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What the markets expect
Sergei Murashov 49%
Next is Beckett Sennecke at 44%. The venues differ most on Nikita Klepov (Polymarket 0.3%, Kalshi 30.5%), a 30-point gap.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Sergei Murashov49%Not listed49%— bid, 49¢ askpolled, 60s ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Sergei Murashov49%Kalshi 49%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Sergei Murashov
49%
Not listed
49%
— bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Sergei Murashov
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sergei Murashov
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
- Volume
- $40
Beckett Sennecke44%Not listed44%— bid, 88¢ askpolled, 60s ago88¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $114 (1.14x)Beckett Sennecke44%Kalshi 44%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Beckett Sennecke
44%
Not listed
44%
— bid, 88¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
88¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Beckett Sennecke
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Beckett Sennecke
- Last price
- 44%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 88¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $114 (1.14x)
Berkly Catton44%Not listed44%— bid, 88¢ askpolled, 60s ago88¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $114 (1.14x)Berkly Catton44%Kalshi 44%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Berkly Catton
44%
Not listed
44%
— bid, 88¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
88¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Berkly Catton
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Berkly Catton
- Last price
- 44%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 88¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $114 (1.14x)
Dalibor Dvorsky44%Not listed44%— bid, 88¢ askpolled, 60s ago88¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $114 (1.14x)Dalibor Dvorsky44%Kalshi 44%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Dalibor Dvorsky
44%
Not listed
44%
— bid, 88¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
88¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Dalibor Dvorsky
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dalibor Dvorsky
- Last price
- 44%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 88¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $114 (1.14x)
Gabe Perreault44%Not listed44%— bid, 88¢ askpolled, 60s ago88¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $114 (1.14x)Gabe Perreault44%Kalshi 44%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Gabe Perreault
44%
Not listed
44%
— bid, 88¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
88¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Gabe Perreault
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gabe Perreault
- Last price
- 44%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 88¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $114 (1.14x)
Adam Engström43.5%Not listed43.5%— bid, 87¢ askpolled, 60s ago87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Adam Engström43.5%Kalshi 43.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Adam Engström
43.5%
Not listed
43.5%
— bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Adam Engström
43.5%
Kalshi 43.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Adam Engström
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
Artyom Levshunov43.5%Not listed43.5%— bid, 87¢ askpolled, 60s ago87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Artyom Levshunov43.5%Kalshi 43.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Artyom Levshunov
43.5%
Not listed
43.5%
— bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Artyom Levshunov
43.5%
Kalshi 43.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Artyom Levshunov
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
Bradly Nadeau43.5%Not listed43.5%— bid, 87¢ askpolled, 60s ago87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Bradly Nadeau43.5%Kalshi 43.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Bradly Nadeau
43.5%
Not listed
43.5%
— bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Bradly Nadeau
43.5%
Kalshi 43.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bradly Nadeau
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
Caleb Desnoyers43.5%Not listed43.5%— bid, 87¢ askpolled, 60s ago87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Caleb Desnoyers43.5%Kalshi 43.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Caleb Desnoyers
43.5%
Not listed
43.5%
— bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Caleb Desnoyers
43.5%
Kalshi 43.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Caleb Desnoyers
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
Collin Graf43.5%Not listed43.5%— bid, 87¢ askpolled, 60s ago87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Collin Graf43.5%Kalshi 43.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Collin Graf
43.5%
Not listed
43.5%
— bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Collin Graf
43.5%
Kalshi 43.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Collin Graf
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
Show 56 more outcomesHide 56 outcomes
Danila Yurov43.5%Not listed43.5%— bid, 87¢ askpolled, 60s ago87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Danila Yurov43.5%Kalshi 43.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Danila Yurov
43.5%
Not listed
43.5%
— bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Danila Yurov
43.5%
Kalshi 43.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Danila Yurov
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
Ilya Protas43.5%Not listed43.5%— bid, 87¢ askpolled, 60s ago87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Ilya Protas43.5%Kalshi 43.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Ilya Protas
43.5%
Not listed
43.5%
— bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Ilya Protas
43.5%
Kalshi 43.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ilya Protas
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
Jacob Fowler43.5%Not listed43.5%— bid, 87¢ askpolled, 60s ago87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Jacob Fowler43.5%Kalshi 43.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Jacob Fowler
43.5%
Not listed
43.5%
— bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Jacob Fowler
43.5%
Kalshi 43.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jacob Fowler
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
Jonathan Lekkerimaki43.5%Not listed43.5%— bid, 87¢ askpolled, 60s ago87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Jonathan Lekkerimaki43.5%Kalshi 43.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Jonathan Lekkerimaki
43.5%
Not listed
43.5%
— bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Jonathan Lekkerimaki
43.5%
Kalshi 43.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jonathan Lekkerimaki
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
Matthew Savoie43.5%Not listed43.5%— bid, 87¢ askpolled, 60s ago87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Matthew Savoie43.5%Kalshi 43.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Matthew Savoie
43.5%
Not listed
43.5%
— bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Matthew Savoie
43.5%
Kalshi 43.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Matthew Savoie
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
Ryan Ufko43.5%Not listed43.5%— bid, 87¢ askpolled, 60s ago87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Ryan Ufko43.5%Kalshi 43.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Ryan Ufko
43.5%
Not listed
43.5%
— bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Ryan Ufko
43.5%
Kalshi 43.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ryan Ufko
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
Sam Dickinson43.5%Not listed43.5%— bid, 87¢ askpolled, 60s ago87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Sam Dickinson43.5%Kalshi 43.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Sam Dickinson
43.5%
Not listed
43.5%
— bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Sam Dickinson
43.5%
Kalshi 43.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sam Dickinson
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
Sebastian Cossa43.5%Not listed43.5%— bid, 87¢ askpolled, 60s ago87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Sebastian Cossa43.5%Kalshi 43.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Sebastian Cossa
43.5%
Not listed
43.5%
— bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Sebastian Cossa
43.5%
Kalshi 43.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sebastian Cossa
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
Theo Lindstein43.5%Not listed43.5%— bid, 87¢ askpolled, 60s ago87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Theo Lindstein43.5%Kalshi 43.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Theo Lindstein
43.5%
Not listed
43.5%
— bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Theo Lindstein
43.5%
Kalshi 43.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Theo Lindstein
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
Tij Iginla43.5%Not listed43.5%— bid, 87¢ askpolled, 60s ago87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Tij Iginla43.5%Kalshi 43.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Tij Iginla
43.5%
Not listed
43.5%
— bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Tij Iginla
43.5%
Kalshi 43.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tij Iginla
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
Zeev Buium43.5%Not listed43.5%— bid, 87¢ askpolled, 60s ago87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Zeev Buium43.5%Kalshi 43.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Zeev Buium
43.5%
Not listed
43.5%
— bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Zeev Buium
43.5%
Kalshi 43.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Zeev Buium
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
Alex Bump43%Not listed43%— bid, 86¢ askpolled, 60s ago86¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Alex Bump43%Kalshi 43%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Alex Bump
43%
Not listed
43%
— bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
86¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Alex Bump
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alex Bump
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
Artur Akhtyamov43%Not listed43%— bid, 86¢ askpolled, 60s ago86¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Artur Akhtyamov43%Kalshi 43%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Artur Akhtyamov
43%
Not listed
43%
— bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
86¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Artur Akhtyamov
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Artur Akhtyamov
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
Carter Yakemchuk43%Not listed43%— bid, 86¢ askpolled, 60s ago86¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Carter Yakemchuk43%Kalshi 43%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Carter Yakemchuk
43%
Not listed
43%
— bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
86¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Carter Yakemchuk
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Carter Yakemchuk
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
Michael Brandsegg-Nygård43%Not listed43%— bid, 86¢ askpolled, 60s ago86¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Michael Brandsegg-Nygård43%Kalshi 43%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
43%
Not listed
43%
— bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
86¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
Sandis Vilmanis43%Not listed43%— bid, 86¢ askpolled, 60s ago86¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Sandis Vilmanis43%Kalshi 43%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Sandis Vilmanis
43%
Not listed
43%
— bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
86¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Sandis Vilmanis
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sandis Vilmanis
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
Gavin McKennaArb29%27%26¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 1 min ago35%30¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 60s ago28¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Gavin McKennaArb29%Polymarket 27%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 35%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Gavin McKennaArb
29%
27%
26¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
35%
30¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
28¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Gavin McKennaArb
29%
Polymarket 27%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 35%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gavin McKenna
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $30K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gavin McKenna
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
- Volume
- $551
Partial parity
Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.
Buying on Polymarket at 28¢ and selling on Kalshi at 30¢ nets 200 bps before fees.
Viggo Björck16.8%2.7%1.4¢ bid, 3.9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago31%— bid, 62¢ askpolled, 60s ago3.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)Viggo Björck16.8%Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 31%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Viggo Björck
16.8%
2.7%
1.4¢ bid, 3.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
31%
— bid, 62¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
3.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Viggo Björck
16.8%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 31%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Viggo Björck
- Last price
- 2.7%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,564 (25.6x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Viggo Björck
- Last price
- 31%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 62¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $161 (1.61x)
Partial parity
Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1.4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 62¢.
Ivar Stenberg15.7%15%14¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 1 min ago18%16¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 60s ago16¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Ivar Stenberg15.7%Polymarket 15%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 18%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Ivar Stenberg
15.7%
15%
14¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
18%
16¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
16¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Ivar Stenberg
15.7%
Polymarket 15%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 18%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ivar Stenberg
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $15K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ivar Stenberg
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $986
Partial parity
Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 16¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 16¢.
