What are the odds of Joe Burrow in NFL Regular Season Completion Percentage Leader (2026)?

Joe Burrow is currently priced at 28.1% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of Lamar Jackson in NFL Regular Season Completion Percentage Leader (2026)?

Lamar Jackson is currently priced at 15.9% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of Brock Purdy in NFL Regular Season Completion Percentage Leader (2026)?

Brock Purdy is currently priced at 11.8% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of Josh Allen in NFL Regular Season Completion Percentage Leader (2026)?

Josh Allen is currently priced at 10.6% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of Drake Maye in NFL Regular Season Completion Percentage Leader (2026)?

Drake Maye is currently priced at 8.5% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of Patrick Mahomes in NFL Regular Season Completion Percentage Leader (2026)?

Patrick Mahomes is currently priced at 8.5% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of Sam Darnold in NFL Regular Season Completion Percentage Leader (2026)?

Sam Darnold is currently priced at 5.3% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of Jared Goff in NFL Regular Season Completion Percentage Leader (2026)?

Jared Goff is currently priced at 3.4% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of Matthew Stafford in NFL Regular Season Completion Percentage Leader (2026)?

Matthew Stafford is currently priced at 3.2% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of Baker Mayfield in NFL Regular Season Completion Percentage Leader (2026)?

Baker Mayfield is currently priced at 2.6% in prediction markets.

NFL Regular Season Completion Percentage Leader (2026)

Closes: Jan 25, 2027, in 3 months
Traded: $4K
Venues: Polymarket
Prices updated: 3 min ago

What the markets expect

Joe Burrow 28.1%

Next is Lamar Jackson at 15.9%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Joe Burrow 28.1%Lamar Jackson 15.9%Brock Purdy 11.8%Josh Allen 10.6%Drake Maye 8.5%8 others 25.1%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

Polymarket

Outcome

Fair chance

Venue prices on a 0–100% scale

Polymarket

Best Yes price

Joe Burrow

28.1%

34.5%

28.1% fair

34¢ bid, 35¢ ask

polled, 3 min ago

35¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $286 (2.86x)

Joe Burrow

28.1%

Polymarket 34.5%(28.1% fair)polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)

Polymarket

Contract: Joe Burrow
Last price: 34.5%
Fair, margin removed: 28.1%
As of: Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes: 35¢
Sell Yes: 34¢
$100 on Yes pays: $286 (2.86x)
Volume: $954

Trade this on Polymarket

Lamar Jackson

15.9%

19.5%

15.9% fair

18¢ bid, 21¢ ask

polled, 3 min ago

21¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $476 (4.76x)

Lamar Jackson

15.9%

Polymarket 19.5%(15.9% fair)polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)

Polymarket

Contract: Lamar Jackson
Last price: 19.5%
Fair, margin removed: 15.9%
As of: Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes: 21¢
Sell Yes: 18¢
$100 on Yes pays: $476 (4.76x)
Volume: $482

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Brock Purdy

11.8%

14.5%

11.8% fair

13¢ bid, 16¢ ask

polled, 3 min ago

16¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $625 (6.25x)

Brock Purdy

11.8%

Polymarket 14.5%(11.8% fair)polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)

Polymarket

Contract: Brock Purdy
Last price: 14.5%
Fair, margin removed: 11.8%
As of: Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes: 16¢
Sell Yes: 13¢
$100 on Yes pays: $625 (6.25x)
Volume: $205

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Josh Allen

10.6%

13%

10.6% fair

12¢ bid, 14¢ ask

polled, 3 min ago

14¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $714 (7.14x)

Josh Allen

10.6%

Polymarket 13%(10.6% fair)polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)

Polymarket

Contract: Josh Allen
Last price: 13%
Fair, margin removed: 10.6%
As of: Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes: 14¢
Sell Yes: 12¢
$100 on Yes pays: $714 (7.14x)
Volume: $535

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Drake Maye

8.5%

10.5%

8.5% fair

9¢ bid, 12¢ ask

polled, 3 min ago

12¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $833 (8.33x)

Drake Maye

8.5%

Polymarket 10.5%(8.5% fair)polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)

Polymarket

Contract: Drake Maye
Last price: 10.5%
Fair, margin removed: 8.5%
As of: Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes: 12¢
Sell Yes: 9¢
$100 on Yes pays: $833 (8.33x)
Volume: $311

Trade this on Polymarket

Patrick Mahomes

8.5%

10.4%

8.5% fair

7.2¢ bid, 13.6¢ ask

polled, 3 min ago

13.6¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $735 (7.35x)

