The Prediction Markets

Next President of FIFA

Closes
Mar 19, 2027, in 5 months
Traded
$4K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Gianni Infantino 72.3%

Next is Claudio Tapia at 11.2%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Gianni Infantino 72.3%Claudio Tapia 11.2%Nasser Al-Khelaifi 4.4%Ramon Vega 4%Dariusz Mioduski 2.6%4 others 5.5%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Gianni Infantino
72.3%
Polymarket 74.5%(72.3% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gianni Infantino
Last price
74.5%
Fair, margin removed
72.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Claudio Tapia
11.2%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Claudio Tapia
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$409
Trade this on Polymarket
Nasser Al-Khelaifi
4.4%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nasser Al-Khelaifi
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$235
Trade this on Polymarket
Ramon Vega
4%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ramon Vega
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7.3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,370 (13.7x)
Volume
$252
Trade this on Polymarket
Dariusz Mioduski
2.6%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dariusz Mioduski
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3.3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,030 (30.3x)
Volume
$213
Trade this on Polymarket
Patrice Motsepe
2.5%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Patrice Motsepe
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$325
Trade this on Polymarket
Aleksander Čeferin
2%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aleksander Čeferin
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$202
Trade this on Polymarket
Salman bin Ebrahim Al Khalifa
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Salman bin Ebrahim Al Khalifa
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$180
Trade this on Polymarket
Victor Montagliani
0.5%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Victor Montagliani
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$234
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Gianni Infantino
  • Claudio Tapia
  • Nasser Al-Khelaifi

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Next President of FIFA". Gianni Infantino leads at 72.3%. Next is Claudio Tapia at 11.2%. $4K has traded across 9 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Mar 19, 2027.

The FIFA presidential election for the 2027–2031 term is scheduled to be held on March 18, 2027, at the 77th FIFA Congress. This market will resolve to the individual who is elected President of FIFA at the 2027 FIFA presidential election. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected President of FIFA by the FIFA Congress at the 2027 FIFA presidential election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker President of FIFA will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President of FIFA is elected by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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