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What the markets expect
No Next Minister by Feb 28 38.5%
Next is Yoav Ben-Tzur at 14.9%. The venues differ most on Yoav Ben-Tzur (Polymarket 17.5%, Kalshi 7%), a 10-point gap.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
No Next Minister by Feb 2838.5%38.5%31¢ bid, 46¢ askpolled, 54s agoNot listed46¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $217 (2.17x)No Next Minister by Feb 2838.5%Polymarket 38.5%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
No Next Minister by Feb 28
38.5%
38.5%
31¢ bid, 46¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
Not listed
46¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $217 (2.17x)
No Next Minister by Feb 28
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- No Next Minister by Feb 28
- Last price
- 38.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
- Volume
- $8K
Yoav Ben-TzurArb14.9%17.5%17¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 54s ago7%5¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 54s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Yoav Ben-TzurArb14.9%Polymarket 17.5%polled, 54s agoKalshi 7%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Yoav Ben-TzurArb
14.9%
17.5%
17¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
7%
5¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Yoav Ben-TzurArb
14.9%
Polymarket 17.5%polled, 54s agoKalshi 7%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yoav Ben-Tzur
- Last price
- 17.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $2K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yoav Ben-Tzur
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $718
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 10¢ and selling on Polymarket at 17¢ nets 700 bps before fees.
Michael Malchieli11.2%11.5%3¢ bid, 19.9¢ askpolled, 54s ago11%8¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 54s ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Michael Malchieli11.2%Polymarket 11.5%polled, 54s agoKalshi 11%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Michael Malchieli
11.2%
11.5%
3¢ bid, 19.9¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
11%
8¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Michael Malchieli
11.2%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 54s agoKalshi 11%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Michael Malchieli
- Last price
- 11.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $503 (5.03x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michael Malchieli
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $3K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 8¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 19.9¢.
Bezalel Smotrich10%Not listed10%10¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 1 min ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Bezalel Smotrich10%Kalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Bezalel Smotrich
10%
Not listed
10%
10¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Bezalel Smotrich
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bezalel Smotrich
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $7K
Shaul Meridor9%Not listed9%9¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 1 min ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Shaul Meridor9%Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Shaul Meridor
9%
Not listed
9%
9¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Shaul Meridor
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Shaul Meridor
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $680
Yaron Zelekha8%Not listed8%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Yaron Zelekha8%Kalshi 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Yaron Zelekha
8%
Not listed
8%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Yaron Zelekha
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yaron Zelekha
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $2K
Yair Lapid7.3%Not listed26%20¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, 1 min ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Yair Lapid7.3%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 26%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Yair Lapid
7.3%
Not listed
26%
20¢ bid, 26¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Yair Lapid
7.3%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 26%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yair Lapid
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yair Lapid
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
- Volume
- $234
Gideon Sa'ar7.3%Not listed12.5%11¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Gideon Sa'ar7.3%Kalshi 2%polled, 54s agoKalshi 12.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Gideon Sa'ar
7.3%
Not listed
12.5%
11¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Gideon Sa'ar
7.3%
Kalshi 2%polled, 54s agoKalshi 12.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gideon Sa'ar
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $26
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gideon Sa'ar
- Last price
- 12.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper)6.8%6.8%2¢ bid, 11.6¢ askpolled, 54s agoNot listed11.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $862 (8.62x)Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper)6.8%Polymarket 6.8%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 11.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $862 (8.62x)
Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper)
6.8%
6.8%
2¢ bid, 11.6¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
Not listed
11.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $862 (8.62x)
Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper)
6.8%
Polymarket 6.8%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 11.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $862 (8.62x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper)
- Last price
- 6.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $862 (8.62x)
- Volume
- $230
Ofir Katz5%Not listed5%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 54s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Ofir Katz5%Kalshi 5%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ofir Katz
5%
Not listed
5%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ofir Katz
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ofir Katz
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $500
Show 33 more outcomesHide 33 outcomes
Ron Dermer5%Not listed5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Ron Dermer5%Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ron Dermer
5%
Not listed
5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ron Dermer
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ron Dermer
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Avigdor LiebermanArb4.1%1.1%0.2¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 54s ago6%2¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Avigdor LiebermanArb4.1%Polymarket 1.1%polled, 54s agoKalshi 8.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 54s agoKalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Avigdor LiebermanArb
4.1%
1.1%
0.2¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
6%
2¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Avigdor LiebermanArb
4.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 54s agoKalshi 8.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 54s agoKalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Avigdor Lieberman
- Last price
- 1.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $153
Kalshi
- Contract
- Avigdor Lieberman
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Avigdor Lieberman
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $2K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Avigdor Lieberman
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 5¢ nets 300 bps before fees.
Naftali Bennett4.1%Not listed6%4¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Naftali Bennett4.1%Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 54s agoKalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Naftali Bennett
4.1%
Not listed
6%
4¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Naftali Bennett
4.1%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 54s agoKalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Naftali Bennett
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $5K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Naftali Bennett
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $5K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Naftali Bennett
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $197
Israel Katz3.9%5.5%4¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 54s ago4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Israel Katz3.9%Polymarket 5.5%polled, 54s agoKalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 54s agoKalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Israel Katz
3.9%
5.5%
4¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Israel Katz
3.9%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 54s agoKalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 54s agoKalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Israel Katz
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $2K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Israel Katz
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Israel Katz
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Israel Katz
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.
