The Prediction Markets

Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Closes
Aug 1, 2028, in 22 months
Traded
$129K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

SDA 93%

Next is Edin Forto at 18.3%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
SDA
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
SDA
Last price
93%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
93¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Edin Forto
18.3%
Polymarket 18.3%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 35.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $282 (2.82x)
Polymarket
Contract
Edin Forto
Last price
18.3%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
35.4¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$282 (2.82x)
Volume
$484
Trade this on Polymarket
Elmedin Konaković
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Elmedin Konaković
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$35K
Trade this on Polymarket
Nermin Nikšić
6.8%
Polymarket 6.8%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nermin Nikšić
Last price
6.8%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$34K
Trade this on Polymarket
Saša Magazinović
5.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 9.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,075 (10.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Saša Magazinović
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
9.3¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,075 (10.8x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
SNSD
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
SNSD
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$256
Trade this on Kalshi
Denis Zvizdić
4.9%
Polymarket 4.9%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 8.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Denis Zvizdić
Last price
4.9%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
8.5¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,176 (11.8x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Polymarket
Bakir Izetbegović
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 8.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,136 (11.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bakir Izetbegović
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
8.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,136 (11.4x)
Volume
$986
Trade this on Polymarket
eljko Komšić
4.3%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 7.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
eljko Komšić
Last price
4.3%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
7.3¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,370 (13.7x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
DF
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
DF
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$188
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 18 more outcomes
HDZ BiH
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
HDZ BiH
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Kalshi
NES
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
NES
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$24
Trade this on Kalshi
NiP
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
NiP
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Kalshi
SDS
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
SDS
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$95
Trade this on Kalshi
Radovan Višković
3.8%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 7.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Radovan Višković
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
7.3¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,370 (13.7x)
Volume
$122
Trade this on Polymarket
Staša Košarac
3.8%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Staša Košarac
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
6.3¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,587 (15.9x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Semir Efendić
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Semir Efendić
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
4.3¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,326 (23.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Nebojša Vukanović
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nebojša Vukanović
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
4.4¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,273 (22.7x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Srđan Amidžić
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Srđan Amidžić
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
3.6¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,778 (27.8x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Polymarket
Denis Bećirović
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Denis Bećirović
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
3.6¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,778 (27.8x)
Volume
$365
Trade this on Polymarket
Naša Stranka
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Naša Stranka
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
PDP
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
PDP
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Zoran Tegeltija
1.9%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 3.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Zoran Tegeltija
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
3.3¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,030 (30.3x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Zukan Helez
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Zukan Helez
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
2.3¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,348 (43.5x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Borjana Krišto
1.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Borjana Krišto
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
SDP BiH
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
SDP BiH
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$245
Trade this on Kalshi
Dragan Čović
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dragan Čović
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Sabina Ćudić
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sabina Ćudić
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CIK BiH: Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • SDA
  • Edin Forto
  • Elmedin Konaković

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list SDA for this event.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?". SDA leads at 93%. Next is Edin Forto at 18.3%. $129K has traded across 28 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Aug 1, 2028.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the House of Representatives of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chairman of the Council of Ministers takes office by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bosnia and Herzegovina; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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