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What the markets expect
Over 0.5 goals scored 97%
Next is Over 1.5 goals scored at 92%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Over 0.5 goals scored97%Not listed97%97¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 59s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Over 0.5 goals scored97%Kalshi 97%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Over 0.5 goals scored
97%
Not listed
97%
97¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Over 0.5 goals scored
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 0.5 goals scored
- Last price
- 97%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 97¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $130
Over 1.5 goals scored92%Not listed92%90¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, 59s ago92¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $109 (1.09x)Over 1.5 goals scored92%Kalshi 92%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Over 1.5 goals scored
92%
Not listed
92%
90¢ bid, 92¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
92¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Over 1.5 goals scored
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 1.5 goals scored
- Last price
- 92%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 90¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
- Volume
- $216
Over 2.5 goals scored76%Not listed76%76¢ bid, 77¢ askpolled, 59s ago77¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $130 (1.30x)Over 2.5 goals scored76%Kalshi 76%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Over 2.5 goals scored
76%
Not listed
76%
76¢ bid, 77¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
77¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Over 2.5 goals scored
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 2.5 goals scored
- Last price
- 76%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 77¢
- Sell Yes
- 76¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $130 (1.30x)
- Volume
- $181
Over 3.5 goals scored58%Not listed58%57¢ bid, 58¢ askpolled, 59s ago58¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $172 (1.72x)Over 3.5 goals scored58%Kalshi 58%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Over 3.5 goals scored
58%
Not listed
58%
57¢ bid, 58¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
58¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Over 3.5 goals scored
58%
Kalshi 58%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 3.5 goals scored
- Last price
- 58%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 58¢
- Sell Yes
- 57¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $172 (1.72x)
- Volume
- $61
Inter Miami CF52.5%52.5%52¢ bid, 53¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed53¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $189 (1.89x)Inter Miami CF52.5%Polymarket 52.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Inter Miami CF
52.5%
52.5%
52¢ bid, 53¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
53¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Inter Miami CF
52.5%
Polymarket 52.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Inter Miami CF
- Last price
- 52.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 53¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $189 (1.89x)
- Volume
- $2K
Over 4.5 goals scored38%Not listed38%37¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 59s ago38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Over 4.5 goals scored38%Kalshi 38%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Over 4.5 goals scored
38%
Not listed
38%
37¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Over 4.5 goals scored
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 4.5 goals scored
- Last price
- 38%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 37¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
- Volume
- $300
New York Red Bulls26.5%26.5%26¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed27¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $370 (3.70x)New York Red Bulls26.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
New York Red Bulls
26.5%
26.5%
26¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
27¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
New York Red Bulls
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- New York Red Bulls
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $165
Draw (New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami CF)21.5%21.5%21¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed22¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Draw (New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami CF)21.5%Polymarket 21.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Draw (New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami CF)
21.5%
21.5%
21¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
22¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Draw (New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami CF)
21.5%
Polymarket 21.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Draw (New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami CF)
- Last price
- 21.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $278
Over 5.5 goals scored21%Not listed21%21¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 59s ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Over 5.5 goals scored21%Kalshi 21%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Over 5.5 goals scored
21%
Not listed
21%
21¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Over 5.5 goals scored
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 5.5 goals scored
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $200
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: mlssoccer.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Fox Sports, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Over 0.5 goals scored
- Over 1.5 goals scored
- Over 2.5 goals scored
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list Over 0.5 goals scored for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "New York RB vs Miami: Total Goals". Over 0.5 goals scored leads at 97%. Next is Over 1.5 goals scored at 92%. $3K has traded across 9 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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