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What the markets expect
No Next Minister by Feb 28 40%
Next is Michael Malchieli at 11%. The venues differ most on Shaul Meridor (Polymarket 4.1%, Kalshi 9%), a 4.9-point gap.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
No Next Minister by Feb 2840%40%38¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed42¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $238 (2.38x)No Next Minister by Feb 2840%Polymarket 40%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
No Next Minister by Feb 28
40%
40%
38¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
42¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
No Next Minister by Feb 28
40%
Polymarket 40%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- No Next Minister by Feb 28
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
- Volume
- $33K
Michael Malchieli11%Not listed11%8¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 43s ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Michael Malchieli11%Kalshi 11%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Michael Malchieli
11%
Not listed
11%
8¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Michael Malchieli
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michael Malchieli
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $3K
Yaron ZelekhaArb10.1%10.8%10.6¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 43s ago8%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 43s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Yaron ZelekhaArb10.1%Polymarket 10.8%polled, 43s agoKalshi 8%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Yaron ZelekhaArb
10.1%
10.8%
10.6¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
8%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Yaron ZelekhaArb
10.1%
Polymarket 10.8%polled, 43s agoKalshi 8%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yaron Zelekha
- Last price
- 10.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 10.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $7K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yaron Zelekha
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $2K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 8¢ and selling on Polymarket at 10.6¢ nets 260 bps before fees.
Bezalel SmotrichArb8.8%6.2%3¢ bid, 9.3¢ askpolled, 43s ago10%10¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 43s ago9.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,075 (10.8x)Bezalel SmotrichArb8.8%Polymarket 6.2%polled, 43s agoKalshi 10%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 9.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,075 (10.8x)
Bezalel SmotrichArb
8.8%
6.2%
3¢ bid, 9.3¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
10%
10¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
9.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,075 (10.8x)
Bezalel SmotrichArb
8.8%
Polymarket 6.2%polled, 43s agoKalshi 10%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 9.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,075 (10.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bezalel Smotrich
- Last price
- 6.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,075 (10.8x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bezalel Smotrich
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $7K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 9.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 10¢ nets 70 bps before fees.
Yair LapidArb7.8%2.5%0.4¢ bid, 4.6¢ askpolled, 43s ago26%20¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, 43s ago4.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)Yair LapidArb7.8%Polymarket 2.5%polled, 43s agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoKalshi 26%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Yair LapidArb
7.8%
2.5%
0.4¢ bid, 4.6¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
26%
20¢ bid, 26¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
4.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Yair LapidArb
7.8%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 43s agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoKalshi 26%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yair Lapid
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,174 (21.7x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yair Lapid
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yair Lapid
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
- Volume
- $234
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 4.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 20¢ nets 1540 bps before fees.
Avigdor LiebermanArb7.3%13.7%13.3¢ bid, 14.1¢ askpolled, 43s ago6%2¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 43s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Avigdor LiebermanArb7.3%Polymarket 13.7%polled, 43s agoKalshi 8.5%polled, 43s agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoKalshi 6%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Avigdor LiebermanArb
7.3%
13.7%
13.3¢ bid, 14.1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
6%
2¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Avigdor LiebermanArb
7.3%
Polymarket 13.7%polled, 43s agoKalshi 8.5%polled, 43s agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoKalshi 6%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Avigdor Lieberman
- Last price
- 13.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 13.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $709 (7.09x)
- Volume
- $12K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Avigdor Lieberman
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Avigdor Lieberman
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $2K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Avigdor Lieberman
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 8¢ and selling on Polymarket at 13.3¢ nets 530 bps before fees.
Gideon Sa'ar7.3%Not listed12.5%11¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 43s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Gideon Sa'ar7.3%Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoKalshi 12.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Gideon Sa'ar
7.3%
Not listed
12.5%
11¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Gideon Sa'ar
7.3%
Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoKalshi 12.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gideon Sa'ar
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $26
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gideon Sa'ar
- Last price
- 12.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Naftali BennettArb7%15%14¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 43s ago6%4¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 43s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Naftali BennettArb7%Polymarket 15%polled, 43s agoKalshi 6%polled, 43s agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoKalshi 6%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Naftali BennettArb
7%
15%
14¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
6%
4¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Naftali BennettArb
7%
Polymarket 15%polled, 43s agoKalshi 6%polled, 43s agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoKalshi 6%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Naftali Bennett
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $12K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Naftali Bennett
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $5K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Naftali Bennett
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $5K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Naftali Bennett
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $197
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 14¢ nets 1300 bps before fees.
