The Prediction Markets

Next England National Team Head Coach

Closes
Dec 31, 2026, in 2 months
Traded
$57K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Wayne Rooney 4.5%

Next is Rio Ferdinand at 3.6%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Wayne Rooney
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 8.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,190 (11.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wayne Rooney
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.4¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,190 (11.9x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Rio Ferdinand
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rio Ferdinand
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
Graham Potter
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Graham Potter
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.3¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,587 (15.9x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Polymarket
Antonio Conte
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Antonio Conte
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,613 (16.1x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
Lee Carsley
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lee Carsley
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,613 (16.1x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Polymarket
John Terry
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
John Terry
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$59
Trade this on Polymarket
Mauricio Pochettino
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mauricio Pochettino
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Gareth Southgate
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gareth Southgate
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Julian Nagelsmann
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Julian Nagelsmann
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
Sean Dyche
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sean Dyche
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 6 more outcomes
Steven Gerrard
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Steven Gerrard
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Eddie Howe
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Eddie Howe
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$37K
Trade this on Polymarket
Xavi
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Xavi
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Volume
$304
Trade this on Polymarket
John Barnes
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
John Barnes
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Frank Lampard
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Frank Lampard
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Pep Guardiola
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pep Guardiola
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Wayne Rooney
  • Rio Ferdinand
  • Graham Potter

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Next England National Team Head Coach". Wayne Rooney leads at 4.5%. Next is Rio Ferdinand at 3.6%. $57K has traded across 16 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 31, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent head coach of England’s Men’s National Soccer Team. If no permanent head coach is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the England Football Federation (The Football Association); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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