Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
This market has closed
Trading ended on Jul 4, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 126 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Ivar Stenberg29.9%35%29.9% fair32¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Ivar Stenberg29.9%Kalshi 35%(29.9% fair)polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Ivar Stenberg
29.9%
35%
29.9% fair
32¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Ivar Stenberg
29.9%
Kalshi 35%(29.9% fair)polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ivar Stenberg
- Last price
- 35%
- Fair, margin removed
- 29.9%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $14K
Chase Reid26.5%31%26.5% fair31¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago36¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Chase Reid26.5%Kalshi 31%(26.5% fair)polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Chase Reid
26.5%
31%
26.5% fair
31¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
36¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Chase Reid
26.5%
Kalshi 31%(26.5% fair)polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chase Reid
- Last price
- 31%
- Fair, margin removed
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
- Volume
- $5K
Carson Carels12%14%12% fair10¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Carson Carels12%Kalshi 14%(12% fair)polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Carson Carels
12%
14%
12% fair
10¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Carson Carels
12%
Kalshi 14%(12% fair)polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Carson Carels
- Last price
- 14%
- Fair, margin removed
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $596
Caleb Malhotra7.7%9%7.7% fair9¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Caleb Malhotra7.7%Kalshi 9%(7.7% fair)polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Caleb Malhotra
7.7%
9%
7.7% fair
9¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Caleb Malhotra
7.7%
Kalshi 9%(7.7% fair)polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Caleb Malhotra
- Last price
- 9%
- Fair, margin removed
- 7.7%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $1K
Keaton Verhoeff6%7%6% fair6¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Keaton Verhoeff6%Kalshi 7%(6% fair)polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Keaton Verhoeff
6%
7%
6% fair
6¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Keaton Verhoeff
6%
Kalshi 7%(6% fair)polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Keaton Verhoeff
- Last price
- 7%
- Fair, margin removed
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $255
Alberts Smits3.4%4%3.4% fair— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Alberts Smits3.4%Kalshi 4%(3.4% fair)polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Alberts Smits
3.4%
4%
3.4% fair
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Alberts Smits
3.4%
Kalshi 4%(3.4% fair)polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alberts Smits
- Last price
- 4%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.4%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $1K
Viggo Bjorck2.6%3%3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Viggo Bjorck2.6%Kalshi 3%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Viggo Bjorck
2.6%
3%
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Viggo Bjorck
2.6%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Viggo Bjorck
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Daxon Rudolph2.1%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Daxon Rudolph2.1%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Daxon Rudolph
2.1%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Daxon Rudolph
2.1%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Daxon Rudolph
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Oliver Suvanto2.1%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Oliver Suvanto2.1%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Oliver Suvanto
2.1%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Oliver Suvanto
2.1%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oliver Suvanto
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Oscar Hemming2.1%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Oscar Hemming2.1%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Oscar Hemming
2.1%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Oscar Hemming
2.1%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oscar Hemming
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Show 5 more outcomesHide 5 outcomes
Ryan Lin2.1%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Ryan Lin2.1%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ryan Lin
2.1%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ryan Lin
2.1%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ryan Lin
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Ethan Belchetz0.9%1%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Ethan Belchetz0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Ethan Belchetz
0.9%
1%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Ethan Belchetz
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ethan Belchetz
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $398
Gavin McKenna0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Gavin McKenna0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Gavin McKenna
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Gavin McKenna
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gavin McKenna
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $282
Tynan Lawrence0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Tynan Lawrence0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Tynan Lawrence
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Tynan Lawrence
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tynan Lawrence
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $43
Wyatt Cullen0.8%1%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Wyatt Cullen0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Wyatt Cullen
0.8%
1%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Wyatt Cullen
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Wyatt Cullen
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $374
Who resolves this market
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Ivar Stenberg
- Chase Reid
- Carson Carels
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "NHL #4 Overall Pick". Ivar Stenberg last traded at 29.9%. Next is Chase Reid at 26.5%. $27K has traded across 15 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Jul 4, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
More sports markets
See all sports markets- F1 Drivers' ChampionKimi Antonelli98.1%$204.6M traded
- 2027 Pro Football ChampionSan Francisco17%$196.4M traded
- Pro Baseball ChampionMilwaukee64.6%$134.1M traded
- College Football National Championship WinnerGeorgia16%$64.0M traded
- 2027 Pro Basketball ChampionOklahoma City25%$45.4M traded
- MVP Winner?Josh Allen27%$36.8M traded