The Prediction Markets

NHL Playoffs: Team to advance to Eastern Conference Finals

Closes
May 25, 2027, in 7 months
Traded
$378K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Carolina Hurricanes 32.1%

Next is Florida Panthers at 31%. The venues differ most on Florida Panthers (Polymarket 76%, Kalshi 16%), a 60-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

1 of 48 prices are live from the exchange feeds; the rest come from our regular price polls. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Carolina HurricanesArb
32.1%
Polymarket 68.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 20%live, just nowBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Carolina Hurricanes
Last price
68.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Carolina Hurricanes
Price
20%
As of
Live feed, just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 20¢ and selling on Polymarket at 48¢ nets 2800 bps before fees.

Florida PanthersArb
31%
Polymarket 76%polled, 25s agoKalshi 16%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
Florida Panthers
Last price
76%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Florida Panthers
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 17¢ and selling on Polymarket at 68¢ nets 5100 bps before fees.

Washington Capitals
29.5%
Polymarket 49%polled, 25s agoKalshi 10%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Washington Capitals
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Washington Capitals
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 10¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 10¢.

New York Rangers
24.3%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 3%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
New York Rangers
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
New York Rangers
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$25K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

Tampa Bay LightningArb
23.8%
Polymarket 53%polled, 25s agoKalshi 14%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tampa Bay Lightning
Last price
53%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tampa Bay Lightning
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 15¢ and selling on Polymarket at 16¢ nets 100 bps before fees.

Colorado Avalanche
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Colorado Avalanche
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Edmonton Oilers
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Edmonton Oilers
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$22K
Trade this on Kalshi
Montreal Canadiens
16.5%
Polymarket 45%polled, 25s agoKalshi 7%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Montreal Canadiens
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$13
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Montreal Canadiens
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 5¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 7¢.

Vegas Golden Knights
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Vegas Golden Knights
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
New Jersey Devils
14%
Polymarket 35%polled, 25s agoKalshi 7%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
New Jersey Devils
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$67
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
New Jersey Devils
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 7¢.

Show 22 more outcomes
Buffalo Sabres
13.5%
Polymarket 24%polled, 25s agoKalshi 3%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Buffalo Sabres
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Buffalo Sabres
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5¢.

Minnesota Wild
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota Wild
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
New York Islanders
11.6%
Polymarket 43.4%polled, 25s agoKalshi 1%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
New York Islanders
Last price
43.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
New York Islanders
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1.7¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Ottawa Senators
11.3%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 4%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ottawa Senators
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ottawa Senators
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

Dallas Stars
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dallas Stars
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Boston Bruins
9.1%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 8%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Boston Bruins
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$58
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Boston Bruins
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$28K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 8¢.

Utah Mammoth
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Utah Mammoth
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Kalshi
San Jose Sharks
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Jose Sharks
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$40K
Trade this on Kalshi
Toronto Maple Leafs
5.8%
Polymarket 11%polled, 25s agoKalshi 4%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Toronto Maple Leafs
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$580
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Toronto Maple Leafs
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 5¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5¢.

Columbus Blue Jackets
4.9%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 2%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Columbus Blue Jackets
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Columbus Blue Jackets
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Pittsburgh Penguins
4.4%
Polymarket 11.6%polled, 25s agoKalshi 2%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pittsburgh Penguins
Last price
11.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22.3¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$448 (4.48x)
Volume
$119
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Pittsburgh Penguins
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.8¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Detroit Red Wings
4%
Polymarket 12.8%polled, 25s agoKalshi 1%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Detroit Red Wings
Last price
12.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24.9¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$402 (4.02x)
Volume
$62
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Detroit Red Wings
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.7¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Los Angeles Kings
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Los Angeles Kings
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
St. Louis Blues
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
St. Louis Blues
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Philadelphia FlyersArb
2.2%
Polymarket 6%polled, 25s agoKalshi 1%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Philadelphia Flyers
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.8¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,020 (10.2x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Philadelphia Flyers
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 2¢ and selling on Polymarket at 2.1¢ nets 10 bps before fees.

Anaheim Ducks
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Anaheim Ducks
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Kalshi
Seattle Kraken
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Seattle Kraken
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Winnipeg Jets
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Winnipeg Jets
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$725
Trade this on Kalshi
Calgary Flames
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Calgary Flames
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Chicago Blackhawks
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chicago Blackhawks
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Nashville Predators
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nashville Predators
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$245
Trade this on Kalshi
Vancouver Canucks
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Vancouver Canucks
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Florida Panthers on Kalshi at 17¢, sell on Polymarket at 68¢ (5100 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Likely the same bet: we have not reviewed these rules side by side yet

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: nhl.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: NHL, ESPN, Fox Sports
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes May 25, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Jul 15, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Carolina Hurricanes
  • Florida Panthers
  • Washington Capitals

Live prices for Carolina Hurricanes

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

Loading both order books…

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NHL Playoffs: Team to advance to Eastern Conference Finals". Carolina Hurricanes leads at 32.1%. Next is Florida Panthers at 31%. $378K has traded across 32 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by May 25, 2027.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the Eastern Conference Finals of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the Eastern Conference Finals of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the Eastern Conference Finals matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL (https://www.nhl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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