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What the markets expect
Over 195.5 points 95%
Next is Over 197.5 points at 94%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Over 195.5 points95%95%94¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, 44s ago96¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $104 (1.04x)Over 195.5 points95%Kalshi 95%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Over 195.5 points
95%
95%
94¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
96¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Over 195.5 points
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 195.5 points
- Last price
- 95%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $759
Over 197.5 points94%94%92¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 44s ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Over 197.5 points94%Kalshi 94%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 197.5 points
94%
94%
92¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 197.5 points
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 197.5 points
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 92¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
- Volume
- $664
Over 199.5 points92%92%90¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, 44s ago92¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $109 (1.09x)Over 199.5 points92%Kalshi 92%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Over 199.5 points
92%
92%
90¢ bid, 92¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
92¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Over 199.5 points
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 199.5 points
- Last price
- 92%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 90¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
- Volume
- $664
Over 201.5 points90%90%89¢ bid, 90¢ askpolled, 44s ago90¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Over 201.5 points90%Kalshi 90%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Over 201.5 points
90%
90%
89¢ bid, 90¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
90¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Over 201.5 points
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 201.5 points
- Last price
- 90%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- 89¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
- Volume
- $429
Over 203.5 points87%87%86¢ bid, 87¢ askpolled, 44s ago87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Over 203.5 points87%Kalshi 87%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Over 203.5 points
87%
87%
86¢ bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Over 203.5 points
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 203.5 points
- Last price
- 87%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
- Volume
- $161
Over 205.5 points85%85%83¢ bid, 85¢ askpolled, 44s ago85¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $118 (1.18x)Over 205.5 points85%Kalshi 85%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Over 205.5 points
85%
85%
83¢ bid, 85¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
85¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Over 205.5 points
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 205.5 points
- Last price
- 85%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 85¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $118 (1.18x)
- Volume
- $8
Over 207.5 points83%83%81¢ bid, 83¢ askpolled, 44s ago83¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $120 (1.20x)Over 207.5 points83%Kalshi 83%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Over 207.5 points
83%
83%
81¢ bid, 83¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
83¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Over 207.5 points
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 207.5 points
- Last price
- 83%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 83¢
- Sell Yes
- 81¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $120 (1.20x)
- Volume
- $26
Over 209.5 points78%78%76¢ bid, 78¢ askpolled, 44s ago78¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $128 (1.28x)Over 209.5 points78%Kalshi 78%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Over 209.5 points
78%
78%
76¢ bid, 78¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
78¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Over 209.5 points
78%
Kalshi 78%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 209.5 points
- Last price
- 78%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 78¢
- Sell Yes
- 76¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $128 (1.28x)
- Volume
- $4
Over 211.5 points74%74%73¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 44s ago74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Over 211.5 points74%Kalshi 74%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Over 211.5 points
74%
74%
73¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Over 211.5 points
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 211.5 points
- Last price
- 74%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 73¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
- Volume
- $121
Over 213.5 points70%70%68¢ bid, 70¢ askpolled, 44s ago70¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $143 (1.43x)Over 213.5 points70%Kalshi 70%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Over 213.5 points
70%
70%
68¢ bid, 70¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
70¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Over 213.5 points
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 213.5 points
- Last price
- 70%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 70¢
- Sell Yes
- 68¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $143 (1.43x)
- Volume
- $169
Show 19 more outcomesHide 19 outcomes
Over 215.5 points65%65%63¢ bid, 65¢ askpolled, 44s ago65¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $154 (1.54x)Over 215.5 points65%Kalshi 65%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Over 215.5 points
65%
65%
63¢ bid, 65¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
65¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Over 215.5 points
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 215.5 points
- Last price
- 65%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 65¢
- Sell Yes
- 63¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $154 (1.54x)
- Volume
- $9
Over 217.5 points60.5%60.5%60¢ bid, 61¢ askpolled, 44s ago61¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $164 (1.64x)Over 217.5 points60.5%Kalshi 60.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Over 217.5 points
60.5%
60.5%
60¢ bid, 61¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
61¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Over 217.5 points
60.5%
Kalshi 60.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 217.5 points
- Last price
- 60.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
Over 219.5 points56%56%55¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 44s ago56¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $179 (1.79x)Over 219.5 points56%Kalshi 56%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Over 219.5 points
56%
56%
55¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
56¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Over 219.5 points
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 219.5 points
- Last price
- 56%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
- Volume
- $50
Over 221.5 points52%52%51¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 44s ago52¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $192 (1.92x)Over 221.5 points52%Kalshi 52%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Over 221.5 points
52%
52%
51¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
52¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Over 221.5 points
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 221.5 points
- Last price
- 52%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
- Volume
- $74
Over 223.5 points46%46%44¢ bid, 46¢ askpolled, 44s ago46¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $217 (2.17x)Over 223.5 points46%Kalshi 46%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Over 223.5 points
46%
46%
44¢ bid, 46¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
46¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Over 223.5 points
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 223.5 points
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 44¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
- Volume
- $6K
Over 225.5 points43%43%42¢ bid, 43¢ askpolled, 44s ago43¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $233 (2.33x)Over 225.5 points43%Kalshi 43%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Over 225.5 points
43%
43%
42¢ bid, 43¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
43¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Over 225.5 points
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 225.5 points
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
- Volume
- $6K
Over 227.5 points38%38%37¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 44s ago38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Over 227.5 points38%Kalshi 38%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Over 227.5 points
38%
38%
37¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Over 227.5 points
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 227.5 points
- Last price
- 38%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 37¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
- Volume
- $182
Over 229.5 points34.5%34.5%33¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 44s ago36¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Over 229.5 points34.5%Kalshi 34.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Over 229.5 points
34.5%
34.5%
33¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
36¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Over 229.5 points
34.5%
Kalshi 34.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 229.5 points
- Last price
- 34.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
Over 231.5 points31.5%31.5%31¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 44s ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Over 231.5 points31.5%Kalshi 31.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Over 231.5 points
31.5%
31.5%
31¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Over 231.5 points
31.5%
Kalshi 31.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 231.5 points
- Last price
- 31.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
Over 233.5 points27.5%27.5%27¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 44s ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Over 233.5 points27.5%Kalshi 27.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Over 233.5 points
27.5%
27.5%
27¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Over 233.5 points
27.5%
Kalshi 27.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 233.5 points
- Last price
- 27.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
Over 235.5 points25.5%25.5%25¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, 44s ago26¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $385 (3.85x)Over 235.5 points25.5%Kalshi 25.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Over 235.5 points
25.5%
25.5%
25¢ bid, 26¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
26¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Over 235.5 points
25.5%
Kalshi 25.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 235.5 points
- Last price
- 25.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
Over 237.5 points21.5%21.5%20¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 44s ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Over 237.5 points21.5%Kalshi 21.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Over 237.5 points
21.5%
21.5%
20¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Over 237.5 points
21.5%
Kalshi 21.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 237.5 points
- Last price
- 21.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
Over 239.5 points19%19%16¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 44s ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Over 239.5 points19%Kalshi 19%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Over 239.5 points
19%
19%
16¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Over 239.5 points
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 239.5 points
- Last price
- 19%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
- Volume
- $119
Over 241.5 points14%14%12¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 44s ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Over 241.5 points14%Kalshi 14%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Over 241.5 points
14%
14%
12¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Over 241.5 points
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 241.5 points
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Over 243.5 points13%13%12¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 44s ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Over 243.5 points13%Kalshi 13%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Over 243.5 points
13%
13%
12¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Over 243.5 points
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 243.5 points
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Over 245.5 points11%11%10¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 44s ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Over 245.5 points11%Kalshi 11%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Over 245.5 points
11%
11%
10¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Over 245.5 points
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 245.5 points
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $208
Over 247.5 points10%10%7¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 44s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Over 247.5 points10%Kalshi 10%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Over 247.5 points
10%
10%
7¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Over 247.5 points
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 247.5 points
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $350
Over 249.5 points8%8%6¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 44s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Over 249.5 points8%Kalshi 8%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Over 249.5 points
8%
8%
6¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Over 249.5 points
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 249.5 points
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $400
Over 251.5 points7%7%6¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 44s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Over 251.5 points7%Kalshi 7%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Over 251.5 points
7%
7%
6¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Over 251.5 points
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 251.5 points
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $990
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Over 195.5 points
- Over 197.5 points
- Over 199.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "New York vs Boston: Total Points". Over 195.5 points leads at 95%. Next is Over 197.5 points at 94%. $17K has traded across 29 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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