Combined depth · both venues
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Kirill Kaprizov 62.7%
Next is Leon Draisaitl at 58.4%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 65¢ and selling on Polymarket at 93¢ nets 2800 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 53¢ and selling on Polymarket at 58¢ nets 500 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 67¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 78.7¢.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 40¢ and selling on Kalshi at 57¢ nets 1700 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 53¢ and selling on Polymarket at 87¢ nets 3400 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 49¢ and selling on Kalshi at 53¢ nets 400 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 26¢ and selling on Kalshi at 47¢ nets 2100 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 35¢ and selling on Kalshi at 51¢ nets 1600 bps before fees.


Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 21¢ and selling on Kalshi at 53¢ nets 3200 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 33.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 41¢ nets 770 bps before fees.


Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 32¢ and selling on Polymarket at 48¢ nets 1600 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 26¢ and selling on Kalshi at 39¢ nets 1300 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 14¢ and selling on Kalshi at 35¢ nets 2100 bps before fees.


Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 31¢ and selling on Polymarket at 51¢ nets 2000 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 35¢ and selling on Polymarket at 51¢ nets 1600 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 20¢ and selling on Polymarket at 48¢ nets 2800 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 29¢ and selling on Kalshi at 32¢ nets 300 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 20¢ and selling on Polymarket at 48¢ nets 2800 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 20¢ and selling on Kalshi at 36¢ nets 1600 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 4.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 24¢ nets 1950 bps before fees.




Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 38¢ nets 3200 bps before fees.





Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 20¢ and selling on Kalshi at 30¢ nets 1000 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 18¢ and selling on Polymarket at 50¢ nets 3200 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 12¢ and selling on Kalshi at 14¢ nets 200 bps before fees.


Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 5.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 27¢ nets 2130 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 20.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 22¢ nets 140 bps before fees.








Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 24¢ nets 1800 bps before fees.


Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 21¢ nets 1600 bps before fees.



Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 11.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 16¢ nets 470 bps before fees.





Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 10.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 14¢ nets 390 bps before fees.


Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 19¢ nets 1400 bps before fees.













Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 4.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 9¢ nets 440 bps before fees.


Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 16¢ nets 1000 bps before fees.









Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Auston Matthews on Kalshi at 53¢, sell on Polymarket at 87¢ (3400 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads
Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
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Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
Live prediction market odds for "NHL: 40+ Goals Season". Kirill Kaprizov leads at 62.7%. Next is Leon Draisaitl at 58.4%. $105K has traded across 89 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Apr 13, 2027.
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.