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What the markets expect
Pete Crow-Armstrong 98%
Next is Brice Turang at 20%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Pete Crow-Armstrong98%98%98¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 58s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Pete Crow-Armstrong98%Kalshi 98%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Pete Crow-Armstrong
98%
98%
98¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Pete Crow-Armstrong
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pete Crow-Armstrong
- Last price
- 98%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 98¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $46K
Brice Turang20%20%— bid, 24¢ askpolled, 58s ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Brice Turang20%Kalshi 20%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Brice Turang
20%
20%
— bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Brice Turang
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brice Turang
- Last price
- 20%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $1K
Shohei Ohtani3%3%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 58s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Shohei Ohtani3%Kalshi 3%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Shohei Ohtani
3%
3%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Shohei Ohtani
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Shohei Ohtani
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $16K
Alex Bregman2%2%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 58s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Alex Bregman2%Kalshi 2%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Alex Bregman
2%
2%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Alex Bregman
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alex Bregman
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $247
Bryce Harper1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Bryce Harper1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Bryce Harper
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Bryce Harper
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bryce Harper
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $92
Caleb Durbin1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Caleb Durbin1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Caleb Durbin
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Caleb Durbin
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Caleb Durbin
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $8
Christian Yelich1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Christian Yelich1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Christian Yelich
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Christian Yelich
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christian Yelich
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $29
Corbin Carroll1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Corbin Carroll1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Corbin Carroll
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Corbin Carroll
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Corbin Carroll
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $10
Dansby Swanson1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Dansby Swanson1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Dansby Swanson
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Dansby Swanson
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dansby Swanson
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $5
Drake Baldwin1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Drake Baldwin1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Drake Baldwin
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Drake Baldwin
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Drake Baldwin
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $93
Show 41 more outcomesHide 41 outcomes
Elly De La Cruz1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Elly De La Cruz1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Elly De La Cruz
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Elly De La Cruz
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Elly De La Cruz
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $124
Fernando Tatis Jr.1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Fernando Tatis Jr.1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Fernando Tatis Jr.
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Fernando Tatis Jr.
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fernando Tatis Jr.
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $52
Francisco Lindor1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Francisco Lindor1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Francisco Lindor
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Francisco Lindor
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Francisco Lindor
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $16
Freddie Freeman1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Freddie Freeman1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Freddie Freeman
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Freddie Freeman
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Freddie Freeman
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $10
Geraldo Perdomo1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Geraldo Perdomo1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Geraldo Perdomo
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Geraldo Perdomo
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Geraldo Perdomo
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $10
Hunter Goodman1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Hunter Goodman1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Hunter Goodman
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Hunter Goodman
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hunter Goodman
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $101
Ian Happ1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Ian Happ1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ian Happ
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ian Happ
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ian Happ
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $10
Jackson Chourio1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Jackson Chourio1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jackson Chourio
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jackson Chourio
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson Chourio
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $15
Jackson Merrill1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Jackson Merrill1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jackson Merrill
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jackson Merrill
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson Merrill
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $10
James Wood1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)James Wood1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
James Wood
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
James Wood
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- James Wood
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $4K
Jordan Walker1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Jordan Walker1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jordan Walker
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jordan Walker
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jordan Walker
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $294
Juan Soto1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Juan Soto1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Juan Soto
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Juan Soto
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Juan Soto
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Ketel Marte1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Ketel Marte1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ketel Marte
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ketel Marte
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ketel Marte
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $10
Kyle Schwarber1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Kyle Schwarber1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kyle Schwarber
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kyle Schwarber
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyle Schwarber
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $5K
Kyle Tucker1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Kyle Tucker1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kyle Tucker
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kyle Tucker
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyle Tucker
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $10
Los Angeles D (WSMI)1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Los Angeles D (WSMI)1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Los Angeles D (WSMI)
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Los Angeles D (WSMI)
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Los Angeles D (WSMI)
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $274
Luis Robert Jr.1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Luis Robert Jr.1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Luis Robert Jr.
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Luis Robert Jr.
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Luis Robert Jr.
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $10
Manny Machado1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Manny Machado1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Manny Machado
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Manny Machado
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Manny Machado
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $10
Marcus Semien1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Marcus Semien1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Marcus Semien
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Marcus Semien
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marcus Semien
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $10
Masyn Winn1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Masyn Winn1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Masyn Winn
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Masyn Winn
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Masyn Winn
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $232
Matt Chapman1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Matt Chapman1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Matt Chapman
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Matt Chapman
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Matt Chapman
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $10
Matt Olson1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Matt Olson1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Matt Olson
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Matt Olson
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Matt Olson
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Max Muncy1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Max Muncy1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Max Muncy
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Max Muncy
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Max Muncy
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $110
Michael Busch1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Michael Busch1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Michael Busch
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Michael Busch
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michael Busch
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $10
Michael Harris II1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Michael Harris II1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Michael Harris II
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Michael Harris II
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michael Harris II
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $10
Mookie Betts1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Mookie Betts1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Mookie Betts
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Mookie Betts
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mookie Betts
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $11
Nick Castellanos1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Nick Castellanos1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Nick Castellanos
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Nick Castellanos
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nick Castellanos
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $10
Nolan Arenado1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Nolan Arenado1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Nolan Arenado
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Nolan Arenado
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nolan Arenado
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $10
Oneil Cruz1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Oneil Cruz1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Oneil Cruz
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Oneil Cruz
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oneil Cruz
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $16
Ozzie Albies1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Ozzie Albies1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ozzie Albies
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ozzie Albies
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ozzie Albies
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $18
Rafael Devers1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Rafael Devers1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Rafael Devers
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Rafael Devers
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Rafael Devers
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $165
Ronald Acuña Jr.1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Ronald Acuña Jr.1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ronald Acuña Jr.
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ronald Acuña Jr.
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ronald Acuña Jr.
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $732
Sal Frelick1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Sal Frelick1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Sal Frelick
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Sal Frelick
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sal Frelick
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $10
Teoscar Hernández1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Teoscar Hernández1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Teoscar Hernández
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Teoscar Hernández
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Teoscar Hernández
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $10
Tie/Co-Winners1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Tie/Co-Winners1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Tie/Co-Winners
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Tie/Co-Winners
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tie/Co-Winners
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $10
Trea Turner1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Trea Turner1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Trea Turner
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Trea Turner
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Trea Turner
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $10
Willy Adames1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Willy Adames1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Willy Adames
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Willy Adames
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Willy Adames
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $10
Xander Bogaerts1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Xander Bogaerts1%Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Xander Bogaerts
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Xander Bogaerts
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Xander Bogaerts
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $10
Bo Bichette0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Bo Bichette0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Bo Bichette
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Bo Bichette
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bo Bichette
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Mickey Moniak0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Mickey Moniak0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Mickey Moniak
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Mickey Moniak
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mickey Moniak
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Nico Hoerner0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Nico Hoerner0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Nico Hoerner
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Nico Hoerner
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nico Hoerner
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong
- Brice Turang
- Shohei Ohtani
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "NL Hank Aaron Award Winner?". Pete Crow-Armstrong leads at 98%. Next is Brice Turang at 20%. $79K has traded across 51 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 8, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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