Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
No Next Minister by Feb 28 56.5%
Next is Bezalel Smotrich at 17%. The venues differ most on Ron Dermer (Polymarket 0.3%, Kalshi 5%), a 4.7-point gap.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
No Next Minister by Feb 2856.5%56.5%55¢ bid, 58¢ askpolled, 32s agoNot listed58¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $172 (1.72x)No Next Minister by Feb 2856.5%Polymarket 56.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
No Next Minister by Feb 28
56.5%
56.5%
55¢ bid, 58¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
Not listed
58¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $172 (1.72x)
No Next Minister by Feb 28
56.5%
Polymarket 56.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- No Next Minister by Feb 28
- Last price
- 56.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 58¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $172 (1.72x)
- Volume
- $48K
Bezalel Smotrich17%Not listed17%12¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 32s ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Bezalel Smotrich17%Kalshi 17%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Bezalel Smotrich
17%
Not listed
17%
12¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Bezalel Smotrich
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bezalel Smotrich
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $8K
Yair LapidArb15.6%19.5%19¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 32s ago26%22¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, 32s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Yair LapidArb15.6%Polymarket 19.5%polled, 32s agoKalshi 1%polled, 32s agoKalshi 26%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Yair LapidArb
15.6%
19.5%
19¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
26%
22¢ bid, 26¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Yair LapidArb
15.6%
Polymarket 19.5%polled, 32s agoKalshi 1%polled, 32s agoKalshi 26%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yair Lapid
- Last price
- 19.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
- Volume
- $6K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yair Lapid
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yair Lapid
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
- Volume
- $234
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 8¢ and selling on Polymarket at 19¢ nets 1100 bps before fees.
Michael Malchieli11%Not listed11%8¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 32s ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Michael Malchieli11%Kalshi 11%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Michael Malchieli
11%
Not listed
11%
8¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Michael Malchieli
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michael Malchieli
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $3K
Shaul Meridor9%Not listed9%9¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 32s ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Shaul Meridor9%Kalshi 9%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Shaul Meridor
9%
Not listed
9%
9¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Shaul Meridor
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Shaul Meridor
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $680
Yaron Zelekha8%Not listed8%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 32s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Yaron Zelekha8%Kalshi 8%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Yaron Zelekha
8%
Not listed
8%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Yaron Zelekha
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yaron Zelekha
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $2K
Yoav Ben-Tzur7%Not listed7%5¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 32s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Yoav Ben-Tzur7%Kalshi 7%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Yoav Ben-Tzur
7%
Not listed
7%
5¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Yoav Ben-Tzur
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yoav Ben-Tzur
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $718
Gideon Sa'arArbPolymarket: “Gideon Sa’ar”5.9%3.2%2.2¢ bid, 4.2¢ askpolled, 32s ago12.5%11¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 32s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Gideon Sa'arArb5.9%Polymarket 3.2%polled, 32s agoKalshi 2%polled, 32s agoKalshi 12.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Gideon Sa'arArb
Polymarket: “Gideon Sa’ar”
5.9%
3.2%
2.2¢ bid, 4.2¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
12.5%
11¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Gideon Sa'arArb
5.9%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 32s agoKalshi 2%polled, 32s agoKalshi 12.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gideon Sa’ar
- Last price
- 3.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,381 (23.8x)
- Volume
- $15K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gideon Sa'ar
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $26
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gideon Sa'ar
- Last price
- 12.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 4.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 11¢ nets 680 bps before fees.
Naftali BennettArb5.5%9%8¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 32s ago6%4¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 32s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Naftali BennettArb5.5%Polymarket 9%polled, 32s agoKalshi 6%polled, 32s agoKalshi 1%polled, 32s agoKalshi 6%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Naftali BennettArb
5.5%
9%
8¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
6%
4¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Naftali BennettArb
5.5%
Polymarket 9%polled, 32s agoKalshi 6%polled, 32s agoKalshi 1%polled, 32s agoKalshi 6%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Naftali Bennett
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $18K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Naftali Bennett
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $5K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Naftali Bennett
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $5K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Naftali Bennett
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $197
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 8¢ nets 700 bps before fees.
Avigdor Lieberman5.1%5%4¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 32s ago6%2¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 32s ago6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Avigdor Lieberman5.1%Polymarket 5%polled, 32s agoKalshi 8.5%polled, 32s agoKalshi 1%polled, 32s agoKalshi 6%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Avigdor Lieberman
5.1%
5%
4¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
6%
2¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Avigdor Lieberman
5.1%
Polymarket 5%polled, 32s agoKalshi 8.5%polled, 32s agoKalshi 1%polled, 32s agoKalshi 6%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Avigdor Lieberman
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $10K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Avigdor Lieberman
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Avigdor Lieberman
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $2K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Avigdor Lieberman
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 5¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 6¢.
