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What the markets expect
No Next Minister by Feb 28 37%
Next is Itamar Ben Gvir at 11.4%. The venues differ most on Itamar Ben Gvir (Polymarket 7%, Kalshi 17%), a 10-point gap.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
No Next Minister by Feb 2837%37%36¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 59s agoNot listed38¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $263 (2.63x)No Next Minister by Feb 2837%Polymarket 37%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
No Next Minister by Feb 28
37%
37%
36¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
Not listed
38¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
No Next Minister by Feb 28
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- No Next Minister by Feb 28
- Last price
- 37%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
- Volume
- $21K
Itamar Ben GvirArbKalshi: “Itamar Ben-Gvir”11.4%7%6¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 59s ago17%12¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 59s ago8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Itamar Ben GvirArb11.4%Polymarket 7%polled, 59s agoKalshi 17%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Itamar Ben GvirArb
Kalshi: “Itamar Ben-Gvir”
11.4%
7%
6¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
17%
12¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Itamar Ben GvirArb
11.4%
Polymarket 7%polled, 59s agoKalshi 17%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Itamar Ben Gvir
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $5K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Itamar Ben-Gvir
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $4K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 12¢ nets 400 bps before fees.
Yoram CohenArb9.7%10.5%10¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 59s ago2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 59s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Yoram CohenArb9.7%Polymarket 10.5%polled, 59s agoKalshi 16%polled, 59s agoKalshi 2%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Yoram CohenArb
9.7%
10.5%
10¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Yoram CohenArb
9.7%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 59s agoKalshi 16%polled, 59s agoKalshi 2%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yoram Cohen
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $8K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yoram Cohen
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $863
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yoram Cohen
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 2¢ and selling on Polymarket at 10¢ nets 800 bps before fees.
Shaul Meridor9%Not listed9%9¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 59s ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Shaul Meridor9%Kalshi 9%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Shaul Meridor
9%
Not listed
9%
9¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Shaul Meridor
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Shaul Meridor
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $680
Yaron Zelekha8%Not listed8%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 59s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Yaron Zelekha8%Kalshi 8%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Yaron Zelekha
8%
Not listed
8%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Yaron Zelekha
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yaron Zelekha
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $2K
Yitzhak Wasserlauf8%Not listed8%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 59s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Yitzhak Wasserlauf8%Kalshi 8%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Yitzhak Wasserlauf
8%
Not listed
8%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Yitzhak Wasserlauf
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yitzhak Wasserlauf
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $3K
Naftali Bennett7.5%Not listed6%4¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 59s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Naftali Bennett7.5%Kalshi 8%polled, 59s agoKalshi 6%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Naftali Bennett
7.5%
Not listed
6%
4¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Naftali Bennett
7.5%
Kalshi 8%polled, 59s agoKalshi 6%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Naftali Bennett
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $5K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Naftali Bennett
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $197
Yair Lapid7.3%Not listed26%19¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, 59s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Yair Lapid7.3%Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoKalshi 26%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Yair Lapid
7.3%
Not listed
26%
19¢ bid, 26¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Yair Lapid
7.3%
Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoKalshi 26%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yair Lapid
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yair Lapid
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
- Volume
- $234
Avigdor Lieberman7.3%Not listed6%2¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 59s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Avigdor Lieberman7.3%Kalshi 8.5%polled, 59s agoKalshi 6%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Avigdor Lieberman
7.3%
Not listed
6%
2¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Avigdor Lieberman
7.3%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 59s agoKalshi 6%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Avigdor Lieberman
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Avigdor Lieberman
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Matan Kahana5.5%5%0.3¢ bid, 9.6¢ askpolled, 59s ago7%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 59s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Matan Kahana5.5%Polymarket 5%polled, 59s agoKalshi 7%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Matan Kahana
5.5%
5%
0.3¢ bid, 9.6¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
7%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Matan Kahana
5.5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 59s agoKalshi 7%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Matan Kahana
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,042 (10.4x)
- Volume
- $11K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Matan Kahana
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $99
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 8¢.
Show 34 more outcomesHide 34 outcomes
Ron Dermer5%Not listed5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 59s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Ron Dermer5%Kalshi 5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ron Dermer
5%
Not listed
5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ron Dermer
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ron Dermer
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Yoav SegalovitzPolymarket: “Yoav Segalovich”4.8%4.8%2.2¢ bid, 7.4¢ askpolled, 59s agoNot listed7.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)Yoav Segalovitz4.8%Polymarket 4.8%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 7.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Yoav Segalovitz
Polymarket: “Yoav Segalovich”
4.8%
4.8%
2.2¢ bid, 7.4¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
Not listed
7.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Yoav Segalovitz
4.8%
Polymarket 4.8%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 7.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yoav Segalovich
- Last price
- 4.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,351 (13.5x)
- Volume
- $667
Ofer Winter4.6%4.5%3¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 59s ago5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 59s ago6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Ofer Winter4.6%Polymarket 4.5%polled, 59s agoKalshi 5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Ofer Winter
4.6%
4.5%
3¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Ofer Winter
4.6%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 59s agoKalshi 5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ofer Winter
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $9K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ofer Winter
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $60
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 7¢.
