5%
25¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Over 250.5 points
26.5%
Kalshi 26.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 250.5 points
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
Over 252.5 points23%23%22¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 22s ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Over 252.5 points23%Kalshi 23%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Over 252.5 points
23%
23%
22¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Over 252.5 points
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 252.5 points
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
Over 254.5 points19.5%19.5%18¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 22s ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Over 254.5 points19.5%Kalshi 19.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Over 254.5 points
19.5%
19.5%
18¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Over 254.5 points
19.5%
Kalshi 19.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 254.5 points
- Last price
- 19.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
Over 256.5 points16.5%16.5%15¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 22s ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Over 256.5 points16.5%Kalshi 16.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Over 256.5 points
16.5%
16.5%
15¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Over 256.5 points
16.5%
Kalshi 16.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 256.5 points
- Last price
- 16.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
Over 258.5 points14.5%14.5%13¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 22s ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Over 258.5 points14.5%Kalshi 14.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Over 258.5 points
14.5%
14.5%
13¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Over 258.5 points
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 258.5 points
- Last price
- 14.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Over 260.5 points13%13%12¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 22s ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Over 260.5 points13%Kalshi 13%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Over 260.5 points
13%
13%
12¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Over 260.5 points
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 260.5 points
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Over 262.5 points10%10%10¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 22s ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Over 262.5 points10%Kalshi 10%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Over 262.5 points
10%
10%
10¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Over 262.5 points
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 262.5 points
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $338
Over 264.5 points10%10%7¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 22s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Over 264.5 points10%Kalshi 10%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Over 264.5 points
10%
10%
7¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Over 264.5 points
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 264.5 points
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $406
Over 266.5 points7.5%7.5%6¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 22s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Over 266.5 points7.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Over 266.5 points
7.5%
7.5%
6¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Over 266.5 points
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 266.5 points
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Over 268.5 points7%7%6¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 22s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Over 268.5 points7%Kalshi 7%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Over 268.5 points
7%
7%
6¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Over 268.5 points
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 268.5 points
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Over 270.5 points6%6%4¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 22s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Over 270.5 points6%Kalshi 6%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Over 270.5 points
6%
6%
4¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Over 270.5 points
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 270.5 points
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $300
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Over 214.5 points
- Over 216.5 points
- Over 218.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "New Orleans vs Utah: Total Points". Over 214.5 points leads at 92.5%. Next is Over 216.5 points at 92%. $44K has traded across 29 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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