Show 32 more outcomesHide 32 outcomes
Ofir Katz5%Not listed5%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 32s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Ofir Katz5%Kalshi 5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ofir Katz
5%
Not listed
5%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ofir Katz
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ofir Katz
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $500
Gadi Eizenkot4%4%3¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 32s agoNot listed5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Gadi Eizenkot4%Polymarket 4%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Gadi Eizenkot
4%
4%
3¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
Not listed
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Gadi Eizenkot
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gadi Eizenkot
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $26K
Ron Dermer3.5%0.3%0.2¢ bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 32s ago5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 32s ago0.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $25,000 (250x)Ron Dermer3.5%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 32s agoKalshi 5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Ron Dermer
3.5%
0.3%
0.2¢ bid, 0.4¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
0.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Ron Dermer
3.5%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 32s agoKalshi 5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ron Dermer
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $917
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ron Dermer
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5¢.
Israel Katz2.9%1.6%0.3¢ bid, 2.8¢ askpolled, 32s ago4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 32s ago2.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)Israel Katz2.9%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 32s agoKalshi 4%polled, 32s agoKalshi 2%polled, 32s agoKalshi 4%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Israel Katz
2.9%
1.6%
0.3¢ bid, 2.8¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
2.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Israel Katz
2.9%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 32s agoKalshi 4%polled, 32s agoKalshi 2%polled, 32s agoKalshi 4%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Israel Katz
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
- Volume
- $6K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Israel Katz
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Israel Katz
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Israel Katz
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.
Benjamin Netanyahu2.7%0.7%0.2¢ bid, 1.1¢ askpolled, 32s ago5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 32s ago1.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)Benjamin Netanyahu2.7%Polymarket 0.7%polled, 32s agoKalshi 2%polled, 32s agoKalshi 5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Benjamin Netanyahu
2.7%
0.7%
0.2¢ bid, 1.1¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
1.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Benjamin Netanyahu
2.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 32s agoKalshi 2%polled, 32s agoKalshi 5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Benjamin Netanyahu
- Last price
- 0.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $9,091 (90.9x)
- Volume
- $830
Kalshi
- Contract
- Benjamin Netanyahu
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $8K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Benjamin Netanyahu
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $6K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.
Keren Terner Eyal2.3%Not listed2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 32s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Keren Terner Eyal2.3%Kalshi 2%polled, 32s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Keren Terner Eyal
2.3%
Not listed
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Keren Terner Eyal
2.3%
Kalshi 2%polled, 32s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Keren Terner Eyal
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Keren Terner Eyal
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Yair Golan2%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 32s ago2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 32s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Yair Golan2%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 32s agoKalshi 1%polled, 32s agoKalshi 5%polled, 32s agoKalshi 2%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Yair Golan
2%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Yair Golan
2%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 32s agoKalshi 1%polled, 32s agoKalshi 5%polled, 32s agoKalshi 2%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yair Golan
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $623
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yair Golan
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $5K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yair Golan
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $30
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yair Golan
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
David Amsalem2%Not listed2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 32s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)David Amsalem2%Kalshi 2%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
David Amsalem
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
David Amsalem
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- David Amsalem
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Einat Wilf2%Not listed2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 32s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Einat Wilf2%Kalshi 2%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Einat Wilf
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Einat Wilf
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Einat Wilf
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $6K
Haim Biton2%Not listed2%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 32s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Haim Biton2%Kalshi 2%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Haim Biton
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Haim Biton
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Haim Biton
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $26
Miki Zohar2%Not listed2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 32s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Miki Zohar2%Kalshi 2%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Miki Zohar
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Miki Zohar
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miki Zohar
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $26
Miri Regev2%Not listed2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 32s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Miri Regev2%Kalshi 2%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Miri Regev
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Miri Regev
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miri Regev
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Oded Forer2%Not listed2%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 32s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Oded Forer2%Kalshi 2%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Oded Forer
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Oded Forer
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oded Forer
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $26
Yariv Levin2%Not listed2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 32s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Yariv Levin2%Kalshi 2%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Yariv Levin
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Yariv Levin
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yariv Levin
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Yinon Azulay2%Not listed2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 32s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Yinon Azulay2%Kalshi 2%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Yinon Azulay
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Yinon Azulay
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yinon Azulay
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $338
Eli Cohen1.9%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 32s ago2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 32s ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Eli Cohen1.9%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 32s agoKalshi 3%polled, 32s agoKalshi 2%polled, 32s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Eli Cohen
1.9%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Eli Cohen
1.9%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 32s agoKalshi 3%polled, 32s agoKalshi 2%polled, 32s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Eli Cohen
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Eli Cohen
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Eli Cohen
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Eli Cohen
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.
Yossi CohenPolymarket: “Yoram Cohen”, Kalshi: “Yoram Cohen”, Kalshi: “Yoram Cohen”1.8%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 32s ago2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 32s ago0.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $25,000 (250x)Yossi Cohen1.8%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 32s agoKalshi 3%polled, 32s agoKalshi 2%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Yossi Cohen
Polymarket: “Yoram Cohen”, Kalshi: “Yoram Cohen”, Kalshi: “Yoram Cohen”
1.8%
0.3%
0.1¢ bid, 0.4¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
0.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Yossi Cohen
1.8%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 32s agoKalshi 3%polled, 32s agoKalshi 2%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yoram Cohen
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $996
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yoram Cohen
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yoram Cohen
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.
