The Prediction Markets

New York vs Boston: Rebounds

Closes
Oct 25, 2026, in 2 days
Traded
$2K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Karl-Anthony Towns: 6+ 90%

Next is Jayson Tatum: 4+ at 89.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Karl-Anthony Towns: 6+
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Karl-Anthony Towns: 6+
Last price
90%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jayson Tatum: 4+
89.5%
Kalshi 89.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jayson Tatum: 4+
Last price
89.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
OG Anunoby: 2+
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
OG Anunoby: 2+
Last price
88%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Paul George: 2+
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Paul George: 2+
Last price
88%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Andre Drummond: 4+
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
Contract
Andre Drummond: 4+
Last price
87%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Josh Hart: 4+
86.5%
Kalshi 86.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Hart: 4+
Last price
86.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Neemias Queta: 4+
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
Contract
Neemias Queta: 4+
Last price
83%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Derrick White: 2+
82.5%
Kalshi 82.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
Contract
Derrick White: 2+
Last price
82.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Mitchell Robinson: 4+
82.5%
Kalshi 82.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mitchell Robinson: 4+
Last price
82.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jayson Tatum: 6+
80.5%
Kalshi 80.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jayson Tatum: 6+
Last price
80.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 47 more outcomes
Payton Pritchard: 2+
80.5%
Kalshi 80.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Payton Pritchard: 2+
Last price
80.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Karl-Anthony Towns: 8+
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Karl-Anthony Towns: 8+
Last price
80%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Mikal Bridges: 2+
78.5%
Kalshi 78.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mikal Bridges: 2+
Last price
78.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jalen Brunson: 2+
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Brunson: 2+
Last price
77%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Karl-Anthony Towns: 10+
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
Contract
Karl-Anthony Towns: 10+
Last price
69%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Mitchell Robinson: 6+
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mitchell Robinson: 6+
Last price
68%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Paul George: 4+
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Paul George: 4+
Last price
68%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
57¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$508
Trade this on Kalshi
Andre Drummond: 6+
67%
Kalshi 67%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
Contract
Andre Drummond: 6+
Last price
67%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Josh Hart: 6+
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Hart: 6+
Last price
65%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jayson Tatum: 8+
64%
Kalshi 64%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jayson Tatum: 8+
Last price
64%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$37
Trade this on Kalshi
Neemias Queta: 6+
63.5%
Kalshi 63.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
Contract
Neemias Queta: 6+
Last price
63.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Trade this on Kalshi
OG Anunoby: 4+
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
OG Anunoby: 4+
Last price
61%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Derrick White: 4+
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
Contract
Derrick White: 4+
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Kalshi
Karl-Anthony Towns: 12+
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Karl-Anthony Towns: 12+
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Sam Hauser: 2+
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Hauser: 2+
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sam Hauser: 4+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Hauser: 4+
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sam Hauser: 6+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Hauser: 6+
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Payton Pritchard: 4+
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Payton Pritchard: 4+
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Josh Hart: 8+
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Hart: 8+
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Mitchell Robinson: 8+
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mitchell Robinson: 8+
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Kalshi
Jalen Brunson: 4+
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Brunson: 4+
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$13
Trade this on Kalshi
Mikal Bridges: 4+
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mikal Bridges: 4+
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$224
Trade this on Kalshi
Neemias Queta: 8+
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Neemias Queta: 8+
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$9
Trade this on Kalshi
Andre Drummond: 8+
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Andre Drummond: 8+
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$27
Trade this on Kalshi
Jayson Tatum: 10+
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jayson Tatum: 10+
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
OG Anunoby: 6+
38.5%
Kalshi 38.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
OG Anunoby: 6+
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Paul George: 6+
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
Paul George: 6+
Last price
31%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Karl-Anthony Towns: 14+
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Karl-Anthony Towns: 14+
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Andre Drummond: 10+
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Andre Drummond: 10+
Last price
26%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Neemias Queta: 10+
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Neemias Queta: 10+
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Mitchell Robinson: 10+
22.5%
Kalshi 22.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mitchell Robinson: 10+
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jayson Tatum: 12+
20.5%
Kalshi 20.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jayson Tatum: 12+
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Josh Hart: 10+
19.5%
Kalshi 19.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Hart: 10+
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Payton Pritchard: 6+
16.5%
Kalshi 16.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Payton Pritchard: 6+
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Derrick White: 6+
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Derrick White: 6+
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Trade this on Kalshi
OG Anunoby: 8+
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
OG Anunoby: 8+
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Karl-Anthony Towns: 16+
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Karl-Anthony Towns: 16+
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Mitchell Robinson: 12+
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mitchell Robinson: 12+
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Mikal Bridges: 6+
11.5%
Kalshi 11.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mikal Bridges: 6+
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jalen Brunson: 6+
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Brunson: 6+
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Paul George: 8+
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Paul George: 8+
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Andre Drummond: 12+
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Andre Drummond: 12+
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Josh Hart: 12+
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Hart: 12+
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Derrick White: 8+
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Derrick White: 8+
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jalen Brunson: 8+
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Brunson: 8+
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Payton Pritchard: 8+
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Payton Pritchard: 8+
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Mikal Bridges: 8+
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mikal Bridges: 8+
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Karl-Anthony Towns: 6+
  • Jayson Tatum: 4+
  • OG Anunoby: 2+

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
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—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "New York vs Boston: Rebounds". Karl-Anthony Towns: 6+ leads at 90%. Next is Jayson Tatum: 4+ at 89.5%. $2K has traded across 57 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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