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What the markets expect
Miami (FL) 58.1%
Next is BYU at 12.9%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Miami (FL)58.1%63%58.1% fair62¢ bid, 71¢ askpolled, just now71¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $141 (1.41x)Miami (FL)58.1%Kalshi 63%(58.1% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Miami (FL)
58.1%
63%
58.1% fair
62¢ bid, 71¢ ask
polled, just now
71¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Miami (FL)
58.1%
Kalshi 63%(58.1% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami (FL)
- Last price
- 63%
- Fair, margin removed
- 58.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 71¢
- Sell Yes
- 62¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $141 (1.41x)
- Volume
- $304
BYU12.9%14%12.9% fair14¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, just now23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)BYU12.9%Kalshi 14%(12.9% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
BYU
12.9%
14%
12.9% fair
14¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, just now
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
BYU
12.9%
Kalshi 14%(12.9% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- BYU
- Last price
- 14%
- Fair, margin removed
- 12.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $2
Ohio St.5.5%6%6¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, just now15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Ohio St.5.5%Kalshi 6%polled, just nowBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Ohio St.
5.5%
6%
6¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, just now
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Ohio St.
5.5%
Kalshi 6%polled, just nowBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ohio St.
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $1K
Ole Miss4.6%5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, just now5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Ole Miss4.6%Kalshi 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ole Miss
4.6%
5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, just now
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ole Miss
4.6%
Kalshi 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ole Miss
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $9
LSU3.7%4%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, just now4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)LSU3.7%Kalshi 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
LSU
3.7%
4%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, just now
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
LSU
3.7%
Kalshi 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- LSU
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $411
Oregon3.7%4%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, just now4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Oregon3.7%Kalshi 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Oregon
3.7%
4%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, just now
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Oregon
3.7%
Kalshi 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oregon
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $164
Texas2.8%3%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, just now4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Texas2.8%Kalshi 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Texas
2.8%
3%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, just now
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Texas
2.8%
Kalshi 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Texas
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Alabama0.9%1%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Alabama0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Alabama
0.9%
1%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Alabama
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alabama
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $0
Florida0.9%1%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Florida0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Florida
0.9%
1%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Florida
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Florida
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $0
Georgia0.9%1%1¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, just now6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Georgia0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Georgia
0.9%
1%
1¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, just now
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Georgia
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Georgia
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $577
Show 10 more outcomesHide 10 outcomes
Indiana0.9%1%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, just now4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Indiana0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Indiana
0.9%
1%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, just now
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Indiana
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Indiana
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $551
Notre Dame0.9%1%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, just now5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Notre Dame0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Notre Dame
0.9%
1%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, just now
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Notre Dame
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Notre Dame
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $642
USC0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)USC0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
USC
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
USC
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- USC
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1
Clemson0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Clemson0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Clemson
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Clemson
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Clemson
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Michigan0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Michigan0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Michigan
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Michigan
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Oklahoma0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Oklahoma0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Oklahoma
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Oklahoma
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oklahoma
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Penn St.0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Penn St.0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Penn St.
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Penn St.
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Penn St.
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Tennessee0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Tennessee0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Tennessee
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Tennessee
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tennessee
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Texas A&M0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Texas A&M0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Texas A&M
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Texas A&M
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Texas A&M
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Texas Tech0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Texas Tech0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Texas Tech
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Texas Tech
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Texas Tech
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: College Football Playoff Rankings
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Miami (FL)
- BYU
- Ohio St.
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Nov 3 CFP Rankings: #1 Ranked Team". Miami (FL) leads at 58.1%. Next is BYU at 12.9%. $5K has traded across 20 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 10, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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