Yariv Levin3.6%5.2%0.4¢ bid, 9.9¢ askpolled, 54s ago2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 54s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Yariv Levin3.6%Polymarket 5.2%polled, 54s agoKalshi 2%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Yariv Levin
3.6%
5.2%
0.4¢ bid, 9.9¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Yariv Levin
3.6%
Polymarket 5.2%polled, 54s agoKalshi 2%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yariv Levin
- Last price
- 5.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,010 (10.1x)
- Volume
- $170
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yariv Levin
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.
Keren Terner Eyal3.6%6.2%1¢ bid, 11.4¢ askpolled, 54s ago2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 54s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Keren Terner Eyal3.6%Polymarket 6.2%polled, 54s agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Keren Terner Eyal
3.6%
6.2%
1¢ bid, 11.4¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Keren Terner Eyal
3.6%
Polymarket 6.2%polled, 54s agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Keren Terner Eyal
- Last price
- 6.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $877 (8.77x)
- Volume
- $183
Kalshi
- Contract
- Keren Terner Eyal
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Keren Terner Eyal
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5¢.
Aryeh Deri3.3%9.2%0.6¢ bid, 17.7¢ askpolled, 54s ago2%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 54s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Aryeh Deri3.3%Polymarket 9.2%polled, 54s agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Aryeh Deri
3.3%
9.2%
0.6¢ bid, 17.7¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
2%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Aryeh Deri
3.3%
Polymarket 9.2%polled, 54s agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Aryeh Deri
- Last price
- 9.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $565 (5.65x)
- Volume
- $349
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aryeh Deri
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aryeh Deri
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $1K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.6¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.
Moshe Arbel3.3%3.3%1¢ bid, 5.5¢ askpolled, 54s agoNot listed5.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)Moshe Arbel3.3%Polymarket 3.3%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Moshe Arbel
3.3%
3.3%
1¢ bid, 5.5¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
Not listed
5.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Moshe Arbel
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Moshe Arbel
- Last price
- 3.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,818 (18.2x)
- Volume
- $929
Orit Farkash-Hacohen3.1%7.5%1¢ bid, 13.9¢ askpolled, 54s ago3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 54s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Orit Farkash-Hacohen3.1%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 54s agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 3%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Orit Farkash-Hacohen
3.1%
7.5%
1¢ bid, 13.9¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Orit Farkash-Hacohen
3.1%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 54s agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 3%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Orit Farkash-Hacohen
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $719 (7.19x)
- Volume
- $247
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orit Farkash-Hacohen
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orit Farkash-Hacohen
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $26
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.
Yair Golan2.6%3.4%0.3¢ bid, 6.4¢ askpolled, 54s ago2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Yair Golan2.6%Polymarket 3.4%polled, 54s agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 4%polled, 54s agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Yair Golan
2.6%
3.4%
0.3¢ bid, 6.4¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Yair Golan
2.6%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 54s agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 4%polled, 54s agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yair Golan
- Last price
- 3.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,563 (15.6x)
- Volume
- $104
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yair Golan
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $5K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yair Golan
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $3
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yair Golan
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.
Miri Regev2.2%2.4%1¢ bid, 3.8¢ askpolled, 54s ago2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 54s ago3.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)Miri Regev2.2%Polymarket 2.4%polled, 54s agoKalshi 2%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Miri Regev
2.2%
2.4%
1¢ bid, 3.8¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
3.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Miri Regev
2.2%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 54s agoKalshi 2%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Miri Regev
- Last price
- 2.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,632 (26.3x)
- Volume
- $908
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miri Regev
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.
Eli Cohen2%0.6%0.2¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 54s ago2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Eli Cohen2%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 54s agoKalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 54s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Eli Cohen
2%
0.6%
0.2¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Eli Cohen
2%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 54s agoKalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 54s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Eli Cohen
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $141
Kalshi
- Contract
- Eli Cohen
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Eli Cohen
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Eli Cohen
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.
Amir Ohana2%Not listed2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Amir Ohana2%Kalshi 2%polled, 54s agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Amir Ohana
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Amir Ohana
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 54s agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Amir Ohana
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $26
Kalshi
- Contract
- Amir Ohana
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
David Amsalem2%Not listed2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 54s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)David Amsalem2%Kalshi 2%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
David Amsalem
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
David Amsalem
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- David Amsalem
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Einat Wilf2%Not listed2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Einat Wilf2%Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Einat Wilf
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Einat Wilf
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Einat Wilf
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $6K
Haim Biton2%Not listed2%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 54s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Haim Biton2%Kalshi 2%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Haim Biton
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Haim Biton
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Haim Biton
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $26
Miki Zohar2%Not listed2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 54s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Miki Zohar2%Kalshi 2%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Miki Zohar
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Miki Zohar
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miki Zohar
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $26
Yinon Azulay2%Not listed2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 54s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Yinon Azulay2%Kalshi 2%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Yinon Azulay
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Yinon Azulay
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yinon Azulay
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $338
Oded Forer2%2%0.3¢ bid, 3.7¢ askpolled, 54s ago2%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 54s ago3.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)Oded Forer2%Polymarket 2%polled, 54s agoKalshi 2%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Oded Forer
2%
2%
0.3¢ bid, 3.7¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
2%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
3.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Oded Forer
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 54s agoKalshi 2%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oded Forer
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,703 (27.0x)
- Volume
- $98
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oded Forer
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $26
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 6¢.
