The Prediction Markets

NHL Vezina Trophy

Closes
Jul 7, 2027, in 9 months
Traded
$39K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Joel Hofer 36.2%

Next is Jesper Wallstedt at 33.7%. The venues differ most on Charlie Lindgren (Polymarket 36.3%, Kalshi 0.5%), a 36-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Joel Hofer
36.2%
Polymarket 36.2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joel Hofer
Last price
36.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Jesper Wallstedt
33.7%
Polymarket 33.7%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jesper Wallstedt
Last price
33.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Semyon Varlamov
33.5%
Polymarket 33.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 66.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
Contract
Semyon Varlamov
Last price
33.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
66.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Scott Wedgewood
33.2%
Polymarket 33.2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 66.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $151 (1.51x)
Polymarket
Contract
Scott Wedgewood
Last price
33.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
66.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$151 (1.51x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Dan Vladar
33.1%
Polymarket 33.1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dan Vladar
Last price
33.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Jeremy Swayman
30.6%
Polymarket 31.1%polled, 34s agoKalshi 30%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jeremy Swayman
Last price
31.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
7.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jeremy Swayman
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 7.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 30¢.

Jake Oettinger
28.3%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 34s agoKalshi 26%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jake Oettinger
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jake Oettinger
Last price
26%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 6¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 26¢.

Tristan Jarry
27.5%
Polymarket 27.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 54.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $183 (1.83x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tristan Jarry
Last price
27.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$183 (1.83x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Stuart Skinner
25.6%
Polymarket 32.1%polled, 34s agoKalshi 19%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Stuart Skinner
Last price
32.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Stuart Skinner
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 19¢.

Vitek Vanecek
22.6%
Polymarket 22.6%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Vitek Vanecek
Last price
22.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 57 more outcomes
Jakub Dobes
21.7%
Polymarket 21.7%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jakub Dobes
Last price
21.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Charlie Lindgren
18.4%
Polymarket 36.3%polled, 34s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charlie Lindgren
Last price
36.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$138 (1.38x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Charlie Lindgren
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Jake Allen
18.3%
Polymarket 18.3%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 36.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $274 (2.74x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jake Allen
Last price
18.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$274 (2.74x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Jordan Binnington
18.3%
Polymarket 35.6%polled, 34s agoKalshi 1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jordan Binnington
Last price
35.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Binnington
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Lukas Dostal
17%
Polymarket 32.1%polled, 34s agoKalshi 2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lukas Dostal
Last price
32.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lukas Dostal
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$706
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Philipp Grubauer
15.6%
Polymarket 15.6%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
Philipp Grubauer
Last price
15.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Ilya Sorokin
15.3%
Polymarket 22.4%polled, 34s agoKalshi 13%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ilya Sorokin
Last price
22.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37.4¢
Sell Yes
7.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$267 (2.67x)
Volume
$402
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ilya Sorokin
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 7.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 13¢.

Logan Thompson
15.2%
Polymarket 25%polled, 34s agoKalshi 12%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Logan Thompson
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$346
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Logan Thompson
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 11¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 12¢.

Connor Hellebuyck
14.9%
Polymarket 32.7%polled, 34s agoKalshi 9%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Connor Hellebuyck
Last price
32.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$14
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Connor Hellebuyck
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 9¢.

Linus Ullmark
10.7%
Polymarket 15.7%polled, 34s agoKalshi 9%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Linus Ullmark
Last price
15.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30.3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$330 (3.30x)
Volume
$616
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Linus Ullmark
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 9¢.

Joey Daccord
9.8%
Polymarket 17.6%polled, 34s agoKalshi 2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joey Daccord
Last price
17.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Joey Daccord
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Samuel Ersson
9.6%
Polymarket 9.6%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 10.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $980 (9.80x)
Polymarket
Contract
Samuel Ersson
Last price
9.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10.2¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$980 (9.80x)
Volume
$104
Trade this on Polymarket
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
9.1%
Polymarket 17.1%polled, 34s agoKalshi 1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Last price
17.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$702
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Thatcher Demko
9%
Polymarket 17.1%polled, 34s agoKalshi 1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Thatcher Demko
Last price
17.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Thatcher Demko
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Joseph Woll
9%
Polymarket 17.6%polled, 34s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joseph Woll
Last price
17.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Joseph Woll
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Sergei Bobrovsky
8.3%
Polymarket 14.6%polled, 34s agoKalshi 2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sergei Bobrovsky
Last price
14.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sergei Bobrovsky
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$471
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Pyotr Kochetkov
7.8%
Polymarket 14.6%polled, 34s agoKalshi 1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pyotr Kochetkov
Last price
14.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Pyotr Kochetkov
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$468
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Andrei Vasilevskiy
7.7%
Polymarket 13.3%polled, 34s agoKalshi 5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Last price
13.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17.5¢
Sell Yes
9.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$571 (5.71x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 9.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 14¢.

