The Prediction Markets

New Zealand vs India

Starts in 33 hKickoff
Traded
$15K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
4 min ago
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What the markets expect

India 60%

Next is India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India - Who wins the toss? at 50%. The venues differ most on New Zealand (Polymarket 39%, Kalshi 41%), a 2.0-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
India
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
India
Last price
60%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India - Who wins the toss?
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India - Who wins the toss?
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Trade this on Polymarket
India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India - Who wins the toss?
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India - Completed match?
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
New Zealand
40.1%
Polymarket 39%polled, 4 min agoKalshi 41%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
New Zealand
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 40¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 40¢.

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Mostly the same bet: two differences

Where they differ

  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes at different times: Oct 31, 2026, 7:00 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 26, 2026, 11:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: espncricinfo.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Cricbuzz, ESPN cricinfo, ICC
Show full rule comparison
  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes Oct 31, 2026, 7:00 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 26, 2026, 11:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • India
  • India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India - Who wins the toss?
  • India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India - Who wins the toss?

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list India for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "New Zealand vs India". India leads at 60%. Next is India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India - Who wins the toss? at 50%. $15K has traded across 4 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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