Patrick Mahomes

8.5%

Polymarket 10.4%(8.5% fair)polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 13.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $735 (7.35x)

Polymarket

Contract: Patrick Mahomes
Last price: 10.4%
Fair, margin removed: 8.5%
As of: Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes: 13.6¢
Sell Yes: 7.2¢
$100 on Yes pays: $735 (7.35x)
Volume: $199

Trade this on Polymarket

Sam Darnold

5.3%

6.5%

5.3% fair

0.3¢ bid, 12.7¢ ask

polled, 3 min ago

12.7¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $787 (7.87x)

Sam Darnold

5.3%

Polymarket 6.5%(5.3% fair)polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 12.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $787 (7.87x)

Polymarket

Contract: Sam Darnold
Last price: 6.5%
Fair, margin removed: 5.3%
As of: Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes: 12.7¢
Sell Yes: 0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays: $787 (7.87x)
Volume: $257

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Jared Goff

3.4%

4.2%

3.4% fair

0.3¢ bid, 8¢ ask

polled, 3 min ago

8¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)

Jared Goff

3.4%

Polymarket 4.2%(3.4% fair)polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)

Polymarket

Contract: Jared Goff
Last price: 4.2%
Fair, margin removed: 3.4%
As of: Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes: 8¢
Sell Yes: 0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays: $1,250 (12.5x)
Volume: $179

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Matthew Stafford

3.2%

3.3% fair

0.1¢ bid, 7.9¢ ask

polled, 3 min ago

7.9¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)

Matthew Stafford

3.2%

Polymarket 4%(3.3% fair)polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)

Polymarket

Contract: Matthew Stafford
Last price: 4%
Fair, margin removed: 3.3%
As of: Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes: 7.9¢
Sell Yes: 0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays: $1,266 (12.7x)
Volume: $240

Trade this on Polymarket

Baker Mayfield

2.6%

3.2%

2.6% fair

1¢ bid, 5.4¢ ask

polled, 3 min ago

5.4¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)

Baker Mayfield

2.6%

Polymarket 3.2%(2.6% fair)polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)

Polymarket

Contract: Baker Mayfield
Last price: 3.2%
Fair, margin removed: 2.6%
As of: Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes: 5.4¢
Sell Yes: 1¢
$100 on Yes pays: $1,852 (18.5x)
Volume: $478

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Show 3 more outcomes

Jayden Daniels

1.3%

0.1¢ bid, 2.4¢ ask

polled, 3 min ago

2.4¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)

Jayden Daniels

Polymarket 1.3%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)

Polymarket

Contract: Jayden Daniels
Last price: 1.3%
As of: Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes: 2.4¢
Sell Yes: 0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays: $4,167 (41.7x)
Volume: $79

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Jordan Love

0.9%

1.2%

0.2¢ bid, 2.1¢ ask

polled, 3 min ago

2.1¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)

Jordan Love

0.9%

Polymarket 1.2%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)

Polymarket

Contract: Jordan Love
Last price: 1.2%
As of: Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes: 2.1¢
Sell Yes: 0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays: $4,762 (47.6x)
Volume: $188

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Dak Prescott

0.2%

0.1¢ bid, 0.3¢ ask

polled, 3 min ago

0.3¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $33,333 (333x)

Dak Prescott

0.2%

Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)

Polymarket

Contract: Dak Prescott
Last price: 0.2%
As of: Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes: 0.3¢
Sell Yes: 0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays: $33,333 (333x)
Volume: $254

Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket resolves via:: UMA optimistic oracle, source: nfl.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

Joe Burrow
Lamar Jackson
Brock Purdy

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Outcome

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting

Best bid

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Spread

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Best ask

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Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

Stake

Buy

Outcome to buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NFL Regular Season Completion Percentage Leader (2026)". Joe Burrow leads at 28.1%. Next is Lamar Jackson at 15.9%. $4K has traded across 13 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 25, 2027.

This market will resolve in favor of the quarterback who finishes the 2026 NFL regular season with the highest pass completion percentage, among quarterbacks meeting the NFL's qualification threshold for the completion percentage title. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the tied quarterback with more total pass completions in the 2026 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the tied quarterback whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed quarterback to finish with the highest completion percentage, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no leader is determined by January 24, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL (https://www.nfl.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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What the markets expect

Odds by venue

Who resolves this market

How the odds have moved

Order books

Polymarket

Top of book

Depth · top 8 levels

Recent trades

What your stake buys

About this market

Questions

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