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What the markets expect
Benson Kipruto 27%
Next is Andreas Almgren at 24%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Benson Kipruto27%27%22¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 2 h ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Benson Kipruto27%Kalshi 27%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Benson Kipruto
27%
27%
22¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Benson Kipruto
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Benson Kipruto
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $2K
Andreas Almgren24%24%20¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 2 h ago29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Andreas Almgren24%Kalshi 24%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Andreas Almgren
24%
24%
20¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Andreas Almgren
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Andreas Almgren
- Last price
- 24%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
- Volume
- $3K
Zouhair Talbi24%24%17¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 2 h ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Zouhair Talbi24%Kalshi 24%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Zouhair Talbi
24%
24%
17¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Zouhair Talbi
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Zouhair Talbi
- Last price
- 24%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $874
Deresa Geleta6%6%3¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 2 h ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Deresa Geleta6%Kalshi 6%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Deresa Geleta
6%
6%
3¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Deresa Geleta
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Deresa Geleta
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $406
Geoffrey Kamworor6%6%3¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 2 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Geoffrey Kamworor6%Kalshi 6%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Geoffrey Kamworor
6%
6%
3¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Geoffrey Kamworor
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Geoffrey Kamworor
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $8
Conner Mantz5%5%1¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 2 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Conner Mantz5%Kalshi 5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Conner Mantz
5%
5%
1¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Conner Mantz
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Conner Mantz
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $652
Abdi Nageeye4%4%1¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 2 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Abdi Nageeye4%Kalshi 4%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Abdi Nageeye
4%
4%
1¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Abdi Nageeye
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Abdi Nageeye
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $166
Iliass Aouani4%4%1¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 2 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Iliass Aouani4%Kalshi 4%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Iliass Aouani
4%
4%
1¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Iliass Aouani
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iliass Aouani
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $200
JP Flavin4%4%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)JP Flavin4%Kalshi 4%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
JP Flavin
4%
4%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
JP Flavin
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- JP Flavin
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $47
Huseydin Mohamed Esa3.5%3.5%1¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 2 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Huseydin Mohamed Esa3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Huseydin Mohamed Esa
3.5%
3.5%
1¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Huseydin Mohamed Esa
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Huseydin Mohamed Esa
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Show 32 more outcomesHide 32 outcomes
Ahmed Muhamed2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Ahmed Muhamed2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Ahmed Muhamed
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Ahmed Muhamed
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ahmed Muhamed
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Aidan Reed2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Aidan Reed2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Aidan Reed
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Aidan Reed
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aidan Reed
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Aidan Troutner2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Aidan Troutner2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Aidan Troutner
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Aidan Troutner
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aidan Troutner
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Alec Baldwin2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Alec Baldwin2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Alec Baldwin
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Alec Baldwin
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alec Baldwin
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Andrew Colley2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Andrew Colley2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Andrew Colley
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Andrew Colley
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Andrew Colley
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Casey Clinger2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Casey Clinger2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Casey Clinger
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Casey Clinger
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Casey Clinger
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
CyBrian Kotut2%2%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 2 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)CyBrian Kotut2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
CyBrian Kotut
2%
2%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
CyBrian Kotut
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- CyBrian Kotut
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $114
Edward Cheserek2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Edward Cheserek2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Edward Cheserek
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Edward Cheserek
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Edward Cheserek
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Haftu Strintzos2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Haftu Strintzos2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Haftu Strintzos
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Haftu Strintzos
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Haftu Strintzos
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Jack Rowe2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Jack Rowe2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Jack Rowe
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Jack Rowe
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jack Rowe
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
James Nipperess2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)James Nipperess2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
James Nipperess
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
James Nipperess
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- James Nipperess
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Jared Ward2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Jared Ward2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Jared Ward
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Jared Ward
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jared Ward
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Joe Klecker2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Joe Klecker2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Joe Klecker
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Joe Klecker
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joe Klecker
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Joel Reichow2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Joel Reichow2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Joel Reichow
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Joel Reichow
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joel Reichow
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
JP Trojan2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)JP Trojan2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
JP Trojan
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
JP Trojan
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- JP Trojan
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Kamohelo Mofolo2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Kamohelo Mofolo2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kamohelo Mofolo
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kamohelo Mofolo
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kamohelo Mofolo
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Kengo Suzuki2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Kengo Suzuki2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kengo Suzuki
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kengo Suzuki
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kengo Suzuki
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Merga Gemeda2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Merga Gemeda2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Merga Gemeda
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Merga Gemeda
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Merga Gemeda
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Mo Bati2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Mo Bati2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Mo Bati
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Mo Bati
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mo Bati
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Owen Ritz2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Owen Ritz2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Owen Ritz
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Owen Ritz
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Owen Ritz
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Patrick Dever2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Patrick Dever2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Patrick Dever
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Patrick Dever
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Patrick Dever
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Patrick Kiprop2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Patrick Kiprop2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Patrick Kiprop
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Patrick Kiprop
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Patrick Kiprop
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Paul Chelimo2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Paul Chelimo2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Paul Chelimo
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Paul Chelimo
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Paul Chelimo
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Peter Lynch2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Peter Lynch2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Peter Lynch
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Peter Lynch
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Peter Lynch
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Robert Miranda2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Robert Miranda2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Robert Miranda
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Robert Miranda
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Robert Miranda
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Ryan Cutter2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Ryan Cutter2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Ryan Cutter
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Ryan Cutter
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ryan Cutter
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Ryan Ford2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Ryan Ford2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Ryan Ford
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Ryan Ford
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ryan Ford
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Ryota Kondo2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Ryota Kondo2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Ryota Kondo
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Ryota Kondo
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ryota Kondo
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Sam Chelanga2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Sam Chelanga2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Sam Chelanga
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Sam Chelanga
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sam Chelanga
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Stephen Jones2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Stephen Jones2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Stephen Jones
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Stephen Jones
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Stephen Jones
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Turner Wiley2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Turner Wiley2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Turner Wiley
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Turner Wiley
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Turner Wiley
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Yemaneberhan Crippa2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Yemaneberhan Crippa2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Yemaneberhan Crippa
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Yemaneberhan Crippa
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yemaneberhan Crippa
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: The Wall Street Journal, New York Road Runners, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Benson Kipruto
- Andreas Almgren
- Zouhair Talbi
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "New York City Marathon Men's Open Division Winner". Benson Kipruto leads at 27%. Next is Andreas Almgren at 24%. $7K has traded across 42 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 16, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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