Jacob Markstrom
7.6%
Polymarket 13.2%polled, 34s agoKalshi 2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jacob Markstrom
Last price
13.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jacob Markstrom
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Frederik Andersen
7.6%
Polymarket 13.2%polled, 34s agoKalshi 2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Frederik Andersen
Last price
13.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Frederik Andersen
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$234
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Yaroslav Askarov
7.5%
Polymarket 13.1%polled, 34s agoKalshi 2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yaroslav Askarov
Last price
13.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Yaroslav Askarov
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$16
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Jet Greaves
7.3%
Polymarket 12.6%polled, 34s agoKalshi 2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jet Greaves
Last price
12.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jet Greaves
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$413
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Juuse Saros
7.3%
Polymarket 12.6%polled, 34s agoKalshi 2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Juuse Saros
Last price
12.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Juuse Saros
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$323
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Karel Vejmelka
7.3%
Polymarket 12.6%polled, 34s agoKalshi 2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Karel Vejmelka
Last price
12.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Karel Vejmelka
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$583
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Anthony Stolarz
7%
Polymarket 13.1%polled, 34s agoKalshi 1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Anthony Stolarz
Last price
13.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Anthony Stolarz
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Dustin Wolf
7%
Polymarket 13.1%polled, 34s agoKalshi 1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dustin Wolf
Last price
13.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Dustin Wolf
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Darcy Kuemper
6.8%
Polymarket 12.6%polled, 34s agoKalshi 1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Darcy Kuemper
Last price
12.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Darcy Kuemper
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Petr Mrazek
5.3%
Polymarket 10.1%polled, 34s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Petr Mrazek
Last price
10.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Petr Mrazek
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Alex Nedeljkovic
5.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alex Nedeljkovic
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Alexandar Georgiev
5.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alexandar Georgiev
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Anton Forsberg
5.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Anton Forsberg
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Arvid Soderblom
5.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arvid Soderblom
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Calvin Pickard
5.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Calvin Pickard
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
David Rittich
5.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
David Rittich
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Eric Comrie
5.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Eric Comrie
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Ilya Samsonov
5.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ilya Samsonov
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Ivan Fedotov
5.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ivan Fedotov
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Jonas Johansson
5.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jonas Johansson
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Jonathan Quick
5.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jonathan Quick
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Joonas Korpisalo
5.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joonas Korpisalo
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Alex Lyon
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alex Lyon
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Casey DeSmith
4.8%
Polymarket 4.8%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 9.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,053 (10.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Casey DeSmith
Last price
4.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,053 (10.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Igor Shesterkin
4.8%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 34s agoKalshi 5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Igor Shesterkin
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,266 (12.7x)
Volume
$102
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Igor Shesterkin
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5¢.

Filip Gustavsson
3.5%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 34s agoKalshi 2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Filip Gustavsson
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Filip Gustavsson
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

John Gibson
3%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 34s agoKalshi 1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
John Gibson
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
John Gibson
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Adin Hill
2.8%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 34s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Adin Hill
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Adin Hill
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Cam Talbot
2.8%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 34s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cam Talbot
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Talbot
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Connor Ingram
2.8%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 34s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Connor Ingram
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Connor Ingram
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Elvis Merzlikins
2.8%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 34s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Elvis Merzlikins
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Elvis Merzlikins
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Kevin Lankinen
2.8%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 34s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kevin Lankinen
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kevin Lankinen
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Justus Annunen
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Justus Annunen
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Spencer Knight
2.3%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 34s agoKalshi 2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spencer Knight
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Spencer Knight
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Mackenzie Blackwood
2%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 34s agoKalshi 2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mackenzie Blackwood
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,125 (31.3x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Mackenzie Blackwood
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$120
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Samuel Montembeault
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Samuel Montembeault
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Samuel Montembeault
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sam Montembeault
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$416
Trade this on Polymarket
Arturs Silovs
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arturs Silovs
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Kalshi
Akira Schmid
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Akira Schmid
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Mostly the same bet: 4 differences

Where they differ

  • Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
  • Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
  • Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
  • Awards: Kalshi and Polymarket both settle on the official award announcement; ties or shared awards are handled differently (Kalshi per contract rules, Polymarket split).
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, NHL
Show full rule comparison
  • Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
  • Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
  • Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
  • Awards: Kalshi and Polymarket both settle on the official award announcement; ties or shared awards are handled differently (Kalshi per contract rules, Polymarket split).
  • Trading closes Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Jul 7, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Joel Hofer
  • Jesper Wallstedt
  • Semyon Varlamov

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Joel Hofer for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NHL Vezina Trophy". Joel Hofer leads at 36.2%. Next is Jesper Wallstedt at 33.7%. $39K has traded across 67 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 7, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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