Gideon Sa'arArbPolymarket: “Gideon Sa’ar”4.6%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 59s ago12.5%11¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 59s ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Gideon Sa'arArb4.6%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 59s agoKalshi 1%polled, 59s agoKalshi 12.5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Gideon Sa'arArb
Polymarket: “Gideon Sa’ar”
4.6%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
12.5%
11¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Gideon Sa'arArb
4.6%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 59s agoKalshi 1%polled, 59s agoKalshi 12.5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gideon Sa’ar
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gideon Sa'ar
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gideon Sa'ar
- Last price
- 12.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 0.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 11¢ nets 1080 bps before fees.
Bezalel SmotrichArb4.1%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 59s ago10%10¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 59s ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Bezalel SmotrichArb4.1%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 59s agoKalshi 2%polled, 59s agoKalshi 10%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Bezalel SmotrichArb
4.1%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
10%
10¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Bezalel SmotrichArb
4.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 59s agoKalshi 2%polled, 59s agoKalshi 10%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bezalel Smotrich
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $800
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bezalel Smotrich
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bezalel Smotrich
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $7K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 0.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 10¢ nets 970 bps before fees.
Israel Katz4%Not listed4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 59s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Israel Katz4%Kalshi 4%polled, 59s agoKalshi 4%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Israel Katz
4%
Not listed
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Israel Katz
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 59s agoKalshi 4%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Israel Katz
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Israel Katz
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Talya Lankri3.5%4.5%2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 59s ago2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 59s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Talya Lankri3.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, 59s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Talya Lankri
3.5%
4.5%
2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Talya Lankri
3.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 59s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Talya Lankri
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $8K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Talya Lankri
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5¢.
Yair Golan3.2%7.8%0.7¢ bid, 14.9¢ askpolled, 59s ago2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 59s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Yair Golan3.2%Polymarket 7.8%polled, 59s agoKalshi 2%polled, 59s agoKalshi 1%polled, 59s agoKalshi 2%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Yair Golan
3.2%
7.8%
0.7¢ bid, 14.9¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Yair Golan
3.2%
Polymarket 7.8%polled, 59s agoKalshi 2%polled, 59s agoKalshi 1%polled, 59s agoKalshi 2%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yair Golan
- Last price
- 7.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $671 (6.71x)
- Volume
- $426
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yair Golan
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yair Golan
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $5K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yair Golan
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.7¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.
Amir Ohana2.4%1.3%0.6¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 59s ago2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 59s ago2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Amir Ohana2.4%Polymarket 1.3%polled, 59s agoKalshi 4%polled, 59s agoKalshi 2%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Amir Ohana
2.4%
1.3%
0.6¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Amir Ohana
2.4%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 59s agoKalshi 4%polled, 59s agoKalshi 2%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Amir Ohana
- Last price
- 1.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Amir Ohana
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Amir Ohana
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.6¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.
Eli Cohen2%0.6%0.1¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 59s ago2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 59s ago1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Eli Cohen2%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 59s agoKalshi 2%polled, 59s agoKalshi 3%polled, 59s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Eli Cohen
2%
0.6%
0.1¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Eli Cohen
2%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 59s agoKalshi 2%polled, 59s agoKalshi 3%polled, 59s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Eli Cohen
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $331
Kalshi
- Contract
- Eli Cohen
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Eli Cohen
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Eli Cohen
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.
Einat Wilf2%Not listed2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 59s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Einat Wilf2%Kalshi 2%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Einat Wilf
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Einat Wilf
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Einat Wilf
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $6K
Keren Terner Eyal2%Not listed2%2¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 59s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Keren Terner Eyal2%Kalshi 2%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Keren Terner Eyal
2%
Not listed
2%
2¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Keren Terner Eyal
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Keren Terner Eyal
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $3K
Benjamin Netanyahu1.6%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 59s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Benjamin Netanyahu1.6%Kalshi 2%polled, 59s agoKalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Benjamin Netanyahu
1.6%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Benjamin Netanyahu
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 59s agoKalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Benjamin Netanyahu
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $8K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Benjamin Netanyahu
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Ram Ben-Barak1.6%0.6%0.2¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 59s ago2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 59s ago1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Ram Ben-Barak1.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 59s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ram Ben-Barak
1.6%
0.6%
0.2¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ram Ben-Barak
1.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 59s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ram Ben-Barak
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $412
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ram Ben-Barak
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5¢.
Yoaz Hendel1.5%0.6%0.1¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 59s ago2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 59s ago1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Yoaz Hendel1.5%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 59s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Yoaz Hendel
1.5%
0.6%
0.1¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Yoaz Hendel
1.5%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 59s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yoaz Hendel
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $62
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yoaz Hendel
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5¢.
