The Prediction Markets

NHL: 2027 Eastern Conference Champion

Closes
Jul 1, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$310K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Carolina Hurricanes 17.6%

Next is Florida Panthers at 15.8%. The venues differ most on New York Islanders (Polymarket 6.3%, Kalshi 1%), a 5.3-point gap.

Carolina Hurricanes 17.6%Florida Panthers 15.8%Tampa Bay Lightning 12.7%Washington Capitals 9.5%New Jersey Devils 7.2%11 others 37.2%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

1 of 32 prices are live from the exchange feeds; the rest come from our regular price polls. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Carolina HurricanesArb
17.6%
Polymarket 17.5%(15.6% fair)polled, 17s agoKalshi 20%live, just nowBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Carolina Hurricanes
Last price
17.5%
Fair, margin removed
15.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Carolina Hurricanes
Price
20%
As of
Live feed, just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Polymarket at 18¢ and selling on Kalshi at 19¢ nets 100 bps before fees.

Florida Panthers
15.8%
Polymarket 17.5%(15.6% fair)polled, 17s agoKalshi 16%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
Florida Panthers
Last price
17.5%
Fair, margin removed
15.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Florida Panthers
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 17¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 17¢.

Tampa Bay Lightning
12.7%
Polymarket 12.5%(11.1% fair)polled, 17s agoKalshi 14%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tampa Bay Lightning
Last price
12.5%
Fair, margin removed
11.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tampa Bay Lightning
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 14¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 14¢.

Washington Capitals
9.5%
Polymarket 10%(8.9% fair)polled, 17s agoKalshi 10%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Washington Capitals
Last price
10%
Fair, margin removed
8.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Washington Capitals
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 9¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 10¢.

New Jersey Devils
7.2%
Polymarket 5.6%(4.9% fair)polled, 17s agoKalshi 8%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
New Jersey Devils
Last price
5.6%
Fair, margin removed
4.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.6¢
Sell Yes
5.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,786 (17.9x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
New Jersey Devils
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 5¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5.6¢.

Boston Bruins
6.4%
Polymarket 5.3%(4.7% fair)polled, 17s agoKalshi 7%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Boston Bruins
Last price
5.3%
Fair, margin removed
4.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,538 (15.4x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Boston Bruins
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$25K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 6.5¢.

Montreal Canadiens
5.7%
Polymarket 6.1%(5.4% fair)polled, 17s agoKalshi 6%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Montreal Canadiens
Last price
6.1%
Fair, margin removed
5.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
5.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Montreal Canadiens
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 6¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 6.9¢.

Ottawa SenatorsArb
4.5%
Polymarket 6.7%(5.9% fair)polled, 17s agoKalshi 4%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ottawa Senators
Last price
6.7%
Fair, margin removed
5.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.2¢
Sell Yes
6.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,389 (13.9x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ottawa Senators
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Kalshi at 4¢ and selling on Polymarket at 6.1¢ nets 210 bps before fees.

Toronto Maple LeafsArb
3.7%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 17s agoKalshi 4%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Toronto Maple Leafs
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.9¢
Sell Yes
2.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,564 (25.6x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Toronto Maple Leafs
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Polymarket at 3.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 4¢ nets 10 bps before fees.

New York Rangers
3.3%
Polymarket 4.7%(4.1% fair)polled, 17s agoKalshi 3%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
New York Rangers
Last price
4.7%
Fair, margin removed
4.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.5¢
Sell Yes
2.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,538 (15.4x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
New York Rangers
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$25K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2.8¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

Show 6 more outcomes
Buffalo Sabres
3.2%
Polymarket 4.4%polled, 17s agoKalshi 3%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Buffalo Sabres
Last price
4.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
4.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Buffalo Sabres
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 4.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5¢.

Pittsburgh PenguinsArb
3.1%
Polymarket 5.1%(4.5% fair)polled, 17s agoKalshi 2%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pittsburgh Penguins
Last price
5.1%
Fair, margin removed
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.1¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,961 (19.6x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Pittsburgh Penguins
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Kalshi at 2¢ and selling on Polymarket at 5¢ nets 300 bps before fees.

Columbus Blue JacketsArb
2.6%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 17s agoKalshi 2%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Columbus Blue Jackets
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Columbus Blue Jackets
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Kalshi at 2¢ and selling on Polymarket at 2.8¢ nets 80 bps before fees.

New York IslandersArb
2.1%
Polymarket 6.3%(5.6% fair)polled, 17s agoKalshi 1%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
New York Islanders
Last price
6.3%
Fair, margin removed
5.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.6¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,163 (11.6x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
New York Islanders
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Kalshi at 2¢ and selling on Polymarket at 4¢ nets 200 bps before fees.

Philadelphia Flyers
1.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 17s agoKalshi 1%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Philadelphia Flyers
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Philadelphia Flyers
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Detroit Red Wings
1%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 17s agoKalshi 1%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Detroit Red Wings
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$874
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Detroit Red Wings
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.5¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Pittsburgh Penguins on Kalshi at 2¢, sell on Polymarket at 5¢ (300 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: 3 differences

Where they differ

  • Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
  • Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
  • Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: NHL, ESPN, Fox Sports
Show full rule comparison
  • Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
  • Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
  • Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
  • Trading closes Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Jul 15, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Carolina Hurricanes
  • Florida Panthers
  • Tampa Bay Lightning

Live prices for Carolina Hurricanes

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

Loading both order books…

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NHL: 2027 Eastern Conference Champion". Carolina Hurricanes leads at 17.6%. Next is Florida Panthers at 15.8%. $310K has traded across 16 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 1, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the Eastern Conference Finals for the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 Eastern Conference Finals per the rules of NHL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NHL season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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