Yoav Ben-Tzur7%Not listed7%5¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 43s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Yoav Ben-Tzur7%Kalshi 7%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Yoav Ben-Tzur
7%
Not listed
7%
5¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Yoav Ben-Tzur
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yoav Ben-Tzur
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $718
Shaul MeridorArb5.3%4.1%1.4¢ bid, 6.8¢ askpolled, 43s ago9%9¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 43s ago6.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)Shaul MeridorArb5.3%Polymarket 4.1%polled, 43s agoKalshi 9%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Shaul MeridorArb
5.3%
4.1%
1.4¢ bid, 6.8¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
9%
9¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
6.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Shaul MeridorArb
5.3%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 43s agoKalshi 9%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Shaul Meridor
- Last price
- 4.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,471 (14.7x)
- Volume
- $5K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Shaul Meridor
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $680
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 6.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 9¢ nets 220 bps before fees.
Show 33 more outcomesHide 33 outcomes
Ofir Katz5%Not listed5%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 43s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Ofir Katz5%Kalshi 5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ofir Katz
5%
Not listed
5%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ofir Katz
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ofir Katz
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $500
Ron Dermer5%Not listed5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 43s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Ron Dermer5%Kalshi 5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ron Dermer
5%
Not listed
5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ron Dermer
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ron Dermer
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Israel Katz3.5%4.1%0.2¢ bid, 7.9¢ askpolled, 43s ago4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 43s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Israel Katz3.5%Polymarket 4.1%polled, 43s agoKalshi 4%polled, 43s agoKalshi 2%polled, 43s agoKalshi 4%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Israel Katz
3.5%
4.1%
0.2¢ bid, 7.9¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Israel Katz
3.5%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 43s agoKalshi 4%polled, 43s agoKalshi 2%polled, 43s agoKalshi 4%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Israel Katz
- Last price
- 4.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,266 (12.7x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Israel Katz
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Israel Katz
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Israel Katz
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.
Eli Cohen2.6%2.8%1¢ bid, 4.6¢ askpolled, 43s ago2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 43s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Eli Cohen2.6%Polymarket 2.8%polled, 43s agoKalshi 3%polled, 43s agoKalshi 2%polled, 43s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Eli Cohen
2.6%
2.8%
1¢ bid, 4.6¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Eli Cohen
2.6%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 43s agoKalshi 3%polled, 43s agoKalshi 2%polled, 43s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Eli Cohen
- Last price
- 2.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,174 (21.7x)
- Volume
- $2K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Eli Cohen
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Eli Cohen
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Eli Cohen
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.
Yossi CohenKalshi: “Yoram Cohen”, Kalshi: “Yoram Cohen”2.5%Not listed2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 43s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Yossi Cohen2.5%Kalshi 3%polled, 43s agoKalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Yossi Cohen
Kalshi: “Yoram Cohen”, Kalshi: “Yoram Cohen”
2.5%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Yossi Cohen
2.5%
Kalshi 3%polled, 43s agoKalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yoram Cohen
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yoram Cohen
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Keren Terner Eyal2.3%Not listed2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 43s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Keren Terner Eyal2.3%Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Keren Terner Eyal
2.3%
Not listed
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Keren Terner Eyal
2.3%
Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Keren Terner Eyal
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Keren Terner Eyal
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Amir Ohana2%Not listed2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 43s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Amir Ohana2%Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoKalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Amir Ohana
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Amir Ohana
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoKalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Amir Ohana
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $26
Kalshi
- Contract
- Amir Ohana
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
David Amsalem2%Not listed2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 43s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)David Amsalem2%Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
David Amsalem
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
David Amsalem
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- David Amsalem
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Einat Wilf2%Not listed2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 43s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Einat Wilf2%Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Einat Wilf
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Einat Wilf
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Einat Wilf
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $6K
Haim Biton2%Not listed2%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 43s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Haim Biton2%Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Haim Biton
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Haim Biton
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Haim Biton
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $26
Miki Zohar2%Not listed2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 43s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Miki Zohar2%Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Miki Zohar
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Miki Zohar
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miki Zohar
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $26
Miri Regev2%Not listed2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 43s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Miri Regev2%Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Miri Regev
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Miri Regev
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miri Regev
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Oded Forer2%Not listed2%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 43s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Oded Forer2%Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Oded Forer
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Oded Forer
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oded Forer
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $26
Yariv Levin2%Not listed2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 43s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Yariv Levin2%Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Yariv Levin
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Yariv Levin
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yariv Levin
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Yinon Azulay2%Not listed2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 43s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Yinon Azulay2%Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Yinon Azulay
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Yinon Azulay
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yinon Azulay
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $338
Yair GolanArb1.9%0.6%0.2¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 43s ago2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Yair GolanArb1.9%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 43s agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoKalshi 4%polled, 43s agoKalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Yair GolanArb
1.9%
0.6%
0.2¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Yair GolanArb
1.9%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 43s agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoKalshi 4%polled, 43s agoKalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yair Golan
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $205
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yair Golan
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $5K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yair Golan
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $3
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yair Golan
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 0.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 4¢ nets 310 bps before fees.
