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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
Ends before Round 3? 81.5%
Next is Ends before Round 2? at 61.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Ends before Round 3?81.5%81.5%81¢ bid, 82¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed82¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $122 (1.22x)Ends before Round 3?81.5%Polymarket 81.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Ends before Round 3?
81.5%
81.5%
81¢ bid, 82¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
82¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Ends before Round 3?
81.5%
Polymarket 81.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 3?
- Last price
- 81.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 82¢
- Sell Yes
- 81¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $122 (1.22x)
- Volume
- $43
Ends before Round 2?61.5%61.5%60¢ bid, 63¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed63¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $159 (1.59x)Ends before Round 2?61.5%Polymarket 61.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Ends before Round 2?
61.5%
61.5%
60¢ bid, 63¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
63¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Ends before Round 2?
61.5%
Polymarket 61.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 2?
- Last price
- 61.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 63¢
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $159 (1.59x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?59%59%55¢ bid, 63¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed63¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $159 (1.59x)Fight won by KO/TKO?59%Polymarket 59%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
59%
59%
55¢ bid, 63¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
63¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
59%
Polymarket 59%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 59%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 63¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $159 (1.59x)
- Volume
- $20
O/U 0.5 Rounds59%59%51¢ bid, 67¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed67¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $149 (1.49x)O/U 0.5 Rounds59%Polymarket 59%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
59%
59%
51¢ bid, 67¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
67¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $149 (1.49x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
59%
Polymarket 59%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 59%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 67¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $149 (1.49x)
- Volume
- $4
Yakhyaev to win by KO/TKO?55.5%55.5%55¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed56¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $179 (1.79x)Yakhyaev to win by KO/TKO?55.5%Polymarket 55.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Yakhyaev to win by KO/TKO?
55.5%
55.5%
55¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
56¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Yakhyaev to win by KO/TKO?
55.5%
Polymarket 55.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yakhyaev to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 55.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
- Volume
- $90
Yakhyaev in Round 154.5%54.5%49¢ bid, 60¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed60¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $167 (1.67x)Yakhyaev in Round 154.5%Polymarket 54.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Yakhyaev in Round 1
54.5%
54.5%
49¢ bid, 60¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
60¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Yakhyaev in Round 1
54.5%
Polymarket 54.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yakhyaev in Round 1
- Last price
- 54.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 60¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $167 (1.67x)
- Volume
- $93
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev by KO/TKO/DQ54%Not listed54%53¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 1 min ago54¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev by KO/TKO/DQ54%Kalshi 54%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev by KO/TKO/DQ
54%
Not listed
54%
53¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
54¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev by KO/TKO/DQ
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev by KO/TKO/DQ
- Last price
- 54%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 53¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $931
Fight won by submission?36%36%24¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed48¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Fight won by submission?36%Polymarket 36%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Fight won by submission?
36%
36%
24¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
48¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Fight won by submission?
36%
Polymarket 36%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by submission?
- Last price
- 36%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
Yakhyaev in Round 231%31%12¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Yakhyaev in Round 231%Polymarket 31%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Yakhyaev in Round 2
31%
31%
12¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Yakhyaev in Round 2
31%
Polymarket 31%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yakhyaev in Round 2
- Last price
- 31%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds29.5%29.5%28¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed31¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $323 (3.23x)O/U 1.5 Rounds29.5%Polymarket 29.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
29.5%
29.5%
28¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
31¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
29.5%
Polymarket 29.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 1.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 29.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
Show 16 more outcomesHide 16 outcomes
Decision or Draw28%28%6¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Decision or Draw28%Polymarket 28%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Decision or Draw
28%
28%
6¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Decision or Draw
28%
Polymarket 28%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Decision or Draw
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Fight won by decision?27%27%6¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed48¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Fight won by decision?27%Polymarket 27%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Fight won by decision?
27%
27%
6¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
48¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Fight won by decision?
27%
Polymarket 27%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by decision?
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
Krylov to win by KO/TKO?27%27%6¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed48¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Krylov to win by KO/TKO?27%Polymarket 27%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Krylov to win by KO/TKO?
27%
27%
6¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
48¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Krylov to win by KO/TKO?
27%
Polymarket 27%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Krylov to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
Krylov in Round 326.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Krylov in Round 326.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Krylov in Round 3
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Krylov in Round 3
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Krylov in Round 3
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Yakhyaev in Round 326.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Yakhyaev in Round 326.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Yakhyaev in Round 3
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Yakhyaev in Round 3
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yakhyaev in Round 3
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Krylov in Round 125.5%25.5%3¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed48¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Krylov in Round 125.5%Polymarket 25.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Krylov in Round 1
25.5%
25.5%
3¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
48¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Krylov in Round 1
25.5%
Polymarket 25.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Krylov in Round 1
- Last price
- 25.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
Krylov in Round 225.5%25.5%3¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed48¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Krylov in Round 225.5%Polymarket 25.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Krylov in Round 2
25.5%
25.5%
3¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
48¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Krylov in Round 2
25.5%
Polymarket 25.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Krylov in Round 2
- Last price
- 25.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev by Submission24%Not listed24%22¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 1 min ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev by Submission24%Kalshi 24%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev by Submission
24%
Not listed
24%
22¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev by Submission
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev by Submission
- Last price
- 24%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $415
O/U 2.5 Rounds22%22%11¢ bid, 33¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed33¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $303 (3.03x)O/U 2.5 Rounds22%Polymarket 22%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
22%
22%
11¢ bid, 33¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
33¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $303 (3.03x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
22%
Polymarket 22%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 2.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 33¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $303 (3.03x)
Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev17.5%17.5%17¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed18¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev17.5%Polymarket 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev
17.5%
17.5%
17¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
18¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev
17.5%
Polymarket 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev
- Last price
- 17.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $11K
Fight to Go the Distance?13%13%12¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed14¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Fight to Go the Distance?13%Polymarket 13%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Fight to Go the Distance?
13%
13%
12¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
14¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Fight to Go the Distance?
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight to Go the Distance?
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Nikita Krylov by KO/TKO/DQ10%Not listed10%8¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Nikita Krylov by KO/TKO/DQ10%Kalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Nikita Krylov by KO/TKO/DQ
10%
Not listed
10%
8¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Nikita Krylov by KO/TKO/DQ
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nikita Krylov by KO/TKO/DQ
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $146
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev by Decision8%Not listed8%6¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev by Decision8%Kalshi 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev by Decision
8%
Not listed
8%
6¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev by Decision
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev by Decision
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $442
Nikita Krylov by Submission7%Not listed7%4¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 1 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Nikita Krylov by Submission7%Kalshi 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Nikita Krylov by Submission
7%
Not listed
7%
4¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Nikita Krylov by Submission
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nikita Krylov by Submission
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $1K
Nikita Krylov by Decision4%Not listed4%2¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Nikita Krylov by Decision4%Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Nikita Krylov by Decision
4%
Not listed
4%
2¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Nikita Krylov by Decision
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nikita Krylov by Decision
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $22
Draw/No Contest2%Not listed2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Draw/No Contest2%Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Draw/No Contest
2%
Not listed
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Draw/No Contest
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Draw/No Contest
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $8
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: ufc.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Paramount+, Fox Sports
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Ends before Round 3?
- Ends before Round 2?
- Fight won by KO/TKO?
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list Ends before Round 3? for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
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Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Nikita Krylov vs Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev: Method of Victory". Ends before Round 3? leads at 81.5%. Next is Ends before Round 2? at 61.5%. $15K has traded across 26 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 7, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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