Yossi CohenPolymarket: “Yoram Cohen”, Kalshi: “Yoram Cohen”, Kalshi: “Yoram Cohen”1.8%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.8¢ askpolled, 54s ago2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $12,500 (125x)Yossi Cohen1.8%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 54s agoKalshi 3%polled, 54s agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Yossi Cohen
Polymarket: “Yoram Cohen”, Kalshi: “Yoram Cohen”, Kalshi: “Yoram Cohen”
1.8%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.8¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Yossi Cohen
1.8%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 54s agoKalshi 3%polled, 54s agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yoram Cohen
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $12,500 (125x)
- Volume
- $78
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yoram Cohen
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yoram Cohen
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.
Ayelet Shaked1.8%4.1%0.5¢ bid, 7.7¢ askpolled, 54s ago1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 54s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Ayelet Shaked1.8%Polymarket 4.1%polled, 54s agoKalshi 1%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ayelet Shaked
1.8%
4.1%
0.5¢ bid, 7.7¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ayelet Shaked
1.8%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 54s agoKalshi 1%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ayelet Shaked
- Last price
- 4.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,299 (13.0x)
- Volume
- $629
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ayelet Shaked
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.5¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.
Benjamin Netanyahu1.6%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Benjamin Netanyahu1.6%Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Benjamin Netanyahu
1.6%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Benjamin Netanyahu
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Benjamin Netanyahu
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $8K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Benjamin Netanyahu
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Meirav Cohen1.5%3.2%0.3¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 54s ago1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 54s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Meirav Cohen1.5%Polymarket 3.2%polled, 54s agoKalshi 1%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Meirav Cohen
1.5%
3.2%
0.3¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Meirav Cohen
1.5%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 54s agoKalshi 1%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Meirav Cohen
- Last price
- 3.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $98
Kalshi
- Contract
- Meirav Cohen
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.
Chili Tropper1.3%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Chili Tropper1.3%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 54s agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Chili Tropper
1.3%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Chili Tropper
1.3%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 54s agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chili Tropper
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chili Tropper
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $26
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chili Tropper
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Benny Gantz1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Benny Gantz1%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Benny Gantz
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Benny Gantz
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Benny Gantz
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $5K
Gadi Eisenkot1%Not listed1%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Gadi Eisenkot1%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 54s agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Gadi Eisenkot
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Gadi Eisenkot
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 54s agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gadi Eisenkot
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $7K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gadi Eisenkot
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gadi Eisenkot
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $2K
Gilad Kariv1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 54s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Gilad Kariv1%Kalshi 1%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Gilad Kariv
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Gilad Kariv
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gilad Kariv
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Moshe Feiglin1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Moshe Feiglin1%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Moshe Feiglin
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Moshe Feiglin
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Moshe Feiglin
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $9K
Moshe Gafni1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 54s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Moshe Gafni1%Kalshi 1%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Moshe Gafni
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Moshe Gafni
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Moshe Gafni
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $8K
Nir Barkat1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Nir Barkat1%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Nir Barkat
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Nir Barkat
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nir Barkat
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Yair GolanKalshi: “Yitzhak Goldknopf”1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 54s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Yair Golan1%Kalshi 1%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Yair Golan
Kalshi: “Yitzhak Goldknopf”
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Yair Golan
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yitzhak Goldknopf
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $5K
Yossi Cohen1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Yossi Cohen1%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Yossi Cohen
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Yossi Cohen
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yossi Cohen
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Naama Lazimi1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 54s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Naama Lazimi1%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Naama Lazimi
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Naama Lazimi
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Naama Lazimi
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $7K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Naama Lazimi
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Yoav Ben-Tzur on Kalshi at 10¢, sell on Polymarket at 17¢ (700 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads
Mostly the same bet: one difference
Where they differ
- Trading closes at different times: Mar 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 27, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Associated Press, Bloomberg News, Reuters
Show full rule comparisonHide full rule comparison
- Trading closes Mar 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 27, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- No Next Minister by Feb 28
- Yoav Ben-Tzur
- Michael Malchieli
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list No Next Minister by Feb 28 for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Next Israeli Minister of Interior?". No Next Minister by Feb 28 leads at 38.5%. Next is Yoav Ben-Tzur at 14.9%. $180K has traded across 43 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Mar 1, 2027.
This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Interior in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections. To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Interior will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution. The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Interior” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor. If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Interior are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order. If no such Minister of Interior assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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