Orit Farkash-Hacohen1.5%Not listed3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 32s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Orit Farkash-Hacohen1.5%Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoKalshi 3%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Orit Farkash-Hacohen
1.5%
Not listed
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Orit Farkash-Hacohen
1.5%
Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoKalshi 3%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orit Farkash-Hacohen
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orit Farkash-Hacohen
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $26
Amir Ohana1.4%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 32s ago2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 32s ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Amir Ohana1.4%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 32s agoKalshi 2%polled, 32s agoKalshi 2%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Amir Ohana
1.4%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Amir Ohana
1.4%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 32s agoKalshi 2%polled, 32s agoKalshi 2%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Amir Ohana
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $650
Kalshi
- Contract
- Amir Ohana
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $26
Kalshi
- Contract
- Amir Ohana
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.
Aryeh Deri1.3%Not listed2%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 32s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Aryeh Deri1.3%Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoKalshi 2%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Aryeh Deri
1.3%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Aryeh Deri
1.3%
Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoKalshi 2%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aryeh Deri
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aryeh Deri
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $1K
Chili Tropper1.3%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 32s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Chili Tropper1.3%Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoKalshi 2%polled, 32s agoKalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Chili Tropper
1.3%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Chili Tropper
1.3%
Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoKalshi 2%polled, 32s agoKalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chili Tropper
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chili Tropper
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $26
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chili Tropper
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Ayelet Shaked1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 32s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Ayelet Shaked1%Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ayelet Shaked
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ayelet Shaked
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ayelet Shaked
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Gadi Eisenkot1%Not listed1%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 32s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Gadi Eisenkot1%Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoKalshi 1%polled, 32s agoKalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Gadi Eisenkot
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Gadi Eisenkot
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoKalshi 1%polled, 32s agoKalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gadi Eisenkot
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $7K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gadi Eisenkot
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gadi Eisenkot
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $2K
Gilad Kariv1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 32s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Gilad Kariv1%Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Gilad Kariv
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Gilad Kariv
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gilad Kariv
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Meirav Cohen1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 32s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Meirav Cohen1%Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Meirav Cohen
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Meirav Cohen
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Meirav Cohen
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Moshe Feiglin1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 32s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Moshe Feiglin1%Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Moshe Feiglin
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Moshe Feiglin
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Moshe Feiglin
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $9K
Moshe Gafni1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 32s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Moshe Gafni1%Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Moshe Gafni
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Moshe Gafni
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Moshe Gafni
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $8K
Nir Barkat1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 32s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Nir Barkat1%Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Nir Barkat
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Nir Barkat
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nir Barkat
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Yair GolanKalshi: “Yitzhak Goldknopf”1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 32s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Yair Golan1%Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Yair Golan
Kalshi: “Yitzhak Goldknopf”
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Yair Golan
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yitzhak Goldknopf
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $5K
Naama Lazimi1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 32s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Naama Lazimi1%Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoKalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Naama Lazimi
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Naama Lazimi
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoKalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Naama Lazimi
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $7K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Naama Lazimi
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Yossi Cohen0.8%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 32s ago1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 32s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Yossi Cohen0.8%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 32s agoKalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Yossi Cohen
0.8%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Yossi Cohen
0.8%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 32s agoKalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yossi Cohen
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $569
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yossi Cohen
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Benny Gantz0.7%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 32s ago1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 32s ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Benny Gantz0.7%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 32s agoKalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Benny Gantz
0.7%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Benny Gantz
0.7%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 32s agoKalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Benny Gantz
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $2K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Benny Gantz
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $5K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.
Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Yair Lapid on Kalshi at 8¢, sell on Polymarket at 19¢ (1100 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads
Mostly the same bet: one difference
Where they differ
- Trading closes at different times: Mar 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 27, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Associated Press, Bloomberg News, Reuters
Show full rule comparisonHide full rule comparison
- Trading closes Mar 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 27, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- No Next Minister by Feb 28
- Bezalel Smotrich
- Yair Lapid
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list No Next Minister by Feb 28 for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?". No Next Minister by Feb 28 leads at 56.5%. Next is Bezalel Smotrich at 17%. $299K has traded across 42 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Mar 1, 2027.
This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections. To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Foreign Affairs will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution. The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Foreign Affairs” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor. If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Foreign Affairs are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order. If no such Minister of Foreign Affairs assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
More politics markets
See all politics markets- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Gavin Newsom16.8%$1.3B traded
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028J.D. Vance44.2%$716.2M traded
- 2028 Democratic nominee for President?Gavin Newsom15%$246.4M traded
- Netanyahu out by...?December 3141.5%$124.6M traded
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?Nicolás Maduro75.5%$98.7M traded
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?J.D. Vance21%$76.7M traded