The Prediction Markets

Northern Colorado vs UC Davis: Spread

Closes
Oct 26, 2026, in 3 days
Traded
$1K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
4 min ago
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What the markets expect

UC Davis wins by over 2.5 points 69%

Next is UC Davis wins by over 6.5 points at 60.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
UC Davis wins by over 2.5 points
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
Contract
UC Davis wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
69%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Trade this on Kalshi
UC Davis wins by over 6.5 points
60.5%
Kalshi 60.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
Contract
UC Davis wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
60.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Trade this on Kalshi
UC Davis wins by over 10.5 points
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
UC Davis wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
UC Davis wins by over 14.5 points
37.5%
Kalshi 37.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
UC Davis wins by over 14.5 points
Last price
37.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
UC Davis wins by over 18.5 points
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
Contract
UC Davis wins by over 18.5 points
Last price
31%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Trade this on Kalshi
UC Davis wins by over 22.5 points
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
UC Davis wins by over 22.5 points
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Northern Colorado wins by over 1.5 points
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Northern Colorado wins by over 1.5 points
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
UC Davis wins by over 26.5 points
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
UC Davis wins by over 26.5 points
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Northern Colorado wins by over 5.5 points
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Northern Colorado wins by over 5.5 points
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Trade this on Kalshi
UC Davis wins by over 30.5 points
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
UC Davis wins by over 30.5 points
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 3 more outcomes
Northern Colorado wins by over 9.5 points
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Northern Colorado wins by over 9.5 points
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Northern Colorado wins by over 13.5 points
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Northern Colorado wins by over 13.5 points
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
UC Davis wins by over 34.5 points
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
UC Davis wins by over 34.5 points
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • UC Davis wins by over 2.5 points
  • UC Davis wins by over 6.5 points
  • UC Davis wins by over 10.5 points

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Northern Colorado vs UC Davis: Spread". UC Davis wins by over 2.5 points leads at 69%. Next is UC Davis wins by over 6.5 points at 60.5%. $1K has traded across 13 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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