The Prediction Markets

Norway Eliteserien: Teams relegated (2026)

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$11K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Start 83%

Next is Fredrikstad at 50%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Start
83%
Polymarket 83%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Start
Last price
83%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$514
Trade this on Polymarket
Fredrikstad
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fredrikstad
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$160
Trade this on Polymarket
Kristiansund
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kristiansund
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Vålerenga
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Vålerenga
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$268
Trade this on Polymarket
Aalesund
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 78¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aalesund
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Sandefjord
15%
Polymarket 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sandefjord
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$515
Trade this on Polymarket
KFUM Oslo
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
KFUM Oslo
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
HamKam
12.4%
Polymarket 12.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 23.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $422 (4.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
HamKam
Last price
12.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
23.7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$422 (4.22x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Sarpsborg 08
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sarpsborg 08
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$64
Trade this on Polymarket
Brann
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brann
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$41
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 6 more outcomes
Rosenborg
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rosenborg
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Polymarket
Lillestrøm
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lillestrøm
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,273 (22.7x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Molde
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Molde
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,326 (23.3x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Tromsø
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tromsø
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.3¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,326 (23.3x)
Volume
$35
Trade this on Polymarket
Bodø/Glimt
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bodø/Glimt
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$981
Trade this on Polymarket
Viking
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Viking
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$663
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Start
  • Fredrikstad
  • Kristiansund

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Norway Eliteserien: Teams relegated (2026)". Start leads at 83%. Next is Fredrikstad at 50%. $11K has traded across 16 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Norway Eliteserien at the conclusion of the 2026 Norway Eliteserien season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Norway Eliteserien for the following season through their final standing in the 2026 Norway Eliteserien, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Norway Eliteserien. If the 2026 Norway Eliteserien season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Norway Eliteserien. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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