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What the markets expect
Houston wins by over 2.5 points 68%
Next is Houston wins by over 3.5 points at 60.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Houston wins by over 2.5 points68%68%67¢ bid, 68¢ askpolled, 44s ago68¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $147 (1.47x)Houston wins by over 2.5 points68%Kalshi 68%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Houston wins by over 2.5 points
68%
68%
67¢ bid, 68¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
68¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Houston wins by over 2.5 points
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Houston wins by over 2.5 points
- Last price
- 68%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 68¢
- Sell Yes
- 67¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $147 (1.47x)
- Volume
- $6K
Houston wins by over 3.5 points60.5%60.5%60¢ bid, 61¢ askpolled, 44s ago61¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $164 (1.64x)Houston wins by over 3.5 points60.5%Kalshi 60.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Houston wins by over 3.5 points
60.5%
60.5%
60¢ bid, 61¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
61¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Houston wins by over 3.5 points
60.5%
Kalshi 60.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Houston wins by over 3.5 points
- Last price
- 60.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
Houston wins by over 4.5 points56%56%55¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 44s ago56¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $179 (1.79x)Houston wins by over 4.5 points56%Kalshi 56%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Houston wins by over 4.5 points
56%
56%
55¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
56¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Houston wins by over 4.5 points
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Houston wins by over 4.5 points
- Last price
- 56%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
- Volume
- $8K
Houston wins by over 6.5 points51%51%50¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 44s ago51¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Houston wins by over 6.5 points51%Kalshi 51%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Houston wins by over 6.5 points
51%
51%
50¢ bid, 51¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
51¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Houston wins by over 6.5 points
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Houston wins by over 6.5 points
- Last price
- 51%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $2K
Houston wins by over 7.5 points42%42%41¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, 44s ago42¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $238 (2.38x)Houston wins by over 7.5 points42%Kalshi 42%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Houston wins by over 7.5 points
42%
42%
41¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
42¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Houston wins by over 7.5 points
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Houston wins by over 7.5 points
- Last price
- 42%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 41¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
- Volume
- $66
Houston wins by over 9.5 points38.5%38.5%38¢ bid, 39¢ askpolled, 44s ago39¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $256 (2.56x)Houston wins by over 9.5 points38.5%Kalshi 38.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Houston wins by over 9.5 points
38.5%
38.5%
38¢ bid, 39¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
39¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Houston wins by over 9.5 points
38.5%
Kalshi 38.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Houston wins by over 9.5 points
- Last price
- 38.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 39¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $256 (2.56x)
Houston wins by over 10.5 points31.5%31.5%31¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 44s ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Houston wins by over 10.5 points31.5%Kalshi 31.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Houston wins by over 10.5 points
31.5%
31.5%
31¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Houston wins by over 10.5 points
31.5%
Kalshi 31.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Houston wins by over 10.5 points
- Last price
- 31.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
Houston wins by over 13.5 points23.5%23.5%23¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 44s ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Houston wins by over 13.5 points23.5%Kalshi 23.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Houston wins by over 13.5 points
23.5%
23.5%
23¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Houston wins by over 13.5 points
23.5%
Kalshi 23.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Houston wins by over 13.5 points
- Last price
- 23.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
New York G wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi: “New York G wins by over 2.5 points”19%19%19¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 44s ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)New York G wins by over 10.5 points19%Kalshi 19%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
New York G wins by over 10.5 points
Kalshi: “New York G wins by over 2.5 points”
19%
19%
19¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
New York G wins by over 10.5 points
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York G wins by over 2.5 points
- Last price
- 19%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
- Volume
- $25
Houston wins by over 14.5 points17.5%17.5%17¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 44s ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Houston wins by over 14.5 points17.5%Kalshi 17.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Houston wins by over 14.5 points
17.5%
17.5%
17¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Houston wins by over 14.5 points
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Houston wins by over 14.5 points
- Last price
- 17.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
Show 8 more outcomesHide 8 outcomes
New York G wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi: “New York G wins by over 3.5 points”15%15%14¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 44s ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)New York G wins by over 10.5 points15%Kalshi 15%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
New York G wins by over 10.5 points
Kalshi: “New York G wins by over 3.5 points”
15%
15%
14¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
New York G wins by over 10.5 points
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York G wins by over 3.5 points
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Houston wins by over 17.5 points13.5%13.5%12¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 44s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Houston wins by over 17.5 points13.5%Kalshi 13.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Houston wins by over 17.5 points
13.5%
13.5%
12¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Houston wins by over 17.5 points
13.5%
Kalshi 13.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Houston wins by over 17.5 points
- Last price
- 13.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
New York G wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi: “New York G wins by over 4.5 points”11.5%11.5%11¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 44s ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)New York G wins by over 10.5 points11.5%Kalshi 11.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
New York G wins by over 10.5 points
Kalshi: “New York G wins by over 4.5 points”
11.5%
11.5%
11¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
New York G wins by over 10.5 points
11.5%
Kalshi 11.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York G wins by over 4.5 points
- Last price
- 11.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Houston wins by over 20.5 points9.5%9.5%8¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 44s ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Houston wins by over 20.5 points9.5%Kalshi 9.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Houston wins by over 20.5 points
9.5%
9.5%
8¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Houston wins by over 20.5 points
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Houston wins by over 20.5 points
- Last price
- 9.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
New York G wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi: “New York G wins by over 6.5 points”8.5%8.5%8¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 44s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)New York G wins by over 10.5 points8.5%Kalshi 8.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
New York G wins by over 10.5 points
Kalshi: “New York G wins by over 6.5 points”
8.5%
8.5%
8¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
New York G wins by over 10.5 points
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York G wins by over 6.5 points
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
New York G wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi: “New York G wins by over 7.5 points”6.5%6.5%5¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 44s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)New York G wins by over 10.5 points6.5%Kalshi 6.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
New York G wins by over 10.5 points
Kalshi: “New York G wins by over 7.5 points”
6.5%
6.5%
5¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
New York G wins by over 10.5 points
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York G wins by over 7.5 points
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
New York G wins by over 10.5 points6%6%5¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 44s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)New York G wins by over 10.5 points6%Kalshi 6%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
New York G wins by over 10.5 points
6%
6%
5¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
New York G wins by over 10.5 points
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York G wins by over 10.5 points
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $30
New York G wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi: “New York G wins by over 9.5 points”5.5%5.5%4¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 44s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)New York G wins by over 10.5 points5.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
New York G wins by over 10.5 points
Kalshi: “New York G wins by over 9.5 points”
5.5%
5.5%
4¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
New York G wins by over 10.5 points
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York G wins by over 9.5 points
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Houston wins by over 2.5 points
- Houston wins by over 3.5 points
- Houston wins by over 4.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "New York G vs Houston: 1st Half Spread". Houston wins by over 2.5 points leads at 68%. Next is Houston wins by over 3.5 points at 60.5%. $16K has traded across 18 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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