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What the markets expect
Over 33.5 points 86.5%
Next is Over 37.5 points at 79.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Over 33.5 points86.5%86.5%78¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 1 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Over 33.5 points86.5%Kalshi 86.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Over 33.5 points
86.5%
86.5%
78¢ bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Over 33.5 points
86.5%
Kalshi 86.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 33.5 points
- Last price
- 86.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 78¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Over 37.5 points79.5%79.5%71¢ bid, 88¢ askpolled, 1 min ago88¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $114 (1.14x)Over 37.5 points79.5%Kalshi 79.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Over 37.5 points
79.5%
79.5%
71¢ bid, 88¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
88¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Over 37.5 points
79.5%
Kalshi 79.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 37.5 points
- Last price
- 79.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 88¢
- Sell Yes
- 71¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $114 (1.14x)
Over 41.5 points74.5%74.5%72¢ bid, 77¢ askpolled, 1 min ago77¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $130 (1.30x)Over 41.5 points74.5%Kalshi 74.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Over 41.5 points
74.5%
74.5%
72¢ bid, 77¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
77¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Over 41.5 points
74.5%
Kalshi 74.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 41.5 points
- Last price
- 74.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 77¢
- Sell Yes
- 72¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $130 (1.30x)
Over 45.5 points64.5%64.5%62¢ bid, 67¢ askpolled, 1 min ago67¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $149 (1.49x)Over 45.5 points64.5%Kalshi 64.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Over 45.5 points
64.5%
64.5%
62¢ bid, 67¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
67¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Over 45.5 points
64.5%
Kalshi 64.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 45.5 points
- Last price
- 64.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 67¢
- Sell Yes
- 62¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $149 (1.49x)
Over 49.5 points53%53%52¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 1 min ago54¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Over 49.5 points53%Kalshi 53%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Over 49.5 points
53%
53%
52¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
54¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Over 49.5 points
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 49.5 points
- Last price
- 53%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $1K
Over 53.5 points44%44%42¢ bid, 46¢ askpolled, 1 min ago46¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $217 (2.17x)Over 53.5 points44%Kalshi 44%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Over 53.5 points
44%
44%
42¢ bid, 46¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
46¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Over 53.5 points
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 53.5 points
- Last price
- 44%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
Over 57.5 points34.5%34.5%33¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 1 min ago36¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Over 57.5 points34.5%Kalshi 34.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Over 57.5 points
34.5%
34.5%
33¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
36¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Over 57.5 points
34.5%
Kalshi 34.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 57.5 points
- Last price
- 34.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
Over 61.5 points25.5%25.5%24¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 1 min ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Over 61.5 points25.5%Kalshi 25.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Over 61.5 points
25.5%
25.5%
24¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Over 61.5 points
25.5%
Kalshi 25.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 61.5 points
- Last price
- 25.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
Over 65.5 points20.5%20.5%12¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 1 min ago29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Over 65.5 points20.5%Kalshi 20.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Over 65.5 points
20.5%
20.5%
12¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Over 65.5 points
20.5%
Kalshi 20.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 65.5 points
- Last price
- 20.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
Over 69.5 points15%15%6¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 1 min ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Over 69.5 points15%Kalshi 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Over 69.5 points
15%
15%
6¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Over 69.5 points
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 69.5 points
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
Over 73.5 points10.5%10.5%4¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 1 min ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Over 73.5 points10.5%Kalshi 10.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Over 73.5 points
10.5%
10.5%
4¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Over 73.5 points
10.5%
Kalshi 10.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 73.5 points
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Over 33.5 points
- Over 37.5 points
- Over 41.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Northern Iowa vs Southern Illinois: Total Points". Over 33.5 points leads at 86.5%. Next is Over 37.5 points at 79.5%. $1K has traded across 11 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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