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Trading ended on Jul 27, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 126 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Erling Haaland93%93%85¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Erling Haaland93%Kalshi 93%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Erling Haaland
93%
93%
85¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Erling Haaland
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Erling Haaland
- Last price
- 93%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 85¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
- Volume
- $5K
Jens Hauge40%40%— bid, 80¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Jens Hauge40%Kalshi 40%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Jens Hauge
40%
40%
— bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Jens Hauge
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jens Hauge
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
Marcus Pedersen40%40%— bid, 80¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Marcus Pedersen40%Kalshi 40%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Marcus Pedersen
40%
40%
— bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Marcus Pedersen
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marcus Pedersen
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
Sondre Klingen Langas40%40%— bid, 80¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Sondre Klingen Langas40%Kalshi 40%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Sondre Klingen Langas
40%
40%
— bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Sondre Klingen Langas
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sondre Klingen Langas
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
Alexander Sorloth12%12%— bid, 27¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Alexander Sorloth12%Kalshi 12%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Alexander Sorloth
12%
12%
— bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Alexander Sorloth
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alexander Sorloth
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $29
Antonio Nusa8%8%— bid, 13¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Antonio Nusa8%Kalshi 8%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Antonio Nusa
8%
8%
— bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Antonio Nusa
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Antonio Nusa
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $829
Jorgen Strand Larsen7%7%— bid, 14¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Jorgen Strand Larsen7%Kalshi 7%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Jorgen Strand Larsen
7%
7%
— bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Jorgen Strand Larsen
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jorgen Strand Larsen
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Andreas Schjelderup6%6%— bid, 12¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Andreas Schjelderup6%Kalshi 6%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Andreas Schjelderup
6%
6%
— bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Andreas Schjelderup
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Andreas Schjelderup
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Thelo Aasgaard6%6%— bid, 12¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Thelo Aasgaard6%Kalshi 6%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Thelo Aasgaard
6%
6%
— bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Thelo Aasgaard
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Thelo Aasgaard
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Kristian Thorstvedt5.5%5.5%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Kristian Thorstvedt5.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kristian Thorstvedt
5.5%
5.5%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kristian Thorstvedt
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kristian Thorstvedt
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Show 14 more outcomesHide 14 outcomes
Oscar Bobb5.5%5.5%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Oscar Bobb5.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Oscar Bobb
5.5%
5.5%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Oscar Bobb
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oscar Bobb
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Martin Odegaard5%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Martin Odegaard5%Kalshi 5%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Martin Odegaard
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Martin Odegaard
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Martin Odegaard
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Morten Thorsby5%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Morten Thorsby5%Kalshi 5%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Morten Thorsby
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Morten Thorsby
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Morten Thorsby
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Patrick Berg5%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Patrick Berg5%Kalshi 5%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Patrick Berg
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Patrick Berg
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Patrick Berg
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
David Moller Wolfe4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)David Moller Wolfe4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
David Moller Wolfe
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
David Moller Wolfe
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- David Moller Wolfe
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Fredrik Aursnes4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Fredrik Aursnes4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Fredrik Aursnes
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Fredrik Aursnes
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fredrik Aursnes
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Fredrik Bjorkan4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Fredrik Bjorkan4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Fredrik Bjorkan
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Fredrik Bjorkan
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fredrik Bjorkan
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Julian Ryerson4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Julian Ryerson4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Julian Ryerson
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Julian Ryerson
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Julian Ryerson
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Kristoffer Ajer4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Kristoffer Ajer4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kristoffer Ajer
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kristoffer Ajer
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kristoffer Ajer
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Leo Ostigard4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Leo Ostigard4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Leo Ostigard
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Leo Ostigard
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Leo Ostigard
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
No Goalscorer4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)No Goalscorer4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
No Goalscorer
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
No Goalscorer
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- No Goalscorer
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Sander Berge4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Sander Berge4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Sander Berge
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Sander Berge
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sander Berge
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Henrik Falchener4%4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Henrik Falchener4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Henrik Falchener
4%
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Henrik Falchener
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Henrik Falchener
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $23
Torbjorn Heggem4%4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Torbjorn Heggem4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Torbjorn Heggem
4%
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Torbjorn Heggem
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Torbjorn Heggem
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: FIFA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Erling Haaland
- Jens Hauge
- Marcus Pedersen
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "Norway: Goal Leader". Erling Haaland last traded at 93%. Next is Jens Hauge at 40%. $6K has traded across 24 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Jul 27, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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