Nir Barkat1.9%2.2%0.6¢ bid, 3.8¢ askpolled, 43s ago1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 43s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Nir Barkat1.9%Polymarket 2.2%polled, 43s agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Nir Barkat
1.9%
2.2%
0.6¢ bid, 3.8¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Nir Barkat
1.9%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 43s agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nir Barkat
- Last price
- 2.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,632 (26.3x)
- Volume
- $6K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nir Barkat
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.6¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.
Moshe Feiglin1.4%2.6%0.2¢ bid, 4.9¢ askpolled, 43s ago1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 43s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Moshe Feiglin1.4%Polymarket 2.6%polled, 43s agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Moshe Feiglin
1.4%
2.6%
0.2¢ bid, 4.9¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Moshe Feiglin
1.4%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 43s agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Moshe Feiglin
- Last price
- 2.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Moshe Feiglin
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $9K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.
Orit Farkash-Hacohen1.4%0.6%0.2¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 43s ago3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Orit Farkash-Hacohen1.4%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 43s agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoKalshi 3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Orit Farkash-Hacohen
1.4%
0.6%
0.2¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Orit Farkash-Hacohen
1.4%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 43s agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoKalshi 3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Orit Farkash-Hacohen
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $612
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orit Farkash-Hacohen
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orit Farkash-Hacohen
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $26
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.
Benjamin Netanyahu1.3%0.5%0.2¢ bid, 0.7¢ askpolled, 43s ago1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $14,286 (143x)Benjamin Netanyahu1.3%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 43s agoKalshi 2%polled, 43s agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Benjamin Netanyahu
1.3%
0.5%
0.2¢ bid, 0.7¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Benjamin Netanyahu
1.3%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 43s agoKalshi 2%polled, 43s agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Benjamin Netanyahu
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $14,286 (143x)
- Volume
- $395
Kalshi
- Contract
- Benjamin Netanyahu
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $8K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Benjamin Netanyahu
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.
Aryeh Deri1.3%Not listed2%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 43s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Aryeh Deri1.3%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoKalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Aryeh Deri
1.3%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Aryeh Deri
1.3%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoKalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aryeh Deri
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aryeh Deri
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $1K
Chili Tropper1.3%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 43s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Chili Tropper1.3%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoKalshi 2%polled, 43s agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Chili Tropper
1.3%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Chili Tropper
1.3%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoKalshi 2%polled, 43s agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chili Tropper
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chili Tropper
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $26
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chili Tropper
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Ayelet Shaked1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 43s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Ayelet Shaked1%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ayelet Shaked
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ayelet Shaked
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ayelet Shaked
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Benny Gantz1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Benny Gantz1%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Benny Gantz
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Benny Gantz
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Benny Gantz
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $5K
Gadi Eisenkot1%Not listed1%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 43s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Gadi Eisenkot1%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Gadi Eisenkot
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Gadi Eisenkot
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gadi Eisenkot
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $7K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gadi Eisenkot
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gadi Eisenkot
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $2K
Gilad Kariv1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 43s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Gilad Kariv1%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Gilad Kariv
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Gilad Kariv
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gilad Kariv
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Meirav Cohen1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 43s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Meirav Cohen1%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Meirav Cohen
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Meirav Cohen
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Meirav Cohen
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Moshe Gafni1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 43s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Moshe Gafni1%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Moshe Gafni
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Moshe Gafni
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Moshe Gafni
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $8K
Yair GolanKalshi: “Yitzhak Goldknopf”1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Yair Golan1%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Yair Golan
Kalshi: “Yitzhak Goldknopf”
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Yair Golan
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yitzhak Goldknopf
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $5K
Yossi Cohen1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 43s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Yossi Cohen1%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Yossi Cohen
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Yossi Cohen
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yossi Cohen
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Naama Lazimi1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 43s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Naama Lazimi1%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Naama Lazimi
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Naama Lazimi
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Naama Lazimi
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $7K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Naama Lazimi
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Hili Tropper0.6%0.6%0.2¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Hili Tropper0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Hili Tropper
0.6%
0.6%
0.2¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Hili Tropper
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hili Tropper
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $896
Gadi Eizenkot0.3%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed0.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $20,000 (200x)Gadi Eizenkot0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Gadi Eizenkot
0.3%
0.3%
0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
0.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Gadi Eizenkot
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gadi Eizenkot
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $345
Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Yair Lapid on Polymarket at 4.6¢, sell on Kalshi at 20¢ (1540 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads
Mostly the same bet: one difference
Where they differ
- Trading closes at different times: Mar 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 27, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Associated Press, Bloomberg News, Reuters
Show full rule comparisonHide full rule comparison
- Trading closes Mar 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 27, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- No Next Minister by Feb 28
- Michael Malchieli
- Yaron Zelekha
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list No Next Minister by Feb 28 for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Next Israeli Minister of Finance?". No Next Minister by Feb 28 leads at 40%. Next is Michael Malchieli at 11%. $251K has traded across 43 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Mar 1, 2027.
This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Finance in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections. To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Finance will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution. The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Finance” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor. If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Finance are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order. If no such Minister of Finance assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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