Nikita Klepov15.4%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 1 min ago30.5%— bid, 61¢ askpolled, 60s ago0.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $25,000 (250x)Nikita Klepov15.4%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 30.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Nikita Klepov
15.4%
0.3%
0.1¢ bid, 0.4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
30.5%
— bid, 61¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
0.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Nikita Klepov
15.4%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 30.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nikita Klepov
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nikita Klepov
- Last price
- 30.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
Partial parity
Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 61¢.
Cole Hutson13%Not listed13%5¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 60s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Cole Hutson13%Kalshi 13%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Cole Hutson
13%
Not listed
13%
5¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Cole Hutson
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cole Hutson
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $194
Roman Kantserov13%Not listed13%6¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 60s ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Roman Kantserov13%Kalshi 13%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Roman Kantserov
13%
Not listed
13%
6¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Roman Kantserov
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Roman Kantserov
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
- Volume
- $170
Anton Frondell12%Not listed12%5¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 60s ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Anton Frondell12%Kalshi 12%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Anton Frondell
12%
Not listed
12%
5¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Anton Frondell
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Anton Frondell
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $1K
Trevor Connelly11%Not listed11%11¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 60s ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Trevor Connelly11%Kalshi 11%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Trevor Connelly
11%
Not listed
11%
11¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Trevor Connelly
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Trevor Connelly
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $342
Ryan Lin8.2%8.2%0.4¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed16¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Ryan Lin8.2%Polymarket 8.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Ryan Lin
8.2%
8.2%
0.4¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
16¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Ryan Lin
8.2%
Polymarket 8.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ryan Lin
- Last price
- 8.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $1K
Porter Martone8%Not listed8%8¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 60s ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Porter Martone8%Kalshi 8%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Porter Martone
8%
Not listed
8%
8¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Porter Martone
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Porter Martone
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $128
Maddox Dagenais6.5%6.5%0.4¢ bid, 12.5¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed12.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $800 (8.00x)Maddox Dagenais6.5%Polymarket 6.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $800 (8.00x)
Maddox Dagenais
6.5%
6.5%
0.4¢ bid, 12.5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
12.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $800 (8.00x)
Maddox Dagenais
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $800 (8.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Maddox Dagenais
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $800 (8.00x)
- Volume
- $2K
James Hagens5%Not listed5%5¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 60s ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)James Hagens5%Kalshi 5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
James Hagens
5%
Not listed
5%
5¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
James Hagens
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- James Hagens
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $130
Ethan Belchetz4.6%4.6%0.9¢ bid, 8.2¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed8.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,220 (12.2x)Ethan Belchetz4.6%Polymarket 4.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,220 (12.2x)
Ethan Belchetz
4.6%
4.6%
0.9¢ bid, 8.2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
8.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,220 (12.2x)
Ethan Belchetz
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,220 (12.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ethan Belchetz
- Last price
- 4.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,220 (12.2x)
- Volume
- $2K
Adam Novotný4.3%4.3%0.1¢ bid, 8.5¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed8.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)Adam Novotný4.3%Polymarket 4.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
Adam Novotný
4.3%
4.3%
0.1¢ bid, 8.5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
8.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
Adam Novotný
4.3%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Adam Novotný
- Last price
- 4.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,176 (11.8x)
- Volume
- $4K
Alberts Smits3.5%3.5%0.3¢ bid, 6.7¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed6.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)Alberts Smits3.5%Polymarket 3.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Alberts Smits
3.5%
3.5%
0.3¢ bid, 6.7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
6.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Alberts Smits
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Alberts Smits
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,493 (14.9x)
- Volume
- $2K
Tynan Lawrence3.5%3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Tynan Lawrence3.5%Polymarket 3.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Tynan Lawrence
3.5%
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Tynan Lawrence
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Tynan Lawrence
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $373
Victor Eklund3%Not listed3%— bid, 59¢ askpolled, 60s ago59¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $169 (1.69x)Victor Eklund3%Kalshi 3%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Victor Eklund
3%
Not listed
3%
— bid, 59¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
59¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Victor Eklund
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Victor Eklund
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 59¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $169 (1.69x)
- Volume
- $290
Caleb Malhotra2.5%2.5%0.4¢ bid, 4.5¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed4.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)Caleb Malhotra2.5%Polymarket 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Caleb Malhotra
2.5%
2.5%
0.4¢ bid, 4.5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
4.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Caleb Malhotra
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Caleb Malhotra
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,222 (22.2x)
- Volume
- $1K
Igor Chernyshov2%Not listed2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 60s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Igor Chernyshov2%Kalshi 2%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Igor Chernyshov
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Igor Chernyshov
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Igor Chernyshov
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $215
Konsta Helenius1%Not listed1%— bid, 59¢ askpolled, 60s ago59¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $169 (1.69x)Konsta Helenius1%Kalshi 1%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Konsta Helenius
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 59¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
59¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Konsta Helenius
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Konsta Helenius
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 59¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $169 (1.69x)
- Volume
- $50
Luca Cagnoni1%Not listed1%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 60s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Luca Cagnoni1%Kalshi 1%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Luca Cagnoni