Elazar Stern1.2%1.5%1.2¢ bid, 1.8¢ askpolled, 59s ago1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 59s ago1.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)Elazar Stern1.2%Polymarket 1.5%polled, 59s agoKalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Elazar Stern
1.2%
1.5%
1.2¢ bid, 1.8¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
1.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Elazar Stern
1.2%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 59s agoKalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Elazar Stern
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,556 (55.6x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Elazar Stern
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $6K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.
Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper)1.1%1.1%0.1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 59s agoNot listed2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper)1.1%Polymarket 1.1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper)
1.1%
1.1%
0.1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
Not listed
2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper)
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper)
- Last price
- 1.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $355
Amichai Eliyahu1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 59s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Amichai Eliyahu1%Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Amichai Eliyahu
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Amichai Eliyahu
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Amichai Eliyahu
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $6K
Aryeh Deri1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 59s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Aryeh Deri1%Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Aryeh Deri
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Aryeh Deri
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aryeh Deri
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Benny Gantz1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 59s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Benny Gantz1%Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Benny Gantz
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Benny Gantz
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Benny Gantz
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $5K
Chili Tropper1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 59s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Chili Tropper1%Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoKalshi 1%polled, 59s agoKalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Chili Tropper
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Chili Tropper
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoKalshi 1%polled, 59s agoKalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chili Tropper
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chili Tropper
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chili Tropper
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Gadi Eisenkot1%Not listed1%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 59s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Gadi Eisenkot1%Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoKalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Gadi Eisenkot
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Gadi Eisenkot
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoKalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gadi Eisenkot
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $7K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gadi Eisenkot
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $2K
Haim Katz1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 59s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Haim Katz1%Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Haim Katz
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Haim Katz
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Haim Katz
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Hamad Amar1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 59s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Hamad Amar1%Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Hamad Amar
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Hamad Amar
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hamad Amar
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $6K
Limor Son Har-Melech1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 59s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Limor Son Har-Melech1%Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Limor Son Har-Melech
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Limor Son Har-Melech
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Limor Son Har-Melech
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Moshe Feiglin1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 59s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Moshe Feiglin1%Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Moshe Feiglin
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Moshe Feiglin
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Moshe Feiglin
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $9K
Naama Lazimi1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 59s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Naama Lazimi1%Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Naama Lazimi
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Naama Lazimi
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Naama Lazimi
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $7K
Nir Barkat1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 59s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Nir Barkat1%Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Nir Barkat
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Nir Barkat
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nir Barkat
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Orit Farkash-Hacohen1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 59s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Orit Farkash-Hacohen1%Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Orit Farkash-Hacohen
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Orit Farkash-Hacohen
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orit Farkash-Hacohen
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Tally Gotliv1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 59s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Tally Gotliv1%Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Tally Gotliv
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Tally Gotliv
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tally Gotliv
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Yoav Segalovitz1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 59s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Yoav Segalovitz1%Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Yoav Segalovitz
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Yoav Segalovitz
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yoav Segalovitz
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $8K
Avi Dichter0.9%0.6%0.1¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 59s ago1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 59s ago1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Avi Dichter0.9%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 59s agoKalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Avi Dichter
0.9%
0.6%
0.1¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Avi Dichter
0.9%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 59s agoKalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Avi Dichter
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $781
Kalshi
- Contract
- Avi Dichter
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.
Meirav Ben-Ari0.9%0.6%0.1¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 59s ago1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 59s ago1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Meirav Ben-Ari0.9%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 59s agoKalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Meirav Ben-Ari
0.9%
0.6%
0.1¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Meirav Ben-Ari
0.9%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 59s agoKalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Meirav Ben-Ari
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $286
Kalshi
- Contract
- Meirav Ben-Ari
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $6K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.
Yoram CohenPolymarket: “Yossi Cohen”, Kalshi: “Yossi Cohen”, Kalshi: “Yossi Cohen”0.9%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 59s ago1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 59s ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Yoram Cohen0.9%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 59s agoKalshi 1%polled, 59s agoKalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Yoram Cohen
Polymarket: “Yossi Cohen”, Kalshi: “Yossi Cohen”, Kalshi: “Yossi Cohen”
0.9%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Yoram Cohen
0.9%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 59s agoKalshi 1%polled, 59s agoKalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yossi Cohen
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $861
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yossi Cohen
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $5K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yossi Cohen
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.
Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Gideon Sa'ar on Polymarket at 0.2¢, sell on Kalshi at 11¢ (1080 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads
Mostly the same bet: one difference
Where they differ
- Trading closes at different times: Mar 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 27, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Associated Press, Bloomberg News, Reuters
Show full rule comparisonHide full rule comparison
- Trading closes Mar 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 27, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- No Next Minister by Feb 28
- Itamar Ben Gvir
- Yoram Cohen
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list No Next Minister by Feb 28 for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Next Israeli Minister of National Security?". No Next Minister by Feb 28 leads at 37%. Next is Itamar Ben Gvir at 11.4%. $267K has traded across 44 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Mar 1, 2027.
This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of National Security in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections. To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of National Security will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution. The individual must be appointed as “Minister of National Security” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor. If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of National Security are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order. If no such Minister of National Security assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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