The Prediction Markets

Norway Eliteserien: Winner

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$18K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 h ago
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What the markets expect

Bodø/Glimt 67.2%

Next is Viking at 30.6%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Bodø/Glimt 67.2%Viking 30.6%Tromsø 0.8%Lillestrøm 0.6%Molde 0.5%Rosenborg 0.3%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Bodø/Glimt
67.2%
Polymarket 62.5%(67.2% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 79¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bodø/Glimt
Last price
62.5%
Fair, margin removed
67.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Viking
30.6%
Polymarket 28.5%(30.6% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
Viking
Last price
28.5%
Fair, margin removed
30.6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Tromsø
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tromsø
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lillestrøm
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lillestrøm
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$506
Trade this on Polymarket
Molde
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
Molde
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$414
Trade this on Polymarket
Rosenborg
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rosenborg
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$542
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Bodø/Glimt
  • Viking
  • Tromsø

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Norway Eliteserien: Winner". Bodø/Glimt leads at 67.2%. Next is Viking at 30.6%. $18K has traded across 6 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 21, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Norway Eliteserien. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Norway Eliteserien per the rules of Norway Eliteserien (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Norway Eliteserien; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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