1%
Not listed
1%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Luca Cagnoni
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Luca Cagnoni
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $55
Chase Reid0.9%0.9%0.5¢ bid, 1.3¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed1.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)Chase Reid0.9%Polymarket 0.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Chase Reid
0.9%
0.9%
0.5¢ bid, 1.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
1.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Chase Reid
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Chase Reid
- Last price
- 0.9%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $7,692 (76.9x)
- Volume
- $2K
Mathis Preston0.9%0.9%— bid, 1.7¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed1.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)Mathis Preston0.9%Polymarket 0.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Mathis Preston
0.9%
0.9%
— bid, 1.7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
1.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Mathis Preston
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Mathis Preston
- Last price
- 0.9%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,882 (58.8x)
- Volume
- $2K
Alexander Command0.5%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Alexander Command0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Alexander Command
0.5%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Alexander Command
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Alexander Command
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $1K
Elton Hermansson0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Elton Hermansson0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Elton Hermansson
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Elton Hermansson
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Elton Hermansson
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $100
Ilya Morozov0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Ilya Morozov0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ilya Morozov
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ilya Morozov
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ilya Morozov
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Liam Ruck0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Liam Ruck0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Liam Ruck
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Liam Ruck
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Liam Ruck
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Malte Gustafsson0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Malte Gustafsson0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Malte Gustafsson
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Malte Gustafsson
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Malte Gustafsson
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $240
Marcus Nordmark0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Marcus Nordmark0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Marcus Nordmark
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Marcus Nordmark
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Marcus Nordmark
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $90
Markus Ruck0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Markus Ruck0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Markus Ruck
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Markus Ruck
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Markus Ruck
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Oliver Suvanto0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Oliver Suvanto0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Oliver Suvanto
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Oliver Suvanto
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oliver Suvanto
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Oscar Hemming0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Oscar Hemming0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Oscar Hemming
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Oscar Hemming
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oscar Hemming
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $90
William Hakansson0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)William Hakansson0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
William Hakansson
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
William Hakansson
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- William Hakansson
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Wyatt Cullen0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Wyatt Cullen0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Wyatt Cullen
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Wyatt Cullen
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Wyatt Cullen
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $454
Xavier Villeneuve0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Xavier Villeneuve0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Xavier Villeneuve
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Xavier Villeneuve
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Xavier Villeneuve
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $240
Keaton Verhoeff0.5%0.5%— bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Keaton Verhoeff0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Keaton Verhoeff
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Keaton Verhoeff
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Keaton Verhoeff
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $2K
Carson Carels0.4%0.4%0.1¢ bid, 0.6¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $16,667 (167x)Carson Carels0.4%Polymarket 0.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Carson Carels
0.4%
0.4%
0.1¢ bid, 0.6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Carson Carels
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Carson Carels
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $16,667 (167x)
- Volume
- $2K
Daxon Rudolph0.3%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $25,000 (250x)Daxon Rudolph0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Daxon Rudolph
0.3%
0.3%
0.1¢ bid, 0.4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Daxon Rudolph
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Daxon Rudolph
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $618
JP Hurlbert0.3%0.3%— bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $20,000 (200x)JP Hurlbert0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
JP Hurlbert
0.3%
0.3%
— bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
JP Hurlbert
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- JP Hurlbert
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $362
Tommy Bleyl0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Tommy Bleyl0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Tommy Bleyl
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Tommy Bleyl
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Tommy Bleyl
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $2K
Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Gavin McKenna on Polymarket at 28¢, sell on Kalshi at 30¢ (200 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads
Mostly the same bet: 4 differences
Where they differ
- Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
- Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
- Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
- Awards: Kalshi and Polymarket both settle on the official award announcement; ties or shared awards are handled differently (Kalshi per contract rules, Polymarket split).
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
Show full rule comparisonHide full rule comparison
- Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
- Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
- Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
- Awards: Kalshi and Polymarket both settle on the official award announcement; ties or shared awards are handled differently (Kalshi per contract rules, Polymarket split).
- Trading closes Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Jul 7, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Sergei Murashov
- Beckett Sennecke
- Berkly Catton
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list Sergei Murashov for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "NHL: 2026-27 Calder Trophy". Sergei Murashov leads at 49%. Next is Beckett Sennecke at 44%. $89K has traded across 66 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 1, 2027.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Calder Memorial Trophy for the 2026-27 NHL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NHL season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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